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BTC valuation, forecasts


Discussion in Cryptocurrency

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BTC valuation, forecasts

  #11 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
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FuManChou View Post
I have no positions in Crypto as of today but thanks for putting this together for us.

your feed back is much appreciated!

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  #12 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
Thanks Given: 8
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Latest quantamental ST forecast using Deribit Option Flows, production rate, difficulty, hashrate, relative values to SPX, Oil, Gas, T. US Bank credit growth, and implied hedge fund exposures:

Still weakly bullish from the model:


Fun side note: I noticed that the Rasmussen Biden approval index has been inversely leading BTC prices, especially in the past 6 months where his approval had been plummeting:


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  #13 (permalink)
JasonBard
london
 
Posts: 7 since Oct 2016
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I have a small position in BTC, bought it at 3500 USD per coin, so given it hovers around the 60k USD mark and is predicted to increase even further, I kinda regret not having more But now it seems like it's too expensive to buy any more coins.

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  #14 (permalink)
bob666s
Auckland + auckland/new zealand
 
Posts: 65 since Jun 2016
Thanks Given: 8
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updated average marginal production cost at $35.7K~


Estimated current + future fair value (Price magnets)

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