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Week ahead in ES
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Week ahead in ES

  #11 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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This morning the high estimate was adjusted to 1767.25
actual high 1768.50
low 1754.75
so far 1758.50

Keep your mind in the future, in the now.
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  #12 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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1743.25 was my visual look at the chart for the low.
Bernanke is speaking tomorrow so perhaps a ramp - then my estimates are way off.
Also is the possible of a repeat of last Thursday tomorrow.

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  #13 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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Wednesday Ramp


Well we did have a ramp.

Tomorrow? big question mark.
I think it could be a repeat of last Thursday so "lightening bolt". (so 73.25 down to 44)
Last Thursday was -19.25, +9.25, -19.25
Hard to guess in these markets.
The other option is to just churn about in 10-12 range centered around the open

GLTA
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  #14 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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aquarian1 View Post

Tomorrow? big question mark.
.....

The other option is to just churn about in 10-12 range centered around the open

Open 1780 +/- 5.5 => 1774.5 to 1785.50

"Auto" was the computer estimate - (I finalized on 1787.5 and 1774)
as the est range was 11pts that means no trading for me.
When high stop is close 1789.50 then as it approaches this the 87.50 would go up to this

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so far 88.50@10:37

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  #15 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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For Friday

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for Friday
Good luck

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  #16 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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I dont plan to trade today - crooks day, narrow range and I'm tired

estimates

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  #17 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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Friday results

My estimates were too low with the Low est off by 6.50. As there was a double low today with 1788 at 8:43 and then at 10:54 you would have abandoned the hope of getting to the low and gone long.

The final range was 8 points versus the estimate of 11 pts. - a very narrow day -as expected.
I'm glad I didn't try to trade it.
---------------

Though I had the first push down and then up correct, I wouldn't trade this as I like to see the potential for 6 points.
The FP trade would have been filled but it only when a couple of points and not worth the risk, for me.

(You see First Trade Sell first signal - this wouldn't show if my low estimate was closer to the mark as first trades need at least 5 points profit potential So I don't blindly follow any one signal or estimate. If I had I undoubtedly would have lost money by not closing at 88 and waiting for more downside. This is where the minimum 12 pts estimated range helps.)

FEa (short for First End a - there can be a double First end some days and that is what FEb is for - but not the case today.)

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  #18 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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For next week

red boxes are from last week

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  #19 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
Point Roberts, WA, USA
 
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The auto had 1805.50 which I reduced.
missed the Low end

Now the day is looking like cabbage - NR & choppy/trendless
so perhaps we won't get 1803.75 and
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Last edited by aquarian1; November 18th, 2013 at 12:43 PM. Reason: typo
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  #20 (permalink)
The fun is in the numbers
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the night before


The night before I draw two lines on a 30 min chart as a visual guess of HOD and LOD.
These show in the evening estimates as "Visual". Naturally they can be way off. Though I make night before estimates they are move for when I have more time and can review them to see when they were correct.

Sometimes on of the visuals works for the o/n session - which would be potentially useful if I know when and if I was trading o/n. (Sometimes the best entry points are in the o/n session.)

Here are the ones I made Friday for today (mon 18). I'm posting them because there was a "P" indicator. that is potential peak. Sorry not sure how often it is correct maybe Ill find time on the weekend to check.

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