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ES and the Great POMO Rally
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ES and the Great POMO Rally

  #911 (permalink)
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Big Mike View Post
May's POMO schedule

Tentative Outright Treasury Operation Schedule - Federal Reserve Bank of New York

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Mike

Treasuries broke to the upside last week Friday (April 26).
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Ken

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  #912 (permalink)
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Now... Assume No Fed | Zero Hedge

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  #913 (permalink)
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The Fed continues to PO MO money into the market

No Tapering Any Time Soon As Fed Announces $45 Billion Of July POMO Days | Zero Hedge

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Tentative Outright Treasury Operation Schedule - Federal Reserve Bank of New York

Mike

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  #914 (permalink)
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The Diminishing Effects Of QE Programs | Zero Hedge

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Quoting 
As you can see during the first round of Quantitative Easing, which was also combined with a variety of artificial stimulus, bailout and support programs, the economy got a sharp boost from extremely depressed levels. The influx of liquidity stabilized the economy and production levels recovered. However, it is clear that after that initial boost, subsequent programs have done little other than to stabilize the economy while flooding the asset markets with liquidity. As shown, even with these programs in play, the current annualized growth trends of the data are showing clear deterioration. This puts the Federal Reserve in a difficult position of trying to exit support as the economy weakens.

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  #915 (permalink)
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Savers And The 'Real' $10.8 Trillion Cost Of ZIRP | Zero Hedge

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  #916 (permalink)
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wow

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  #917 (permalink)
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I got this in the junk mail today. But the chart with the 200 weekly MA was intriguing I thought:

mailer@infusionmail.com; on behalf of; Gains Pains and Capital [Publishing@gainspainscapital.com]

""""
Ben Bernanke has created the mother of all bubbles.

Today, the S&P 500 is sitting a full 30% above its
200-weekly moving average. We have NOT been
this overextended above this line at any point in
the last 10 years.

Indeed, if you compare where the S&P 500 is relative
to this line, we're even MORE overbought that we were
going into the 2007 peak at the top of the housing bubble.

We all know how bubbles end: BADLY.

This time will be no different. The last time a major bubble
of these proportions burst, we fell to break through this line
in a matter of weeks.

We then plunged into one of the worst market Crashes of
all time.

By today's metrics, this would mean the S&P 500 falling
to 1,300 then eventually plummeting to new lows.

This is not doom and gloom. This is a fact. The Fed
has created an even bigger bubble than the 2007 one.

The time to prepare for this is not once the collapse
begins, but NOW, while stocks are still rallying.
Stocks take their time moving up, but when they
crash it happens VERY quickly.

With that in mind, I've already urged my ( advisory)
clients to start prepping. We've opened six
targetted trades to profit from the stock bubble bursting.

""""

etc.

Attached Thumbnails
ES and the Great POMO Rally-spx_200weeklyma.jpg  
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  #918 (permalink)
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Gotta love Rick...

Mike

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  #919 (permalink)
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Back on July 17, the New York Fed, which as always operates based on the decisions and inputs of its Primary Dealer superiors, asked the Dealer community for their thoughts on the Taper, specifically when and how much. The survey has come back and the PD community has spoken. The answer: Taper is announced, and begins, September with the first reduction in monthly purchases of $15 billion ($10Bn cut in TSY purchases, $5BN cut in MBS), eventually tapering to nothing in June 2014 when the Dealers believe QE formally ends.

The breakdown of the forecasts by percentile:

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While several dealers noted that recent FOMC communications have influenced their expected path of asset purchases, several others highlighted that economic data will continue to determine the timing of reductions in purchase pace. Several dealers noted their expectation that pace reductions would occur at meetings followed by press conferences and the release of quarterly projections. Several dealers noted future reductions in the pace of each Treasury and MBS purchases are likely to be evenly split between both asset classes. Several dealers noted the possibility of reducing Treasury purchases at a faster pace than MBS purchases to provide support for the housing market, while several others suggested MBS purchases would see relatively larger declines due to possible market functioning issues in the MBS market.

http://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/survey/2013/July_result.pdf

Mike

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Need help?
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  #920 (permalink)
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New poll.

Will The Fed launch another round of QE soon? What will the effect be on the equity indexes?

Will The Fed launch another round of QE soon? What will the effect be on equity indexes?

Total votes: 208
 


Mike

Due to time constraints, please do not PM me if your question can be resolved or answered on the forum.

Need help?
1) Stop changing things. No new indicators, charts, or methods. Be consistent with what is in front of you first.
2) Start a journal and post to it daily with the trades you made to show your strengths and weaknesses.
3) Set goals for yourself to reach daily. Make them about how you trade, not how much money you make.
4) Accept responsibility for your actions. Stop looking elsewhere to explain away poor performance.
5) Where to start as a trader? Watch this webinar and read this thread for hundreds of questions and answers.
6)
Help using the forum? Watch this video to learn general tips on using the site.

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