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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1251 (permalink)
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Marchés ouverts.

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  #1252 (permalink)
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AnasParis View Post
tiennent compte du graph FCE ci-dessous:

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Et là, l'ancien plus haut annuel est à 3779. Un niveau qu'on pourrait atteindre le 12 juin sans clôture sous 3800 voire sous 3830 le 14 juin.

Sur le CAC cash, l'ancien plus haut annuel à 3871 a cassé hier en quelques minutes. Il n'est pas bon car il y a eu 90 point de dividendes.

Là encore 3871 - 90 = 3781


Donc plus bas le 12 juin vers 3779/81...




CAC cash 30 mn:

Résistance à 3870. Objectif 3900 sur cassure.

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  #1253 (permalink)
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CAC 30mn.


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Résistance à 3870. Fermer peut-être le gap à 3852 (?) avant de monter à 3900. Pas obligatoire.

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Par-rapport aux niveaux du rebond

immédiat sur les indices US (donné cette nuit).

Il me semble que c'est un peu ambitieux.


Peut-être seulement 15150/80 sur le DJIA et 1625/28 sue le S&P cash.

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Beige book hier soir.

Se résume à ça:

Beige Book Exclaims Modest, Moderate Economy And 'Strong' Housing.


Or, la FED voulait une croissance plus vigoureuse et un chômage en dessous de 6.5%.

La FED n'a pas le choix et continuera je pense son QE jusqu'à la cata générale.



Ici interview d'un dirigeant d'UBS hier à propos du Japon (très pessimiste). Parle d'un "Abe-geddon Scenario"

Will Japan Face a 'Abe-geddon' Scenario? - CNBC

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  #1256 (permalink)
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Nikkei.

Comme sur le S&P, le levier sur le Nikkei est de 4 en ce moment contre une moyenne de 1.9 ces 10 dernières années.

Quand on connait la volatilité de cet indice et surtout en ce moment, un -25% et tout le monde est ruiné y compris les courtiers.

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Je pense que ça arrivera après la prochaine hausse. Voir graph Nikkei page 122 avec objectif 9000.

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  #1257 (permalink)
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Merci bien Anas...

pour les prochains jours dans le Dax je vois toujours une baisse vite - avant d'une hausse -
il faut être bien positionné ou prendre les protections avec réduction des risques.
Un graph va suivre (daily Dax) pour souligner mes idées.

GFIs1

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CAC 30mn.

Tentative de cassure de la résistance.

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BOE taux inchangés.

BOE leaves rates unchanged @ 0.5% & asset target stays @ 375bio still

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FCE 30 mn.


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Si la résistance à 3875 casse, ce qui coinciderait avec le passage du MACD au dessus de 0, l'objectif est à 3900.

En revanche, je ne pense pas qu'il y aurait propagation à l'horaire. Ce qui donnerait une chute à partir de demain et jusqu'à mercredi prochain pour faire le point bas à 3780.

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