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NQ-nalysis
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NQ-nalysis

  #131 (permalink)
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Hourly Update

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AWN Low acted as a magnet and vacuumed price up to it. It may be strong enough resistance to push price back down to close the opening gap.

I took the move up, exited and almost shorted the top. But there isn't room for shoulda coulda woulda's .

Edit: But I made up for that by shorting 49.75 to 43. Flat now. Today is looking like range play at the moment.

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Daily

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Inside bar within the range and balance of yesterday. Monday's, Tuesday's, and Today's daily bars have created a triangle / flag. We have had multiple pushes down and up. This is a coiling/condensing of the market which should cause a large BO in the near future (Later today or Thurs/Friday). Because a triangle is a tight trading range I would like to see a FBO to the downside that is quickly bought back into a rally to the highs. The reason is BO's of trading ranges fail 80% of the time (ala Al Brooks). So if we have a BO to the upside it could be quickly squashed. Although bears have been slaughtered in this bull market, I think recent market activity may have brought a few out to play.

**This also depends on how today closes, if it is outside and up then that can negate everything above. As with everything trading related it works until it doesn't


Last edited by tturner86; September 24th, 2014 at 12:12 PM.
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  #133 (permalink)
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Large BO underway.

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  #134 (permalink)
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BO survived pullback, if daily ends in a strong bull we should be back up to the top of the TR by week's end.

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Daily / Hourly

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So we got the BO yesterday. Current upper target is the AWE High at 4103.50. We need a high higher than 4113.50 from last week. I would expect that today or tomorrow. I also expect that high to be sold as well and start the next down leg in this TR.

Globex L- 4072.75
Globex H- 4088.50

Overnight session was down from the Y-Close. Y-Close is 4087 and price is currently trading in the 4070's. I would expect a 15-17 PT gap down. With the context of yesterdays rally I would expect this gap to exhaust and close after the open. (Barring some event).

First order of business for me is gap play. Then determine if we will continue trend or range.

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  #136 (permalink)
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Gap close failure / Continuation Gap

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Gap close pivoted off the daily DP (triangle first chart). Large sell off, looking for support/value below.

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Inside bar within the range and balance of yesterday. Monday's, Tuesday's, and Today's daily bars have created a triangle / flag. We have had multiple pushes down and up. This is a coiling/condensing of the market which should cause a large BO in the near future (Later today or Thurs/Friday). Because a triangle is a tight trading range I would like to see a FBO to the downside that is quickly bought back into a rally to the highs. The reason is BO's of trading ranges fail 80% of the time (ala Al Brooks). So if we have a BO to the upside it could be quickly squashed. Although bears have been slaughtered in this bull market, I think recent market activity may have brought a few out to play.

**This also depends on how today closes, if it is outside and up then that can negate everything above. As with everything trading related it works until it doesn't

Looks like my original idea of a BO of the triangle has held. I will be the first to admit I got suckered into the BO and the gap this morning looking long. Luckily I saw the pivot off the DP and exited. Then after a few bars found a pullback and got short. Monthly low is 4004.25 we could be looking for that. If today closes down that would lock in a lower high in the TR.

I do believe that there are buyers below.

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I like this site:
StockMapper

Captured at 10:42 EST
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PS I am impressed by VOD which is still green

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1st counter trend trade

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I like this site:
StockMapper

Captured at 10:42 EST
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PS I am impressed by VOD which is still green

Lol not anymore, I show VOD in the red now.

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