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What is happening with ES?


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What is happening with ES?

  #11 (permalink)
 Cutloss 
Midway florida
 
Posts: 243 since May 2021

The roll is starting tomorrow for a few days so it should get interesting now

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  #12 (permalink)
 martinhunting 
melbourne victoria australia
 
Experience: Advanced
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futurestrader9979 View Post
I have been trading ES for sometime now and I noticed how slow and rangebound the market has been recently. Its almost impossible for me to make money trading ES nowadays. Same goes with other indices like NQ and RTY.

Is anyone experiencing the same? or Does anyone know the reasoning behind this?

Hi!
Here are two long term charts a 240 min and a 120 min chart . The 240 min chart shows the near completion of a B wave, it can go higher 123.80% fib is at 4297.
The second chart is a 120 min chart with profiles . It is trading across the balance HVN and supported by the VWAP at 4226. It is also trading above the larger balance with the VPOC and VWAP at 4200. It would need to start trading below the VWAP at 4226 on the longer time frames There are a number of HVNS for support at 4217 the VAL of the balance a . Price as has spiked down to the HVN at 4207which is also the VAH of the larger balance . Price under that would start to look bearish.
If it turns out to be a C wave down it can go as low as the 4040 I hope this helps.

@SPX500 (120 Min Heiken-Ashi) 2021_06_09 (5_34_45 PM)


@SPX500 (240 Min Heiken-Ashi) 2021_06_09 (5_32_52 PM)

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  #13 (permalink)
Merkd1904
Atlanta, Georgia
 
Posts: 94 since May 2021
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martinhunting View Post
Hi!
Here are two long term charts a 240 min and a 120 min chart . The 240 min chart shows the near completion of a B wave, it can go higher 123.80% fib is at 4297.
The second chart is a 120 min chart with profiles . It is trading across the balance HVN and supported by the VWAP at 4226. It is also trading above the larger balance with the VPOC and VWAP at 4200. It would need to start trading below the VWAP at 4226 on the longer time frames There are a number of HVNS for support at 4217 the VAL of the balance a . Price as has spiked down to the HVN at 4207which is also the VAH of the larger balance . Price under that would start to look bearish.
If it turns out to be a C wave down it can go as low as the 4040 I hope this helps.

Great analysis


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  #14 (permalink)
futurestrader9979
Los Angeles
 
Posts: 16 since Feb 2021
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Thank you all for your responses! Definitely makes a lot more sense now.
I have been looking into Bitcoin and Ethereum futures, the volatility is amazing.
Definitely plan to start trading that soon.

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  #15 (permalink)
Mozart2112
Minoqua Wi USA
 
Posts: 123 since Sep 2019
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All of the above Complacency is setting in... the new highs being set are acting a little bit as resistance for now at least. Inflation or not

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  #16 (permalink)
 
josh's Avatar
 josh 
Georgia, US
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: SC
Broker: Denali+Rithmic
Trading: ES, NQ, YM
Posts: 6,245 since Jan 2011
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For some substance, consider active discussions here:

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  #17 (permalink)
partialfraction
Charles town, WV
 
Posts: 5 since Aug 2021
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ES seems a little tougher, but NQ was and is providing a lot more setups. NQ is more expansive, much prefer to trade it over ES.

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  #18 (permalink)
 
josh's Avatar
 josh 
Georgia, US
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: None
Platform: SC
Broker: Denali+Rithmic
Trading: ES, NQ, YM
Posts: 6,245 since Jan 2011
Thanks Given: 6,783
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It's all in what you prefer, and which provides the highest probability for you to succeed.

We continue to see rotations between growth and value, which gives some nice moves in NQ both ways.

ES continues to be stuck due to structural flows and will probably be so until next Monday, the 16th. However, knowing that any dip/drive is a buy, it certainly makes it easier.

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  #19 (permalink)
 HealthWealthTrade 
San Diego
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader, ThinkorSwim
Trading: ES S&P 500
Posts: 35 since Jan 2015
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Take a look at the ES from a 3 year weekly chart....you'll see that the bears and bulls are fighting to keep the ES from going into a downtrend.

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  #20 (permalink)
 
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 bobwest 
Western Florida
Site Moderator
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierra Chart
Trading: ES, YM
Frequency: Several times daily
Duration: Minutes
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vstolyarov View Post
ES is sometimes very slow mover/chops, try RTY, NQ (most favorable for bigger moves)

You are right.

Of course, sometimes NQ will take your head off, so a person may long for boring old ES.... Be careful what you wish for .

Everything changes. Wait a bit, and this will change too.

Bob.

When one door closes, another opens.
-- Cervantes, Don Quixote
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Last Updated on August 22, 2021


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