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NQ-nalysis
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NQ-nalysis

  #51 (permalink)
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AAPL Rally / Triangle Day

In spite of AAPL's rally market is still weak. Large triangle over the last two days.

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Note PW-Low at 4052.


Last edited by tturner86; September 9th, 2014 at 03:22 PM.
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Daily Trendline

We have tagged the trendline on my daily.

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We closed the session right at the 161.8 fib extension again -- 4093 -- after a visit down to the 100% projection at 4073. There was actually a rth fib at 4075 that helped provide support there but I'm not doing the rth fibs yet "officially". For the tuesday session only, there is an additional fib at 4097.5 (small green line). So now we have resistance at 4100, 4097.5 && 4093 for tomorrow with a potential divergence smack up against it. If the NQ is gonna turn around and go down, this would seem like the time and place to do it. Otherwise, if we break and hold above 4100, then its a decent chance its the start of the next leg up.
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Update: Tomorrow is Apple's big event so the timing fits...

Looks like the triple resistance plus RSI divergence outlined yesterday was too much for the NQ and we got a down day as expected, right back down to the 38.2% extension at 4053.

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I didn't trade today, but If I did..here is how it would most likely go down if I was actively at my computer throughout this chart's time frame. Maybe similar to if I automated my system.

yellow stars are the entries, Red circle = stopped out, Blue circle = out at break-even, Green circle = profit (all trades are short with the trend)

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Last edited by Itchymoku; September 9th, 2014 at 07:16 PM.
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Weekly Profile and Pivots 9-9-2014

VAH- 4091.25
VPOC- 4062.25
VAL- 4053.50

W-PP- 4081.50
W-S1- 4057.25
W-R1- 4010.75

W-ADN-High- 4103.00
W-ADN-Low- 4071.50

Todays AAPL rally almost touched the W-R1.

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Daily Pivots for 9-9-2014

Contract Sept. 2014 Nasdaq100
Resistance 3 4154.83
Resistance 2 4132.67
Resistance 1 4097.58
Pivot 4075.42
Support 1 4040.33
Support 2 4018.17
Support 3 3983.08

(Using these to see how they match up with the Fat Tails indi during the RTH session.)

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Economic Reports

Economic Reports, source: Forex Calendar @ Forex Factory

All times are Eastern time Zone (EST)

Date 1:56pm
Currency Impact Detail Actual Forecast Previous Graph

WedSep 10 1:30am EUR French Final Non-Farm Payrolls q/q 0.1% 0.1%
2:45am EUR French Industrial Production m/m -0.4% 1.3%
Tentative EUR German 10-y Bond Auction 1.08|1.6
10:00am USD Wholesale Inventories m/m 0.5% 0.3%
10:30am USD Crude Oil Inventories -1.0M -0.9M
1:01pm USD 10-y Bond Auction 2.44|2.8

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Globex High- 4073.50*
Globex Low- 4057.00

*A Fib from last week.

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tturner86 View Post
Globex High- 4073.50*
Globex Low- 4057.00

*A Fib from last week.

4056.25 is today's time-price fib (shown on last chart above as a green line), and the beginning of the fib support area...so no surprise there...

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