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Asian Session Traders (MJNK, N225M, HSI, HHI, MSI, MCH, KOSPI, SPI)


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Asian Session Traders (MJNK, N225M, HSI, HHI, MSI, MCH, KOSPI, SPI)

  #11 (permalink)
 steve2222 
Auckland, New Zealand
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: Sierra Chart
Broker: AMP/CQG
Trading: Whatever moves in my timezone
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josh View Post
Hi -- yes, I trade Nikkei and HSI most evenings -- just finished for the day in fact. My approach and setup is not so different from yours actually.

....................

Josh I see you are trading the HSI and not the MHI.

What intraday margin are AMP applying to your HSI trades?

I see AMP quote $4,000 but that does not seem logical. The MHI is only $500 and the point value multiplier is 5x so I would have thought the HSI should be only $2,500.

The HHI vs MCH is more in-line but actually goes the other way. Margins of $2,000 and $500 respectively with a point value multiplier of 5x as well.

A $4,000 margin means you use up $8,000 of account balance just placing one contract trade with an OCO profit & stop targets. Due to an OCO order type using 2 lots of margin.

https://www.ampfutures.com/trading-info/margins/
https://www.ampfutures.com/trading-info/contract-specifications/

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  #12 (permalink)
EStrader09
Toronto Canada
 
Posts: 24 since Dec 2019
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amoeba View Post
Looking for all Asian session traders, I know there are a few around here from comments. Hoping to start a thread for general discussion and ideas on products primarily active during the Asian session.

------------------------------------------------

To start it off, I have been a casual mini-nikkei trader for 3 years but recently have started looking at the HHI on HKFE for some added volatility. I work full time, my own business, so have my trading screens available all day.

All trading styles welcome to discuss, personally I have been a more structured day trader, often only one trade of the day, but this has more to do with the low volatility of the nikkei in recent times. Largest influences for me are general auction theory concepts, volume profile & market profile, basic price action. I do a lot of stats homework and look to apply my ideas in the direction of the historical probabilities.

Each day I develop a few higher timeframe hypothesis from daily bars & multi-day composite VP's, are we in balance, breaking away, etc.. then as the day opens I look for stats in favour of one of the hypothesis, initial balance stats, avg daily range, vpoc shifts, strong impulses. Then for entry I look for signs that allow for a structured risk placement.

Charts look like this most of the time:



Hope some more people can share their trading, I have lots of things I would love to discuss/learn regarding the HSI/HHI if some traders are active in that.

I actively trade both Asian and US session. I only trade ES/NQ for now in 3 separate accounts (myself, spouse and a prop firm). There are eight different setups ranging from scalping, day and swing trading that I execute manually everyday. This is the reason why I stick to one instrument to trade since my mind is so occupied each day to figure out which and which setup to trade and whether or not it's a fake setup to trap me in. There are specific rules that I apply to identify fake setup so I can back away.

In Asian session, I've been trading for years and I realize that ES/NQ becomes active by 3am-3pm US central time. I noticed quite often that ES/NQ tends to reverse its intraday direction ~3am or take a pause/consolidation ~6am before resuming its direction.

I don't mind to share live calls for day/swing setups that might last for hour to few hours with like minded traders who work extremely hard like me and is making consistent profits.

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  #13 (permalink)
 
josh's Avatar
 josh 
Georgia, US
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steve2222 View Post
Josh I see you are trading the HSI and not the MHI.

What intraday margin are AMP applying to your HSI trades?

I see AMP quote $4,000 but that does not seem logical. The MHI is only $500 and the point value multiplier is 5x so I would have thought the HSI should be only $2,500.

The HHI vs MCH is more in-line but actually goes the other way. Margins of $2,000 and $500 respectively with a point value multiplier of 5x as well.

A $4,000 margin means you use up $8,000 of account balance just placing one contract trade with an OCO profit & stop targets. Due to an OCO order type using 2 lots of margin.

https://www.ampfutures.com/trading-info/margins/
https://www.ampfutures.com/trading-info/contract-specifications/

Hey steve -- actually I have not noticed but yes it's $4K. When it's slow I will at times use the big contract but I am also happy to trade the mini, as I can be more granular with entries and exits by putting on multiples. I'm still not completely comfortable with HSI, so I am very conservative with trading it so far.

But you are correct, the margin doesn't make sense, given the margin requirement for the mini. I will ask them about this.

Actually the OCO order should not represent an additional margin requirement with an open position, as it represents an order to close. For example, a $500 margin on an open contract is required, and adding a bracket order to close does not add any margin. However, with no position on, there is a $1000 requirement for the bracket order since they are 2 orders to open. At least, that's what I'm showing here.

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  #14 (permalink)
 steve2222 
Auckland, New Zealand
 
Experience: Beginner
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josh View Post

Actually the OCO order should not represent an additional margin requirement with an open position, as it represents an order to close. For example, a $500 margin on an open contract is required, and adding a bracket order to close does not add any margin. However, with no position on, there is a $1000 requirement for the bracket order since they are 2 orders to open. At least, that's what I'm showing here.

Agreed, I think we are saying the same thing.

I was referring to say a limit order to go long that has an associated profit target order and stop loss order as an OCO as the theory is either the profit order or the stop loss order are hit and then the other is cancelled. This utilises 2 lots of margin.

On the other hand a limit order to go long that only has an associated stop loss order (but no profit target order) requires only 1 lot of margin.

Prediction is very difficult, especially about the future - Niels Bohr, Danish Physicist
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  #15 (permalink)
 
josh's Avatar
 josh 
Georgia, US
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In order to trade anything these days, you really have to think like an algo, because trading is predominantly algo-driven today. Even the "real" money being invested is given to an algo to execute the order. Hell, even retail brokers offer built-in algo execution (see IB). I'd say it's especially true of a market like HSI. You simply cannot fade the order flow, and I'd wonder how anyone can actually trade it without looking at a ladder, footprint, or something else to really see what's driving it.

I listened to an audio of Marty Schwartz some time ago, and he talked about how in the pit days, there was a physical stack of sell orders, and that traders would run those orders (even if they weren't supposed to know about them :-o as they were client orders) for liquidity. Well, the same thing happens today obviously. Except that the algos don't know where the stops are -- they don't get tired, they don't feel sorry for you, they just follow the program, which is to probe, probe, probe, over, and over, and over, until they find the liquidity. It's the source of the one-directional moves we see in all markets, including markets like the HSI, which just now rallied 150 points off new lows with a 15-20 tick max pullback.

But there's an upside to this challenging market. If you can identify when the order flow has really turned, and I mean turned so that the algos are clearly and unmistakably activated in one direction (usually up these days), you don't have to worry about catching the turn too precisely. In fact, I got in after 80 points, and still caught 60. Just get in, preferably on a little retracement if you can manage. They are working for you now. Their behavior, which would make you literally want to slam your head into a wall, now gives you a relatively easy trade. No, it's not always easy, but the key IMO is to let the trade come to you, and look for what is unmistakably a bid-up algo, and go with it.

I find that using delta gives a nice visual to what I see happening in the ladder. In order for this bid-up to work, it really requires positive delta -- if delta's not too positive, it means that there aren't enough traders covering, and covering is what makes it work, ultimately.

I'm quite sure this is nothing new to you guys, but I wanted to express it, having seen it multiple times in multiple markets today, and particularly in the HSI.

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  #16 (permalink)
 
josh's Avatar
 josh 
Georgia, US
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Experience: None
Platform: SC
Broker: Denali+Rithmic
Trading: ES, NQ, YM
Posts: 6,229 since Jan 2011
Thanks Given: 6,770
Thanks Received: 18,187

Re: the HHI ... this action from last night scares me, and was not mirrored in the HSI.

That's right, if you have margin to dump ~250 at the market, you can cause a mini flash crash in the HHI!


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  #17 (permalink)
EStrader09
Toronto Canada
 
Posts: 24 since Dec 2019
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josh View Post
In order to trade anything these days, you really have to think like an algo, because trading is predominantly algo-driven today. Even the "real" money being invested is given to an algo to execute the order. Hell, even retail brokers offer built-in algo execution (see IB). I'd say it's especially true of a market like HSI. You simply cannot fade the order flow, and I'd wonder how anyone can actually trade it without looking at a ladder, footprint, or something else to really see what's driving it.

I listened to an audio of Marty Schwartz some time ago, and he talked about how in the pit days, there was a physical stack of sell orders, and that traders would run those orders (even if they weren't supposed to know about them :-o as they were client orders) for liquidity. Well, the same thing happens today obviously. Except that the algos don't know where the stops are -- they don't get tired, they don't feel sorry for you, they just follow the program, which is to probe, probe, probe, over, and over, and over, until they find the liquidity. It's the source of the one-directional moves we see in all markets, including markets like the HSI, which just now rallied 150 points off new lows with a 15-20 tick max pullback.

But there's an upside to this challenging market. If you can identify when the order flow has really turned, and I mean turned so that the algos are clearly and unmistakably activated in one direction (usually up these days), you don't have to worry about catching the turn too precisely. In fact, I got in after 80 points, and still caught 60. Just get in, preferably on a little retracement if you can manage. They are working for you now. Their behavior, which would make you literally want to slam your head into a wall, now gives you a relatively easy trade. No, it's not always easy, but the key IMO is to let the trade come to you, and look for what is unmistakably a bid-up algo, and go with it.

I find that using delta gives a nice visual to what I see happening in the ladder. In order for this bid-up to work, it really requires positive delta -- if delta's not too positive, it means that there aren't enough traders covering, and covering is what makes it work, ultimately.

I'm quite sure this is nothing new to you guys, but I wanted to express it, having seen it multiple times in multiple markets today, and particularly in the HSI.

I somehow agree with you that we have to think like an algo in recent years in order to trade well. I don't use order flow, but I've developed a mechanism in my swing trading system which took years to bullet proof it. Each time when my swing system tells me that price action is strong in one direction, I either follow it to trade or skip it if I miss the entry point. If I take a trade against price action during such momentum periods, I can guarantee myself 99% of the time that the outcome of that trade is a disaster.

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  #18 (permalink)
 
amoeba's Avatar
 amoeba 
Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart, Python, C#
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: MJNK, ASX, SPI
Posts: 205 since Jan 2014
Thanks Given: 98
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josh View Post
Re: the HHI ... this action from last night scares me, and was not mirrored in the HSI.

That's right, if you have margin to dump ~250 at the market, you can cause a mini flash crash in the HHI!

It's interesting because I had felt that way about the HSI. That action must be in the ETH of the HHI correct? usually in the RTH I find more liquidity per a level than the HSI, but I am by no means an expert on these products, only been eyeballing for a few months.

The scariest thing I had seen is local/industry related news events, someone over in that area gets that news WAY before we do, I'm not talking 2-3 secs...

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  #19 (permalink)
 
amoeba's Avatar
 amoeba 
Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: Sierra Chart, Python, C#
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: MJNK, ASX, SPI
Posts: 205 since Jan 2014
Thanks Given: 98
Thanks Received: 284


josh View Post
In order to trade anything these days, you really have to think like an algo, because trading is predominantly algo-driven today. Even the "real" money being invested is given to an algo to execute the order. Hell, even retail brokers offer built-in algo execution (see IB). I'd say it's especially true of a market like HSI. You simply cannot fade the order flow, and I'd wonder how anyone can actually trade it without looking at a ladder, footprint, or something else to really see what's driving it.

I listened to an audio of Marty Schwartz some time ago, and he talked about how in the pit days, there was a physical stack of sell orders, and that traders would run those orders (even if they weren't supposed to know about them :-o as they were client orders) for liquidity. Well, the same thing happens today obviously. Except that the algos don't know where the stops are -- they don't get tired, they don't feel sorry for you, they just follow the program, which is to probe, probe, probe, over, and over, and over, until they find the liquidity. It's the source of the one-directional moves we see in all markets, including markets like the HSI, which just now rallied 150 points off new lows with a 15-20 tick max pullback.

But there's an upside to this challenging market. If you can identify when the order flow has really turned, and I mean turned so that the algos are clearly and unmistakably activated in one direction (usually up these days), you don't have to worry about catching the turn too precisely. In fact, I got in after 80 points, and still caught 60. Just get in, preferably on a little retracement if you can manage. They are working for you now. Their behavior, which would make you literally want to slam your head into a wall, now gives you a relatively easy trade. No, it's not always easy, but the key IMO is to let the trade come to you, and look for what is unmistakably a bid-up algo, and go with it.

I find that using delta gives a nice visual to what I see happening in the ladder. In order for this bid-up to work, it really requires positive delta -- if delta's not too positive, it means that there aren't enough traders covering, and covering is what makes it work, ultimately.

I'm quite sure this is nothing new to you guys, but I wanted to express it, having seen it multiple times in multiple markets today, and particularly in the HSI.

Great post! In a product like ES I would regularly look for delta divergence but have struggled to see similar patterns in the HSI/HHI, I would be keen to know more about how you look at it if you can spare a screenshot sometime.

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  #20 (permalink)
 ClutchAce 
Cookeville, TN
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierra Chart, IB, Python
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amoeba View Post
It's interesting because I had felt that way about the HSI. That action must be in the ETH of the HHI correct? usually in the RTH I find more liquidity per a level than the HSI, but I am by no means an expert on these products, only been eyeballing for a few months.

The scariest thing I had seen is local/industry related news events, someone over in that area gets that news WAY before we do, I'm not talking 2-3 secs...

Hi, can you note 1-2 examples of a date & time where the market volatility increased before the 'official' newswire? I assume you're not referring to the HK protests per se.

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