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NQ-nalysis
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NQ-nalysis

  #101 (permalink)
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tturner86 View Post
Yes I did, but I am milking the hell out of this thing before I let it go.

I have Friday Sept 19 on my calendar as the expiration day for the NQ and ES September contracts. Is that right? Assuming Sept 19 is correct, do you typically rollover a week before the contract expires?

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bluecrow View Post
I have Friday Sept 19 on my calendar as the expiration day for the NQ and ES September contracts. Is that right? Assuming Sept 19 is correct, do you typically rollover a week before the contract expires?

I used to roll over the Friday before. But after talking with @srgtroy I decided to roll over on the Monday of the exp week. I just didn't roll Monday morning before I started trading.

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  #103 (permalink)
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The Fib Report


Nothing like missing the best two days of the season so far

Anyway, after struggling with ETH vs RTH, I have realized that the most accurate chart to use for fibs on index charts is in fact, the index itself. The positive side of this is increased accuracy. The negative side is the levels are not exactly the same as futures prices. I will have to figure out the best way to work with that. At any rate, from now on, I will be using the NDX chart.

Levels for tomorrow:

Key support at 4053 && 4048.
Key resistance at 4086.10 && 4089.27-4091.62 if we get that high...

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  #104 (permalink)
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srgtroy View Post
Anyway, after struggling with ETH vs RTH, I have realized that the most accurate chart to use for fibs on index charts is in fact, the index itself. The positive side of this is increased accuracy. The negative side is the levels are not exactly the same as futures prices. I will have to figure out the best way to work with that. At any rate, from now on, I will be using the NDX chart.

My tuppence:

The RTH cash charts are best for fibs with wave patterns.

The ETH futures charts are best for fibs with measured moves.

Travel Well
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ratfink View Post
My tuppence:

The RTH cash charts are best for fibs with wave patterns.

The ETH futures charts are best for fibs with measured moves.

Any guess as to why this would be true?

Bob.

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NQ Daily

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4070 MM still resistance above. Hanging on the 20 SMA at the moment. I have a tighter TL I drew from recent lows (I don't think it will matter, but you never know.) I believe we will continue to range and form a wedge/flag towards the longer TL. Once it hits that could cause a rally to test new highs.

I am gonna say this now because I just want it noted, but I don't know how likely. If a flag forms it could be a final flag. That would lead to a breakout rally, reversal, and correction. Even if that did happen we are talking weeks/months. That is just what I see at the moment. That could change with additional price action over the week. You can't really call a final flag in the future, it tends to be a hindsight thing. The last flag in a trend becomes the final flag.

Lots of news and events this week could lead the market in a different direction.

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bobwest View Post
Any guess as to why this would be true?

Bob.

Ok, my other 2c.

The herds are bigger during RTH, any decent wave view needs good size herds, and any good wave pattern will 'tend' to show better fibs.

In the futures, machines are more active using fib/MM strategies using 24hr/global data, in the stocks more volume based strategies.

That's what I see and that's me out of c.

[As opposed to that's me in the corner, which was always a fave REM track]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FQ2yXWi0ppw

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ratfink View Post
Ok, my other 2c.

The herds are bigger during RTH, any decent wave view needs good size herds, and any good wave pattern will 'tend' to show better fibs.

In the futures, machines are more active using fib/MM strategies using 24hr/global data, in the stocks more volume based strategies.

That's what I see and that's me out of c.

[As opposed to that's me in the corner, which was always a fave REM track]

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FQ2yXWi0ppw

Good guesses. Might be right.

Good clip too.

Bob

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Hourly Update

Range day so far, AWR High holding us down.

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  #110 (permalink)
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srgtroy View Post
Nothing like missing the best two days of the season so far

Anyway, after struggling with ETH vs RTH, I have realized that the most accurate chart to use for fibs on index charts is in fact, the index itself. The positive side of this is increased accuracy. The negative side is the levels are not exactly the same as futures prices. I will have to figure out the best way to work with that. At any rate, from now on, I will be using the NDX chart.

Levels for tomorrow:

Key support at 4053 && 4048.
Key resistance at 4086.10 && 4089.27-4091.62 if we get that high...

Top and bottom Fib levels referenced yesterday worked with precision on NDX today post-
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