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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #111 (permalink)
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Bonjour anas,

Message bien reçu

merci


abdel

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  #112 (permalink)
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La hausse est due à l'accord

sur le budget européen.


Un retour à 3620 est tjrs possible mais peu probable.



CAC 30mn:


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Pas mal de sociétés du CAC


publient la semaine prochaine notamment: L'Oréal, Total, BNP, Pernod, Renault, Publicis, PPR, GLE, Michelin.


Perso à part BNP je trouve que les autres valeurs sont sur-évaluées et corrigeront suite à leurs annonces comme ce fût le cas de LVMH.

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Analyse pour la suite.

Entre lundi et vendredi, la tendance est passé baissière en journalier et en hebdomadaire avec un objectif dans la zone 3490/3520. Timing: peut-être vers le 20 février.

Les bulls ont bien dégusté

Lundi et mardi prochains seront haussiers au niveau cycle avec comme objectif la zone 3680/3700 (pullback).

Abdel, c'est là que tu dois shorter le DJIA quel que soit son niveau

A partir de mardi soir ou mercredi, re-dégustation pour les bulls


Si la zone 3490/3520 est atteinte entre le 20 et le 25 février, on va acheter le marché pour une tendance haussière entre le 25 février et le 20 mars.



Graph hebdo pour faire joli:


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Bon week-end à tous et à lundi.


Anas

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  #115 (permalink)
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Bonjour à tous,

La plupart des marchés asiatiques sont fermés, en raison du nouvel an dans plusieurs pays d'Asie (Chine, Vietnam, Malaisie, Thailande et Singapour).

Le Forex et les matières premières sont stables.

Je maintiens mon scénario d'un pullback vers 3680/3700 suivi d'une baisse dans la zone 3490/3520.


Bonne journée!

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DAX en journalier.

Pullback 7720 (+/-10 points) puis baisse dans la zone 7350.

Timing: 2 séances pour le pullback. 2 semaines pour les 7350.



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Graph DJIA publié il y a une semaine.


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Haussier en journalier. Pas de signal de baisse encore. Ceci est donc une projection. Je pense que la hausse peut s'arrêter à 14040 ou à 14100 et des poussières. Suivi d'une conso vers 13300 environ.





Dans la mesure où les 13850 n'ont jamais été cassés, la tendance est resté haussière. L'objectif se précise entre 14125 et 14150 avant baisse.

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CAC: zoom 30mn.

Rien de spécial. On monte tranquillement.


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Même si on descend dans la zone 3630/40 la hausse n'est pas remise en cause.

Il est possible qu'on s'arrête aujourd'hui à 3674 et le reste demain.

Prévoir un excès jusqu'à 3710.

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DAX 30mn pour GFIs1.

Potentiel limité en intraday (manque de volat). La hausse vers 7710/20 est pour demain.


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Résultats des sociétés du CAC à venir cette semaine.


Ce soir: L'Oréal

Mardi: Michelin

Mercredi: GLE, Total

Jeudi: Air Liquide, BNP, EDF, Legrand, Pernod, Publicis, Renault

Vendredi: PPR.



Résumé de la séance:


La hausse a été stoppée à 3676 et le CAC est revenu dans la zone 3630/40 (je le soupçonnais). Le scénario dont je parle depuis plusieurs séances, à savoir hausse dans la zone 3680/3700 (excès possible à 3710), tient toujours. En revanche au niveau timing, il est possible que la baisse ne démarre que jeudi après midi ou vendredi (après les résultats de BNP).

DJIA zone 14125/50 et S&P zone 1530.


Bonne soirée!

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