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Webinar: Ethereum Futures from CME Group


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Webinar: Ethereum Futures from CME Group

  #21 (permalink)
 
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 SMCJB 
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Arch View Post
I think it would be a no brainer to add e-mini and e-micro bitcoin and ether futures. Demand would be sky high.


fivewhy View Post
I assure you that everyone knows this. That's not what's stopping it. What's stopping it is getting market makers on board. Market makers are necessary to close the bid ask spread. Retailers alone, no matter how much demand they may represent, won't do it. And the crypto space just isn't aged enough for most market makers.

At least, that's my opinion. I would like to believe this is true. If I'm wrong, I invite anyone to explain why. Because I would like to know. Until then, this is what I will believe.

While he didn't say it explicitly in the presentation I got the impression that making the contract large was done intentionally to reduce excessive speculation. I believe the question of market makers is moot. They have them in the large contract, there would be even more in a smaller contract. Anybody with access to both the cash and futures could try and make a market/arbitrage it. Trading Technologies allows you to do this. I have access to the Coinbase, BitMEX, and Deribit Crypto exchanges, and of course the CME and ICE Bitcoin futures. So Spreading any of these is as easy as spreading two CL futures contracts.


Big Mike View Post
Record $6.5B futures open interest signals traders are bullish on Ethereum
The open interest on Ethereum futures hit a record $6.5 billion as ETH rallied to $1,750 and traders increased their leverage.


https://cointelegraph.com/news/record-6-5b-futures-open-interest-signals-traders-are-bullish-on-ethereum?utm_source=Telegram&utm_medium=social

That's kind of misleading. OI is normally discussed in contracts not Notional.

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  #22 (permalink)
 EgoRisk 
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SMCJB View Post
While he didn't say it explicitly in the presentation I got the impression that making the contract large was done intentionally to reduce excessive speculation. I believe the question of market makers is moot. They have them in the large contract, there would be even more in a smaller contract. Anybody with access to both the cash and futures could try and make a market/arbitrage it. Trading Technologies allows you to do this. I have access to the Coinbase, BitMEX, and Deribit Crypto exchanges, and of course the CME and ICE Bitcoin futures. So Spreading any of these is as easy as spreading two CL futures contracts.

I see what you are saying, those are good points and I agree with you. Thanks!

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  #23 (permalink)
 
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In case anybody is interested, and still reading this, I ran some Margin Scenarios for COB 2/9

BTC H1 ($241,925 Notional) ~ $101,123 Initial Margin
BTC H1-J1 Spread ($3,425 Notional) ~ $3,630 Initial Margin

ETH H1 (91,825 Notional) ~ $45,454 Initial Margin
ETH H1-J1 Spread ($675 Notional) ~ $1,433 Initial Margin

BTC H1 - ETH H1 1:1 Spread ($150,100 Notional) ~ $107,000 Initial Margin ie benefiting from $39,577 in offsets
BTC H1 - ETH H1 1:2 Spread ($58,275 Notional) ~ $112,866 Initial Margin ie benefiting from $85,031 in offsets
BTC H1 - ETH H1 1:3 Spread ($33,550 Notional) ~ $118,743 Initial Margin ie benefiting from $130,485 in offsets

Question for somebody who actually trades cash crypto's (not futures). Can you trade the BTC:ETH, ie be long one and short the other, if so how do they margin that?

@Big Mike, @jokertrader, @TheShrike

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Yes, there are cross margin and isolated margin options at Binance.

I haven't looked at that with FTX but I imagine it's the same.

If you have a wallet, you can "open" an account at FTX in a couple minutes and transfer in a tiny bit of money to play.

SMCJB View Post
In case anybody is interested, and still reading this, I ran some Margin Scenarios for COB 2/9

BTC H1 ($241,925 Notional) ~ $101,123 Initial Margin
BTC H1-J1 Spread ($3,425 Notional) ~ $3,630 Initial Margin

ETH H1 (91,825 Notional) ~ $45,454 Initial Margin
ETH H1-J1 Spread ($675 Notional) ~ $1,433 Initial Margin

BTC H1 - ETH H1 1:1 Spread ($150,100 Notional) ~ $107,000 Initial Margin ie benefiting from $39,577 in offsets
BTC H1 - ETH H1 1:2 Spread ($58,275 Notional) ~ $112,866 Initial Margin ie benefiting from $85,031 in offsets
BTC H1 - ETH H1 1:3 Spread ($33,550 Notional) ~ $118,743 Initial Margin ie benefiting from $130,485 in offsets

Question for somebody who actually trades cash crypto's (not futures). Can you trade the BTC:ETH, ie be long one and short the other, if so how do they margin that?

@Big Mike, @jokertrader, @TheShrike

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  #25 (permalink)
 
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Thanks @Big Mike. Trading the futures but havent taken the cash plunge yet.


SMCJB View Post
In case anybody is interested, and still reading this, I ran some Margin Scenarios for COB 2/9

BTC H1 ($241,925 Notional) ~ $101,123 Initial Margin
BTC H1-J1 Spread ($3,425 Notional) ~ $3,630 Initial Margin

For Comparison, ICE Margin COB 2/9
BTM H1 $15,750 so 5 coins would be $78,750 vs $101,123 on CME.
BTM H1-J1 Spread $2,604 so 5 coins would be $13,020 vs $3,630 on CME.
So trade outrights on ICE but Spreads on CME!

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Those margins are insane, and the reason everyone is trading spot.

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  #27 (permalink)
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I think the pair is ETH/BTC ..have never traded it as I'm only HODLing and exchanging/storing 1 coin
I would think this would pertain to someone who trades the perpetual pairs with or without leverage even upto 100x
I believe there are some youtube videos on margining but this is more of a question for non US people I would think

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  #28 (permalink)
 
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Excuse the ugly chart, on my phone.


Screenshot_20210210-000724

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  #29 (permalink)
 
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Big Mike View Post
Those margins are insane, and the reason everyone is trading spot.

Coinbase and Gemini both don't allow margin trading. So their margins are more than double. Where else can an America trade spot at better margin rates (and not get killed on fees)?

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  #30 (permalink)
 
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Re: ETH:BTC I understand that you can trade it. My question is, as an American, lets say I have ample USD in my account, can I trade the ETH:BTC spread, or as @jokertrader said, can you only use it to move back and forth from one coin to the other - ie you are always net long?

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