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Analyse CAC40 par Anas
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Analyse CAC40 par Anas

  #101 (permalink)
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CAC.

Mon scénario à cet instant:


1/ Petit rebond ce matin max 3630.

2/ Baisse dans la zone 3560/70. On peut rester à 3680 car nous avons déjà bien baissé par rapport aux autres indices.


3/ Rebond d'environ 3% par rapport à 3560/70 (si on y va) la semaine prochaine. C'est un pullback classique qui intervient en tendance baissière. L'objectif serait entre 3680 et 3700 (à affiner).

4/ Baisse jusqau'à dans la zone 3490/3520 qui peut coincider avec la conso (enfin) des indices US.

5/ Gros rebond pour faire un nouveau plus haut mais nous en sommes pas là encore.



Graph journalier:


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  #102 (permalink)
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FCE 30mn:

Toujours cette divergence haussière mais qui peut perdurer encore une séance. C'est elle qui peut faire rebondir le CAC la semaine prochaine.


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  #103 (permalink)
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AnasParis View Post
Mon scénario à cet instant:


1/ Petit rebond ce matin max 3630.

2/ Baisse dans la zone 3560/70. On peut rester à 3680 car nous avons déjà bien baissé par rapport aux autres indices.


3/ Rebond d'environ 3% par rapport à 3560/70 (si on y va) la semaine prochaine. C'est un pullback classique qui intervient en tendance baissière. L'objectif serait entre 3680 et 3700 (à affiner).

4/ Baisse jusqau'à dans la zone 3490/3520 qui peut coincider avec la conso (enfin) des indices US.

5/ Gros rebond pour faire un nouveau plus haut mais nous en sommes pas là encore.



Graph journalier:


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Bonjour Anas,

Je suis d'accord avec timing et mouvements prévisibles; pour les niveaux je n'en sais trop rien .Probablement plus haut que 3800 quand meme sauf si sous 3450.


Last edited by ngu yen; February 8th, 2013 at 04:35 AM.
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  #104 (permalink)
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Bonjour Ngu Yen,

Si tu parles du rebond en Mars, après la conso des indices US, et à partir d'un niveau autour de 3500, je suis d'accord pour un objectif au dessus de 3900.

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  #105 (permalink)
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CAC cash 30mn:

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Potentiel jusqu'à 3655 mais ce n'est pas sûr qu'on y aille car...

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  #106 (permalink)
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FCE 30mn.

Car, sur le FCE, le potentiel est quasi épuisé, à seulement 3634.


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  #107 (permalink)
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Ma question du moment : le retour vers 13300 et 1450 aux US ce sera pour avril ou pour maintenant ? Car je me demande si ils ne vont pas latéraliser que vers 136xx/7xx avant les 14200 ensuite seulement tes 13300.

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  #108 (permalink)
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Figure-toi,


ngu yen View Post
Ma question du moment : le retour vers 13300 et 1450 aux US ce sera pour avril ou pour maintenant ? Car je me demande si ils ne vont pas latéraliser que vers 136xx/7xx avant les 14200 ensuite seulement tes 13300.



Je me suis posé la même question hier.


Je pense que si les US latéralisent et remontent à 14200 et 1540 sans conso, c'est foutu pour la hausse du CAC à 3900.

Pourquoi? parce que dans ce cas les US feront une grosse baisse du genre -12 ou -15% et le CAC se contentera d'une hausse à 3720 qui ne sera qu'un retracement et chutera beaucoup plus bas (niveau à calculer).


Si ça doit se passer comme ça, faudrait tout remettre à plat.

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  #109 (permalink)
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@ DIANIABDEL

Bonjour,


Le mieux c'est que tu attendes le mardi ou mercredi (je te dirai) prochain pour shorter le DJIA.

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  #110 (permalink)
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Je crois qu'on va aller


faire le pullback journalier zone 3680/3700 directement sans passer par 3570.

La divergence haussière 30mn dure depuis 3 séances.


3620 devient support et début de semaine prochaine haussier.

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