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No need for guessing. You should be able to figure out your expected returns once you know your edge. Edge is a number, it is not a story, and is also known as expected value or EV. The formula is (win_rate * avg_win) - (loss_rate * avg_loss). For example, let's say your strategy risks 20 ticks to win 30 and has a 55% win rate. Your edge or expected value would be (.55 * 30) - (.45 - 20) which is 16.5 - 9 or 7.5 ticks for each trade you take that adheres to your strategy. Now suppose this same strategy gives you 3 valid entry signals per day and you take all 3 every day. You would win 3 * 7.5 or 22.5 ticks every day on average. If you have a small account and trade 1 MES contract your expected returns would be 22.5 * 1.25 or about $28.00 per day in this example.
Can you help answer these questions from other members on NexusFi?