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Long View: Historian sees S&P as low as 400


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Long View: Historian sees S&P as low as 400

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 kbit 
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Long View: Historian sees S&P as low as 400 - markets - FT.com

It's a video interview
P.S. for you guys that will post saying this guys full of it take it fwiw...I know opinions are like aholes, everybody has one. I'm just posting it for those who might be interested.

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 cw30000 
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Depend how you look at it. Under the fiat system, there is 0 change the S&P will go to 400. The central bank will just inflate. Since most of the population only look at the DOW/S&P and not the DX, central bankers just going to devaluate the dollar to push everything higher.

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 kbit 
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cw30000 View Post
Depend how you look at it. Under the fiat system, there is 0 change the S&P will go to 400. The central bank will just inflate. Since most of the population only look at the DOW/S&P and not the DX, central bankers just going to devaluate the dollar to push everything higher.

I don't necessarily disagree with you but, never say never....as you are undoubtedly aware the market can be irrational a lot longer than you can be solvent trying to chase/catch it. If the markets do tank who can really say where they would bottom.
Just saying.....

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 ThatManFromTexas 
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kbit View Post
I don't necessarily disagree with you but, never say never....as you are undoubtedly aware the market can be irrational a lot longer than you can be solvent trying to chase/catch it. If the markets do tank who can really say where they would bottom.
Just saying.....


Pundits predict a bear market for 10 years... one finally happens and everyone gives them credit for calling the Bear Market ...

Even a blind hog finds an acorn occasionally...

I'm just a simple man trading a simple plan.

My daddy always said, "Every day above ground is a good day!"
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 kbit 
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ThatManFromTexas View Post
Pundits predict a bear market for 10 years... one finally happens and everyone gives them credit for calling the Bear Market ...

Even a blind hog finds an acorn occasionally...

I guess you did not read my post scriptum...

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 whatnext 
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It's valuable that Napier brings up the possibility of a crashing in both the markets and the USD.

Even most pessimists think it will be one or the other and the alternative is at least worth consideration.

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 RM99 
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Bernanke and his band of idiots will continue to create slavery as long as the people of America allow the Fed to continue unchecked and private.

The problem is that these guys assume that everyone else understands what they're saying. They don't.

Americans are largely dumb and uneducated to these sorts of issues.

So, Bernanke will continue to hand out massive amounts of cash, in order to artificially prop up the numbers....

That's the problem with a sugar rush/red bull bender....as long as you keep drinking red bull, there's no crash.

In the interim, the American people are the victims of what amounts to a tax on everyone in the form of the dollar's weakness.

Sure, it's great for exports and hopefully that translates into jobs....eventually, but it's largely a giant game of international chicken with these currencies and inflation rates.

Until the central banks around the world get out of the business of manipulating the markets, we'll continue to see these boom and bust cycles.

As Ron Paul put it, we've got cheap cash rewarding sugar high companies and production and eventually, when inflation sets in and you can't print any more money without a can of soda costing $5, and the people finally put their collective foot down, you'll discover that the economy really hasn't "grown" at all....it's all paper and funny money.

What he's essentially trying to do is restore confidence to the entire system while extending the blow that we took for our excessive indulgence in real estate.......

The term some smart people use is "pay now or pay later." It's kicking the can down the road.....

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 kbit 
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Richard Koo Explains Why An Unwind Of QE2, With Nothing To Replace It, Could Lead To The Biggest Depression Yet | zero hedge

on a somewhat related note I saw the above at ZeroHedge
and the following at Smartmoney

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-invisible-stock-bubble-1305647031991

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 whatnext 
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Even with sellers continually outnumbering buyers by a huge amounts - some stock traders won't believe that HFT has largely replaced real buyers by driving up their max bid on orders.

NYSE's Euronext has even let a doc slip admitting as much.

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 kbit 
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Diary of a Mad Hedge Fund Trader

gonna get ugly ?

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Last Updated on October 9, 2011


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