NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





EURUSD M6E/6E Euro


Discussion in Currencies

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one Big Mike with 402 posts (490 thanks)
    2. looks_two Cashish with 192 posts (162 thanks)
    3. looks_3 terratec with 117 posts (213 thanks)
    4. looks_4 rassi with 113 posts (110 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one glennts with 1.9 thanks per post
    2. looks_two terratec with 1.8 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 Big Mike with 1.2 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 Cashish with 0.8 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 917,236 views
    2. thumb_up 3,050 thanks given
    3. group 204 followers
    1. forum 2,612 posts
    2. attach_file 1,255 attachments




 
Search this Thread

EURUSD M6E/6E Euro

  #461 (permalink)
 
kbit's Avatar
 kbit 
Aurora, Il USA
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TradeStation
Trading: futures
Posts: 5,854 since Nov 2010
Thanks Given: 3,295
Thanks Received: 3,364


Private Banker View Post
Seems like 3740 area is a good magnet for price in the short term provided no shocking news comes out. Beyond that, 39's or even 40's could be hit.

Hello P.B., I was thinking the same thing. That being said I will assess things again when/if it gets there

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
ZombieSqueeze
Platforms and Indicators
How to apply profiles
Traders Hideout
Pivot Indicator like the old SwingTemp by Big Mike
NinjaTrader
Better Renko Gaps
The Elite Circle
Trade idea based off three indicators.
Traders Hideout
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Spoo-nalysis ES e-mini futures S&P 500
29 thanks
Just another trading journal: PA, Wyckoff & Trends
25 thanks
Tao te Trade: way of the WLD
24 thanks
Bigger Wins or Fewer Losses?
23 thanks
GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
17 thanks
  #462 (permalink)
 
bnichols's Avatar
 bnichols 
Dartmouth NS
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: MC, MC.Net, NT, TWS
Broker: IB / IQFeed / Kids
Trading: Forex, stocks
Posts: 637 since Feb 2010
Thanks Given: 64
Thanks Received: 460


bnichols View Post
Trading the spot currency market and taking cues from http://forexmillion.com/forex-forecast/eur-usd, which on a slow news day (which today is not, it appears) seems to get the tipping points right more often than not, I've been long EUR/USD since the pivot (printed at 1.35673 on an NT 1800 tick chart) with 1/4 position targets at 1.36715 (MM 4/8), 1.37000 (obvious reasons), 1.37940 (MM 5/8 33 pips above R1) and 1.3889 (R2). Manual trailing stop fluctuates but mainly placed 2 pips below last retrace, presently 10 pips below price (currently~1.3656 @12:28 EST and contracting)

Edited to add: that said, am watching CNBC for news about the vote in Slovakia :-/

Edited to add: after slippage stopped out at 1.36445

Finally: due to volatility got in at the pivot in the right direction mostly by luck. Looking for a short now, in partially at 1.3641 after 2 consecutive divergences in the double stochastics but again, given the volatility, that can change in a heartbeat--may decide to sit on my hands if it starts to consolidate. Not expecting any mega trends today unfortunately, unless spot price breaks below 1.3525 per the source referred to above. Eventually all in (short) at 1.3668 with a break-even + 2 pip initial stop, waiting to decide on a target profile.

ETA: in the money when the Slovak vote went south around 4pm NY time so took 1/8th profits after 30 pips (1.3638). If price does break below 1.3525 it may turn into an interesting trade.

Typo correction--actual average entry price was 1.3672. Took another 1/8th risk off during the Asia-Pacific trade for 30 pips at 1.3608. Except for an AB pattern on the 200 tick spot currency chart between 5pm & 8pm and another around 8pm EST no real interruption in the down trend so far . Presently 1.35855. Still hoping for sparks at 1.3525. ETA again to add--excitement at 1.3525 if price breaks through what appears to be bids materializing around 1.3585 (**2nd screen shot)

Edited to add screen shots:



Consolidation (may back off 0.05M 1/8 stop to see if 1.3600 resistance holds since above that the 15EMA on the 1800 tick chart is going to more or less coincide with what is the Murry Math 4/8 line on the 200 tick chart, hopefully providing some additional resistance):


Edited to add: flat just after 11PM EST when price broke upward through MM 4/8 on 200 tick chart. Won't touch it now until I know whether it's consolidating or beginning a new upward trend (i.e., until bottom of first retrace in an uptrend). In any event it's likely going to bounce around the pivot (PP on the charts) until London opens & it's time to pack it in for the night.

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
  #463 (permalink)
 
Big Mike's Avatar
 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator
Developer
Swing Trader
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,442 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,215
Thanks Received: 101,603


Quite a down move on very light volume.



You can see one bar of 16384 volume (nothing magic about this figure) equals nearly the entire daily range, at end of session/after hour session.

With today's sideways movement, I simply shift most of what I said earlier to tomorrow. I think we will see 3500. Seeing 3200 by end of week is harder now simply due to time. If the bulls want to take charge, we need to see a close above 3700.

Mike

We're here to help: just ask the community or contact our Help Desk

Quick Links: Change your Username or Register as a Vendor
Searching for trading reviews? Review this list
Lifetime Elite Membership: Sign-up for only $149 USD
Exclusive money saving offers from our Site Sponsors: Browse Offers
Report problems with the site: Using the NexusFi changelog thread
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #464 (permalink)
 
Big Mike's Avatar
 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator
Developer
Swing Trader
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,442 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,215
Thanks Received: 101,603

Here is a daily chart and a 4h chart.

The daily has a monthly VWAP + stddev bands, the 4h chart has a 2-day VWAP.



Mike

We're here to help: just ask the community or contact our Help Desk

Quick Links: Change your Username or Register as a Vendor
Searching for trading reviews? Review this list
Lifetime Elite Membership: Sign-up for only $149 USD
Exclusive money saving offers from our Site Sponsors: Browse Offers
Report problems with the site: Using the NexusFi changelog thread
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #465 (permalink)
 
Big Mike's Avatar
 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator
Developer
Swing Trader
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,442 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,215
Thanks Received: 101,603


Eric j View Post
but I would expect sideways and untradeable since we had a big runup yesterday .

Nice call



Mike

We're here to help: just ask the community or contact our Help Desk

Quick Links: Change your Username or Register as a Vendor
Searching for trading reviews? Review this list
Lifetime Elite Membership: Sign-up for only $149 USD
Exclusive money saving offers from our Site Sponsors: Browse Offers
Report problems with the site: Using the NexusFi changelog thread
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #466 (permalink)
 
Fat Tails's Avatar
 Fat Tails 
Berlin, Europe
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: NinjaTrader, MultiCharts
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Keyboard
Posts: 9,888 since Mar 2010
Thanks Given: 4,242
Thanks Received: 27,102

@Big Mike

Not sure what the running VWAP bands are. Is that a rolling 24 hour volume-weighted moving average?

Have attached my version for comparison purposes.

Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	6E 12-11 (120 Min)  12_10_2011.jpg
Views:	183
Size:	124.2 KB
ID:	51679  
Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #467 (permalink)
 
Big Mike's Avatar
 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator
Developer
Swing Trader
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,442 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,215
Thanks Received: 101,603


Fat Tails View Post
@Big Mike

Not sure what the running VWAP bands are. Is that a rolling 24 hour volume-weighted moving average?

Have attached my version for comparison purposes.

It is a multi-session VWAP, not a rolling (continuous) VWAP. I am not the author of this code as I am still a newbie in Sierra Chart. I did recently code a rolling (continuous) + multi-session VWAP for MultiCharts, but it still needs to be tested.

For my charts in this thread, it is Sierra Chart, and this indicator describes it as a multi-session VWAP with a configurable number of 'days back'. For the daily chart (1d) I am using 20 session VWAP. For the smaller charts I am using a 2 session VWAP. In both cases, I tell the indicator to not reset the average on a new session.

Mike

We're here to help: just ask the community or contact our Help Desk

Quick Links: Change your Username or Register as a Vendor
Searching for trading reviews? Review this list
Lifetime Elite Membership: Sign-up for only $149 USD
Exclusive money saving offers from our Site Sponsors: Browse Offers
Report problems with the site: Using the NexusFi changelog thread
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #468 (permalink)
 
rassi's Avatar
 rassi 
the congo
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: North sea oil rig
Trading: Cl
Posts: 927 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 1,563
Thanks Received: 1,199

Keep an eye on the big picture guys, weeklys pointing to 1.4 spot

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #469 (permalink)
 
Big Mike's Avatar
 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator
Developer
Swing Trader
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,442 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,215
Thanks Received: 101,603

Lot of defense in the 3580's. If this area continues to hold then obviously the bulls are in control, and we could see 3800 today.

Mike

We're here to help: just ask the community or contact our Help Desk

Quick Links: Change your Username or Register as a Vendor
Searching for trading reviews? Review this list
Lifetime Elite Membership: Sign-up for only $149 USD
Exclusive money saving offers from our Site Sponsors: Browse Offers
Report problems with the site: Using the NexusFi changelog thread
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #470 (permalink)
 
Big Mike's Avatar
 Big Mike 
Manta, Ecuador
Site Administrator
Developer
Swing Trader
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Custom solution
Broker: IBKR
Trading: Stocks & Futures
Frequency: Every few days
Duration: Weeks
Posts: 50,442 since Jun 2009
Thanks Given: 33,215
Thanks Received: 101,603



rassi View Post
Keep an eye on the big picture guys, weeklys pointing to 1.4 spot

Yes anything is possible

I am surprised by how they are defending 3570-80 area so much, so far it rockets right out of that area. This last test especially, where price was moving forcefully down into the 70's, then now has bounced almost straight back up. That is 100 ticks down, then 100 ticks back up in short order.



If that continues then we could definitely see 3725 today, and I think 3800 is even within reach.


Mike

We're here to help: just ask the community or contact our Help Desk

Quick Links: Change your Username or Register as a Vendor
Searching for trading reviews? Review this list
Lifetime Elite Membership: Sign-up for only $149 USD
Exclusive money saving offers from our Site Sponsors: Browse Offers
Report problems with the site: Using the NexusFi changelog thread
Follow me on Twitter Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
Thanked by:




Last Updated on January 27, 2024


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts