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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #1181 (permalink)
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Bonjour,

FCE horaire:

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Une clôture horaire sous 3984 envoie à 3950/60 sinon en haut il y a le plus haut d'hier à 4010. Nous sommes sous les résistances.

Aujourd'hui, il y a un POMO de 5 milliards entre 16h15 et 17h20. Ca ce n'est pas bon pour la baisse.


Sinon, en swing, on joue la baisse vers 3800/30 sous quinzaine selon le scénario suggéré depuis plusieurs jours. J'ai regardé cette nuit les indicateurs de sentiment et à 80% ils vont dans le sens d'une correction imminente. Hier le ratio Put/Call a atteint un niveau record de bulls depuis le premier trimestre 2011.

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Cette baisse,

même si je l'attendais elle me surprend du faite qu'elle se fasse dès la première demi heure de cotation et sans évènement majeur.

C'est toujours comme ça.

Bon on rebondit vers 3965/70 max 80 et re-plouf à 3920

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Ca s'est passé comme ça...

Là, nous sommes suvendu en 30 mn et il y a une divergence haussière target +/- 3970 avant reprise de la baisse.

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30 mn.

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Warren Buffet.

Cette nuit, dans une réunion, a fait de très mauvaises déclarations concernant les marchés.

En gros, il a dit que c'est "un jeu de chaise musicale" et que" ça va mal se terminer". Il a ajouté qu'il espère que ceux qui prendront la patate chaude en dernier ne seront pas "systémique".

C'est assez noir et ça contraste avec ses dernières déclarations.

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Voici ce qu'ils veulent éviter.

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La mèche au dessus de la boll sup qui passe par 3942.


Récap:


- Rebond tout de suite à +/- 3970
- Baisse à 3920 peut-être dès aujourd'hui mais pas obligatoire.
- Baisse vers 3880 d'ici mardi. Solder toutes positions baissières et passer long.
- Hausse jusqu'à 3970 environ (à préciser en temps voulu). On jouera la baisse.
- Baisse à 3830 max 3800. On soldera tous les short et on passera haussier pendant un moment.


Pour info, je compte arrêter les warrants définitivement d'ici 15 jours maximum, après 15 ans de pratique quotidienne.

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Journalier.

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J'ai l'impression que dès que ça baisse de 1%

les banques sont terrorisées et appellent la BCE pour faire une déclaration positive.

Reuters il y a un instant:

- Italy's #Visco Says #ECB "Stands Ready to Intervene Again" On New Data

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Reuters.

- Italian unemployment comes in at its highest in 36 years.

On retourne au niveau de l'après choc pétrolier.

Le chômage français d'hier soir a d'ailleurs battu son record depuis 1996 je crois.

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- Hungary President spox says country not planning on joining the EUR in the next 10 years. (ou jamais c'est mieux )


- Rumeur en salle de marché de HSBC à Londres que le PMI chinois demain sortirait en dessous de 49.

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