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NQ-nalysis
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NQ-nalysis

  #111 (permalink)
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The Fib Report

Levels for Friday on NDX:

Key Resistance at 4121.97
Key Support at 4076.32 & 4069.08

Other Levels:

Resistance at 4111.46 (and a possible double top)
Support at 4089.27 & 4072.32

Note: The 4076.32-4072.32-4069.08 levels combined form a layer of significant support.

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We are back at the top of the TR for Sept at the moment. Tomorrow is poised to see a breakout of this range to a new high. Key at this point is whether the high will hold or be faded (if it is a real TR you sell the highs).

We have backfilled and set multiple levels of support, we could have a sell and then bounce higher.

Anyone tomorrow should be one of the best trading days so far with the Scottish vote + BABA IPO.

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Methodology Change to the NASDAQ-100 Index


The NASDAQ OMX Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: NDAQ) today announced changes to the methodology of the NASDAQ-100 Index® (Nasdaq:NDX).

The Index, which acts as a benchmark for financial products, such as options, futures and funds including the PowerShares QQQ® Trust (Nasdaq: QQQ), is re-ranked annually. The next re-ranking will occur Friday, December 19, 2014.

Effective with the December 2014 evaluation, NASDAQ OMX® will modify the index methodology to allow for inclusion of all of a company's share classes that meet inclusion criteria of the NASDAQ-100 Index. The index will therefore better reflect the entire market capitalization of the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market®.

The NASDAQ-100 Index, launched in January 1985, is composed of the 100 largest non-financial stocks listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market® and acts as a benchmark for financial products such as options, futures, and funds.

This modification also emphasizes NASDAQ OMX's commitment to ensure the NASDAQ-100 Index remains one of the most widely-followed benchmarks in the world. Multiple share classes are becoming more prevalent in today's market, which was a leading factor in making this change in methodology.

For more information about the NASDAQ-100 Index, including these funds, detailed eligibility criteria, and a complete methodology, visit https://indexes.nasdaqomx.com/Index/Overview/NDX.

Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements

Information set forth in this communication contains forward-looking statements that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. NASDAQ OMX cautions readers that any forward-looking information is not a guarantee of future performance and that actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking information. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to (i) projections about our future financial results, growth, trading volumes, taxes and achievement of synergy targets, (ii) statements about the closing or implementation dates and benefits of certain strategic, technology, de-leveraging and capital return initiatives, (iii) statements about our integrations of our recent acquisitions, (iv) statements relating to any litigation or regulatory or government investigation or action to which we are or could become a party, and (v) other statements that are not historical facts. Forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties or other factors beyond NASDAQ OMX's control. These factors include, but are not limited to, NASDAQ OMX's ability to implement its strategic initiatives, economic, political and market conditions and fluctuations, government and industry regulation, interest rate risk, U.S. and global competition, and other factors detailed in NASDAQ OMX's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, including its annual reports on Form 10-K and quarterly reports on Form 10-Q which are available on NASDAQ OMX's website at NASDAQ OMX - NASDAQ OMX and the SEC's website at U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission | Homepage. NASDAQ OMX undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.



Read more: Methodology Change to the NASDAQ-100 Index | Benzinga

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We have seen a failed breakdown of last weeks TR. we broke down yesterday and now have rallied back into the range. I believe that the size of this range will continue to expand over the coming days and weeks.

As you can see the FBO of the bottom of the TR was quickly rejected and we are now nearing the top of the Sept TR.

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SEPT TR

Trading range held, massive sell off highs. High of TR was actually hit on the ON session.

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Hourly Update

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Opening gap into TR highs, saw price sold off to AWN High which held as support.

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New high locked in from yesterday. Closed below one of @srgtroy's magic fib from the other day.

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Levels for Friday on NDX:

Key Resistance at 4121.97
Key Support at 4076.32 & 4069.08

Other Levels:

Resistance at 4111.46 (and a possible double top)
Support at 4089.27 & 4072.32

Note: The 4076.32-4072.32-4069.08 levels combined form a layer of significant support.

Today was annoying. Here's why:

The 5 Minute NDX chart shows two of the fibs mentioned above. The key resistance fib (green) of 4121.97 which I prefer was not touched, but we got close. That was a bit befuddling as these fibs are precise and I would've expected a touch. So I kept thinking we might bounce and go up and missed out on the selloff (but at least did not go long).

I had forgotten, of course, to put the regular resistance fib (blue line) at 4111.46 on my chart until it was too late. That would've provided a more useful level, but still, price gyrated around it until it decided to go down and I prefer greater precision.

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Since price did not reach the 4122 key resistance level, I was mystified as to why it stopped where it did. What was there? I decided to go back and check the RTH NQ chart. On the RTH NQ chart, the equivalent of the NDX's Key Resistance was at 4111.5. Here's how that played out today:

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Bugger! (as @ratfink would say)

I guess I will have to watch both NDX and NQ RTH

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Gap Open

Friday closed at 4091.50.

Globex H- 4092.00
Globex L- 4065.75.

I am currently LONG 4076.50 looking for the gap to close. It may close before the open which if it did is a strong bullish signal. If it doesn't and opens as a gap down we could see the close in the first hour of the session. I believe that the 4100 will be a strong resistance and looking to see how price reacts off it.

UPDATE: Exited at 4079.50. Price has slide back down the profile and gap is widening. Could see good size gap down on open.


Last edited by tturner86; September 22nd, 2014 at 09:11 AM.
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Price is currently 4081.50. Could see around a 10 PT gap open.

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