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NQ-nalysis

  #651 (permalink)
Nubevestor
Minneapolis Minnesota/US
 
Posts: 23 since Nov 2015
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Thanks for the advice, TTurner.

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  #652 (permalink)
Nubevestor
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I'll see your silly little consolidation channel and raise you a trip up into that larger rising channel.

[IMG]http://i235.photobucket.com/albums/ee284/King6083/NQ4-13Premarket_zps6k0d9kvt.png[/IMG]

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  #653 (permalink)
Nubevestor
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Price gapped up into the year open gap and climbed. Today's price action even caught the attention of the talking heads. One of them has even pronounced this a bull market that has only just begun. The new downward sloping red line is the one connecting the tops in the summer and fall, I'm sure you've seen a hundred times.

[IMG]http://i235.photobucket.com/albums/ee284/King6083/NDX4hr_zpshjpozgiq.png[/IMG]


Next up is a 30 minute of NQ. This one showing it climbing out of the flag, back into the upward channel and bouncing off the bottom of it during the overnight lows. The darler color is the overnight session.

[IMG]http://i235.photobucket.com/albums/ee284/King6083/NQ1hr_zpsnrtinnal.png[/IMG]

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  #654 (permalink)
Nubevestor
Minneapolis Minnesota/US
 
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First up is NDX hitting my downtrend line from previous tops and not giving back much,

[IMG]http://i235.photobucket.com/albums/ee284/King6083/NDX30_zpsenvot8n3.png[/IMG]


Next is a 30 minute of NQ that looks suspiciously toppish. /NQ is down .2% this morning and there was divergence in the RSI and most indicators I threw on the chart said sell, not buy, so maybe it's a buy. Still though it seems unpatriotic to fade the market on a Friday (kidding there) and OPEX week, buy looking at previous OPEX weeks, seems like a tough time to short.

[IMG]http://i235.photobucket.com/albums/ee284/King6083/NQ30_zpsd5d70tbr.png[/IMG]

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  #655 (permalink)
 
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 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
Experience: Beginner
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Hey guys,

I've noticed a decent amount of NQ traders, why don't we start this thread back up again? I'll start us off.

We are currently at all-time highs (or at least as far back as my data goes), how do you feel about that? Are you bullish? Do you think this is the beginning of a break-out / strong bull rally? Or are we



Anybody long right now? Long-term wise it seems like a good thing to be long, but I'm also a new trader so I don't know much

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  #656 (permalink)
 
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 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
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So these last 2 days have been slow volume and range wise. I'm sure the long-term players got into the market at ~4650 after we had the panic Friday. And for the ones that didn't probably did so after the fed announcement on Wednesday.

With very little coming up news-wise until Q3 corporate earnings and the GE, I was wondering the following:
  1. At what price point do you think we will see these bigger players step back into the NQ?
  2. Do you think the general election debates will have a big impact on the NQ or overall market sentiment? I know they'll have an impact but will it be a hiccup or some pneumonia?
  3. What other markets are you watching to see if those players will exit their respected markets and join the NQ train?
  4. What else are you paying attention to? Some technical stuff perhaps?

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  #657 (permalink)
Hickock
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SoftSoap View Post
So these last 2 days have been slow volume and range wise. I'm sure the long-term players got into the market at ~4650 after we had the panic Friday. And for the ones that didn't probably did so after the fed announcement on Wednesday.

With very little coming up news-wise until Q3 corporate earnings and the GE, I was wondering the following:
  1. At what price point do you think we will see these bigger players step back into the NQ?
  2. Do you think the general election debates will have a big impact on the NQ or overall market sentiment? I know they'll have an impact but will it be a hiccup or some pneumonia?
  3. What other markets are you watching to see if those players will exit their respected markets and join the NQ train?
  4. What else are you paying attention to? Some technical stuff perhaps?

  1. I think there should be some downward follow through tomorrow morning. How much is any ones guess.
  2. Possible, but the last run up on the NQ looked like big players goosing FaceBook higher. Not really buyers stepping in. Everything is extended and the Easter Bunny (FED) is quiet for some time.
  3. ES is in resistance and is not moving higher like the NQ. At this point it may be the true indicator of market strength or weakness.

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  #658 (permalink)
 
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 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
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Hickock View Post
  1. I think there should be some downward follow through tomorrow morning. How much is any ones guess.
  2. Possible, but the last run up on the NQ looked like big players goosing FaceBook higher. Not really buyers stepping in. Everything is extended and the Easter Bunny (FED) is quiet for some time.
  3. ES is in resistance and is not moving higher like the NQ. At this point it may be the true indicator of market strength or weakness.

Good call on this one, markets dropped quite a bit overnight and some of the morning as well. The drop might not be over either. What made you think that markets were going to drop this morning?

I've been paying attention to the ES and the YM as well. Neither of them managed to get back into the high territory of early September after the big sell-off Sept 9. The NQ did get back in there and broke new all-time highs in intraday, day close, and week close. But from what I've experienced so far (very little), it seems that eventually all the 3 indices end up being very close in how they move, so either the ES and YM would go up significantly or the NQ would drop significantly. With no oil cuts yet and talks about limiting commodity trading, and now the whole deutsche bank thing, that doesn't sound very likely.

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  #659 (permalink)
Hickock
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SoftSoap View Post
What made you think that markets were going to drop this morning?

It had hit all of the intermediate targets I had and was primed for a pull back.

The market has been on a huge rally since 6/27. It's out of gas for real buying as far as I am concerned. The fed BS and the FB/Apple rally were just short term manipulations for options pricing. Again, my opinion.

With the debate happening tonight they need it down for the fake rally overnight or in the morning to roll it over in a bigger way. My thinking is the big boys want even bigger ATH's at the end of the year. To get there you need selling now and fear so they can get in cheaper. They have exited a majority of their positions and want to re-enter at a better price. Not to mention make some money on the way down.

The debate may provide some of the fuel to get this started. No matter who is perceived to have "won", it is the excuse to to pull the rug out from under the record long positions.

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  #660 (permalink)
 
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 SoftSoap 
Canada
 
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16% drop on this stock today, and a short restriction has been set. This stock I believe is part of the top 1/3 of the NQ, or close to it.

Do you think it'll have any impact on the NQ?

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