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NQ-nalysis
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NQ-nalysis

  #41 (permalink)
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The Fib Report


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Our ceiling held nicely yesterday:
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Two key levels for today are ~4072.75 ETH and ~4064 RTH.

Price bounced off a nice confluence of the 4050 psychological level and the 4045 23.6% retracement and made its way right back to the 4100/161.8 Extension confluence. Unfortunately, I had not noticed this confluence before but it was there.

Note, however, that price did not really touch the 23.6% retracement so I do not consider that to have actually been tagged, which means it could still be in play later.

Also, Friday's bar is the first divergent bar (using RSI) on this whole swing up and divergence against fib resistance can often lead to a reversal.

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Two key levels for today are ~4072.75 ETH and ~4064 RTH.

I also mentioned two other levels to watch. Prior to this weekend I was only able to calculate these levels within a few ticks but I have now figured out how to do it to the tick. The correct levels were 4071.75 ETH and 4064.25 RTH. Let's see how they worked on Friday:
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Some levels to watch on Sunday are:

4100 (of course)
4093
4084.75
4073


Last edited by srgtroy; September 6th, 2014 at 09:44 PM.
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I think what I will do is post fib levels for the next week over the weekend and then try and update with daily fibs during the week. So for the next week, here are some key fib levels from high to low:

4193.25
4123.25
4093
4090.75 *
4053
4046 *
4040.25 *
4036
4004 *
3999.50 *

*valid until prices goes above 4114

of course, there are more above and below this range should we get there. Also, these are all based on ETH chart, will leave the RTH for now until I work a few things out on that one.

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Areas of intrest

Pullback overnight is gradual near the 80 zone, looking at a target of 4100-4110. If the market decides to correct and go short side 4170-4160. My current bias is to the long side.

Q’s at price 99.80.

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Last edited by teamtc247; September 8th, 2014 at 09:18 AM. Reason: 4110
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The Fib Report

We closed the session right at the 161.8 fib extension again -- 4093 -- after a visit down to the 100% projection at 4073. There was actually a rth fib at 4075 that helped provide support there but I'm not doing the rth fibs yet "officially". For the tuesday session only, there is an additional fib at 4097.5 (small green line). So now we have resistance at 4100, 4097.5 && 4093 for tomorrow with a potential divergence smack up against it. If the NQ is gonna turn around and go down, this would seem like the time and place to do it. Otherwise, if we break and hold above 4100, then its a decent chance its the start of the next leg up.
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Update: Tomorrow is Apple's big event so the timing fits...


Last edited by srgtroy; September 8th, 2014 at 09:57 PM.
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Weekly VAH 4102.75

Weekly VPOC 4094.25

Weekly VAL 4087.00

Low Volume Nodes: 4084.75, 4088, 4096.25, 4099.25


Pivots for 9-9-2014
Resistance 3 4137.50
Resistance 2 4121.25
Resistance 1 4108.00
Pivot 4091.75
Support 1 4078.50
Support 2 4062.25
Support 3 4049.00


Last edited by tturner86; September 8th, 2014 at 09:50 PM.
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Globex Numbers

Globex High- 4101.50

Globex Low- 4085.00

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NQ Daily

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4040 to 4060 to 4080 over the current week is my rising trendline. I believe that we may get some test of that this week. The black line is 4080 a measured move from the early 2014 trading range that formed in Feb.

50 EMA is at 3967, 100 EMA is at 3828, and 150 EMA is at 3760. We last touched the 50 EMA on 8-8-2014, last touched the 100 EMA on 5-20-2014 and last touched the 150 EMA on 5-9-2014.

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AAPL Event


Apple Media Event, Sept 9, 2014

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