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Volatility
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Created: by Zachary Standley Attachments:14

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Volatility

  #11 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Favorite Futures: GC CL ES + MES as of MAY 2019
 
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Posts: 374 since Jul 2014
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Dare to pick Top & Bottom?

Sell-off.Day#11-#13
WED-FRI 10/24-10/26/2018
More than 10% 300 points loss from 2947 SEP's high
Here are updated 240M charts... for ITP-Inflection Turning Point

1. WED October 17th FOMC Minutes that failed break-out with haft way back S2804 T2646.75
2. WED October 24th Full-Moon & Beige Book that hit 2652 as Low-of-Day (5 points away from target)
3. Potential "short-squeeze" with 2 bearish Cypher patterns that could retest 2877 break-down point.

P.S.
Just another "dead-cat-bounce" with Bears attacked on THU 3pmET 2724 to retest the low and to new low 2646 that hit target on Friday 5:33amET.

Ready for mid-term U.S. election Tuesday, November 6th?

Enjoy!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
Volatility-w43.wed-s2804-t2650.2652lod-es-12-18-60-minute-2018_10_25-7_29_40-am-.png   Volatility-w43.wed-becypher.ptc2652lod-2t2877.retptbd-es-12-18-60-minute-2018_10_25-7_29_40-am-.png  

Last edited by TraderTS; October 26th, 2018 at 06:41 AM. Reason: Correcting Daily Target for S2800-2827 T2646.75
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  #12 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Favorite Futures: GC CL ES + MES as of MAY 2019
 
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Posts: 374 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 210 given, 286 received

EOM-Window Breaking/Dressing?

MON 10/29/2018
Sell-off.Day#14
EOM.End-of-month Window Breaking/Dressing? or just another Oversold Bounce?

Here is weekly updated 240M chart...
Last week, Pink Cypher pattern failled but Gray bearish Cypher pattern is still valid if holding above 2613; however,
Bullish Crab pattern hit target Friday retesting May's low @2626-2600 zone.
ES has to regain control of 2711 or else it would become Deep Crab pattern to retest February's low as Double Bottom, and possible going lower.

Expecting "wild swing" for Friday's monthly non-farm report plus the election is still another week away...

Enjoy!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
Volatility-revwly.w43-es-12-18-240-minute-2018_10_28-8_42_29-pm-becypher.ptc2647-2613.2ptd2877-retptbd.png  

Last edited by TraderTS; October 29th, 2018 at 07:55 PM. Reason: Total failure, is it? Failed break-out after 10amET and Gray Cypher failed at 3:45pmET with exhausted Sellers at the end.
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  #13 (permalink)
Brisbane Queensland Australia
 
 
Posts: 191 since Aug 2017
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NQ patterns in volatility , capitulation seller exhaustion and momentum shift


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  #14 (permalink)
Toronto , Ontario, Canada
 
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Ozquant View Post
NQ patterns in volatility , capitulation seller exhaustion and momentum shift


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what are the bottom panes below the price chart representing?

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  #15 (permalink)
Brisbane Queensland Australia
 
 
Posts: 191 since Aug 2017
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noobforlyfe View Post
what are the bottom panes below the price chart representing?

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Bottom red pane is bearish momentum , next green pane is bullish momentum and the top red col pane is regime filter , it is inverse to price so red up = price down . All are custom written parts of my models and not available publically

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  #16 (permalink)
Toronto , Ontario, Canada
 
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interesting, no worries i was not looking to have access. was just wondering as it didn't really have any title, so didn't know what exactly i was looking at.

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  #17 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
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Shake&Bake? or Hit&Run?

Another retested of May's low 2600 resulted as a shake-out, exhausted sellers at end-of-day...
Potential "short-squeeze" with bearish Cypher on 60M chart that could become Inverted Head & Shoulder in the making.

Enjoy!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
Volatility-w44mon.d14-es-12-18-60-minute-2018_10_29-7_23_06-pm-becypher-exhaustedsellers-potentialsque.png  
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  #18 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
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Posts: 374 since Jul 2014
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Trick or Treat?

WED 10.31.2018
First time in a long time... nothing to do in pre-market; homework is done, all charts are updated. Swing plus intraday trades are in progress.
At the end, not quite hitting T2770 yet, and Gap is still unfilled; so I decided to keep Swing but also took Intraday Short @2736 when retesting 50% level of bearish Cypher pattern...just in case Bears attack again at 3pmET.

It has to hold up 2700-2712 for higher targets by Friday's monthly report, and before Tuesday's election.

Happy Halloween!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
Volatility-revdly.w44wed.es-12-18-60-minute-2018_10_31-4_52_20-pm-eom-3pmet.swings2736.png  
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  #19 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
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The "D" day...

"D" is for point D of Cypher pattern T2774 on 60M chart.
Another hour until monthly NFP.non-FarmPayroll report for potential "Wild Swing"...
Depending on price action before report, trailing stop below ptB@2724? or taking profit now?
Likely taking profit because it's haft-way-back @2775 from being Bears attack again.

TGIF!


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
Volatility-revdly.w44fri.es-12-18-60-minute-2018_11_02-5_46_51-am-iswingl2647.75-becyphert2774.png  
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  #20 (permalink)
Dallas, TX USA
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker/Data: AMP Futures w/ CQG Data Feed
Favorite Futures: GC CL ES + MES as of MAY 2019
 
TraderTS's Avatar
 
Posts: 374 since Jul 2014
Thanks: 210 given, 286 received

The "Exception" to the Rule...


"Know the rule well so that you can break it effectively!".
Here is updated 240M Chart...

MON 10.29.2018 @3:45pmET
It's "BullTrap.ShakeOut.Hit&Run" type of day; however the Cypher pattern is still valid just because the candle that broke 141% 2613 closed above it.
Therefore, will keep this "chasing Hit&Run" Swing L2638 until mid-term election next Tuesday.

Welcome to November!
At least consider the October's Low as ITP-InflectionTurningPoint for now.


Find the missing piece of the puzzle... Let's be amazing, be awesome in trading today!
iTS
Attached Thumbnails
Volatility-rebwly.w44fri.es-12-18-240-minute-2018_11_02-6_26_38-am-addswingl2638-becyphert2877.png  
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