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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1361 (permalink)
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C'est un "W"

Forte chance qu'on rebondisse. Objectif 3840/50 d'ici demain. Cet objectif va coincider demain avec l'oblique baissière en journalier qui nous bloque depuis le début de l'impulsion.

Invalidation clôture ce soir sous 3780.

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  #1362 (permalink)
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ES - ZB - ZN 2013/06/11.

Je me leve
Je bois mon café
Je suis en retard
Comme d'habitude
Le SP est descendu....

@AnasParis : Pour les taux d'interets, est ce que tu veux dire qu'il faut faire attention a ce que leurs prix ne sortent pas par le bas des bandes (cad < 127' pour 10 ans et < 135' pour 30 ans)?? Je les suis pas trop (peut-etre je devrais un peu plus -))...

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ES - 10:45

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ES - 10:45

Yes, nice I wanted to take it too but balls shrivelled.

ES 15min trend has broken extensions and potentially opened up 1661, otherwise still in daily shorts and looking at 1575.

Travel Well

Last edited by ratfink; June 11th, 2013 at 12:02 PM. Reason: typos
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  #1365 (permalink)
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Re-bonjour,

Même si vous me voyiez en bas, je n'avais pas accès au site futures.io (formerly BMT) et plein d'autres sites depuis 15h. En revanche ça marchait avec d'autres. Un copain m'a dit que c'était probablement des sites hébergés aux USA.

J'ai eu peur

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@marcopolo,

Je viens de lire ta question ci-dessus. J'y répondrai un autre soir de manière plus détaillée, avec des exemples concrets, pour que tout le monde en profite.


@ratfink,

Je suis d'accord avec toi pour l'ES. Ca va rebondir dans tous les sens et même en haut, avant de baisser en daily vers 1570/80. Celà dit, les USA sont en train de nous vendre.

Sinon, ça va. Pris 48 points en intraday: 16 ce matin et 32 cet après-midi. Un peu déçu de ne pas avoir shorté à 3845 mais bon je ne suis pas encore parfait


Je ferai une petite mise à jour CAC et ES vers 19h.

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AnasParis View Post
Même si vous me voyiez en bas, je n'avais pas accès au site futures.io (formerly BMT) et plein d'autres sites depuis 15h. En revanche ça marchait avec d'autres. Un copain m'a dit que c'était probablement des sites hébergés aux USA.

J'ai eu peur

C'était le russe qui a fait l'enquète sur HongKong pour voir si M. Edward Snowden veut demander l'asyl en..
..France
héhé.. résultat: plus d'internet en France
GFIs1

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  #1368 (permalink)
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Mise à jour CAC et ES

Important: comme je l'ai signalé ce matin, je revoie tous les objectifs à la baisse. Comme ça n'arrivera pas avant fin juin, je ferai des graph plus détaillés le week-end prochain.


CAC journalier:

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Avant de faire une analyse, je regarde plein de choses: toutes les unités de temps, les moyennes mobiles importantes, les obliques baissières et haussières, les canaux, les indicateurs de sentiments US, le VIX, le VCAC, je vérifie s'il n y a pas de figures chartistes...etc.

Cependant, si je fais figurer tout ça sur un graph, il ne ressemblerait à rien


Sur le graph ci-dessus:

1- L'oblique baissière qui sert de résistance depuis le 28 mai. C'est le meilleur repère en ce moment. Tant qu'on est en dessous, la baisse continuera. Demain elle sera à 3840.

2- Le petit cercle rouge: c'est là où la MM10 va croiser la MM50, probablement après demain. Du coup cette zone 3850/60 va devenir une résistance importante à court terme. La MM10 va accompagner les prix vers le bas.

3- MACD: il a donné un pré-signal deux jours avant le début de la conso. IL est passé hier sous 0. tant qu'il est en dessous, la tendance est fragile comme aujourd'hui.


Résumé:

Oblique baissière + MACD baissier + croisement imminent de la MM110 et 50 = tendance baissière à court terme.
Si vendredi prochain, on clôture sous 3850, l'objectif de cette impulsion sera 3600/ 3630

Demain: rebond technique en cours en 30 mn objectif 3840.



ES journalier:

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Les US se maintiennent en haut mais vendent le reste du monde. Il n y a qu'à voir le nombre d'indices qui sont passé baissiers en hebdo.

Le MACD est loin de sa ligne de signal. La MM10 ne soutient pas les prix. Une hausse dans la zone 1652/62 est encore possible mais on va baisser je pense à 1605/10 et la cassure de ce niveau donnerait désormais 1540. Vous pouvez tracer un biseau dont la base est le bas d'avril. Sa cassure, qui a déjà eu lieu, donne un retour au point de départ.


Edit: sur le graph ES, maximum 1652/62


Last edited by AnasParis; June 11th, 2013 at 02:44 PM.
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DAX

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8280/300 shortable demain si on y va.

Si le S&P descend à 1540 je pense que le DAX va viser sa boll - en hebdo, soit 7550 environ.

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Il est minuit et demi et je suis bien embêté!

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