NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





Grains & Beans


Discussion in Commodities

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one myrrdin with 125 posts (152 thanks)
    2. looks_two WoodyFox with 40 posts (33 thanks)
    3. looks_3 SMCJB with 36 posts (53 thanks)
    4. looks_4 Schnook with 31 posts (43 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 1.5 thanks per post
    2. looks_two Schnook with 1.4 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 myrrdin with 1.2 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 WoodyFox with 0.8 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 69,202 views
    2. thumb_up 338 thanks given
    3. group 49 followers
    1. forum 294 posts
    2. attach_file 44 attachments




 
Search this Thread

Grains & Beans

  #201 (permalink)
 
WoodyFox's Avatar
 WoodyFox 
Columbus, Ohio
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 409 since May 2016
Thanks Given: 196
Thanks Received: 876

Below is the institutional orders since Tuesday evening for Corn. The majority of todays buying is near the 400 mark. Read it as you will?





Reply With Quote
Thanked by:

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
MC PL editor upgrade
MultiCharts
Exit Strategy
NinjaTrader
Better Renko Gaps
The Elite Circle
Trade idea based off three indicators.
Traders Hideout
NT7 Indicator Script Troubleshooting - Camarilla Pivots
NinjaTrader
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Diary of a simple price action trader
26 thanks
Just another trading journal: PA, Wyckoff & Trends
25 thanks
Tao te Trade: way of the WLD
22 thanks
My NQ Trading Journal
16 thanks
HumbleTraders next chapter
9 thanks
  #202 (permalink)
 
Schnook's Avatar
 Schnook 
Munich, Germany
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierra Chart
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: liquid products
Posts: 570 since Jul 2016
Thanks Given: 1,166
Thanks Received: 1,917

Hey Woody,
First off, it's great that you've got this strategy working for you. I hope that your results exceed your expectations. Unfortunately, I'm having a little difficulty following along. Your chart of institutional orders does not show a title or axis labels, so frankly I have no idea what I'm looking at. Which also means I can't respond intelligently. Sorry.

Corn certainly has been bullish, though. With the benefit of hindsight I exited my swing position far too early. I even had another buy signal after the WAASDE report but didn't do anything.



The short-covering that I had been anticipating turned into a major flip long. This positioning story also helps explain corn's recent outperformance vs. soybeans. In beans, speculators seem to have reached full capacity, whereas in corn they clearly still have some room to add.



That said the rally in beans has shown signs of exhaustion, and the hedge fund and CTA community is now quite long across the board in grains. I was tempted to establish a swing short in beans on Monday's weakness but ended up only taking a few small scalps. Still stalking it, though. If corn shows any signs of exhaustion or weakness, or if we get a new tradable high in soybeans, I may have to jump in with a short then.

[COT data and chart are from https://www.barchart.com]

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #203 (permalink)
 
WoodyFox's Avatar
 WoodyFox 
Columbus, Ohio
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 409 since May 2016
Thanks Given: 196
Thanks Received: 876


@Schnook The charts are large institutional orders and the price they are entered at. They do serve as a accurate way to see direction in the market traded. The last 3 days have showed strong buying strength in the institutions. Until the institutions show some type of effort short, I would stay long in my trades. Just figured some peeps would like the value in them. I'm not sure many people follow this thread anyways, so I don't have to post. I do realize some of you guys are looking more long term.

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #204 (permalink)
 
Schnook's Avatar
 Schnook 
Munich, Germany
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierra Chart
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: liquid products
Posts: 570 since Jul 2016
Thanks Given: 1,166
Thanks Received: 1,917

I appreciate your posts, as I really do enjoy a good dialogue. I'm just trying to understand what you're saying. As mentioned, that chart doesn't show an x-axis label or any values (probably got cut off in the screengrab?), nor do I have any idea how you define "large institutional orders." Not trying to get you to reveal any secrets, but a chart without axis labels is kinda like a map without street names.

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #205 (permalink)
 
WoodyFox's Avatar
 WoodyFox 
Columbus, Ohio
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 409 since May 2016
Thanks Given: 196
Thanks Received: 876

@Schnook
I went ahead and edited the post with the charts to make it more clear what is being showed.

Schnook View Post
I appreciate your posts, as I really do enjoy a good dialogue. I'm just trying to understand what you're saying. As mentioned, that chart doesn't show an x-axis label or any values (probably got cut off in the screengrab?), nor do I have any idea how you define "large institutional orders." Not trying to get you to reveal any secrets, but a chart without axis labels is kinda like a map without street names.

Sent using the NexusFi mobile app

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #206 (permalink)
 
WoodyFox's Avatar
 WoodyFox 
Columbus, Ohio
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 409 since May 2016
Thanks Given: 196
Thanks Received: 876

@Schnook

One other thing to help clarify...using the data from the charts a VWAP can be made to help see direction. I don't always do this, but if it seems unclear it does help sometimes.



Institutional VWAP from Earlier Post




I went ahead and made one to date as of this post. Still no clear sign of Reversal. Just a little hesitation around the 403/404 area.


Institutional VWAP to Date



You could also look at buy and sell VWAP and monitor the spread.

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #207 (permalink)
 
WoodyFox's Avatar
 WoodyFox 
Columbus, Ohio
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: Futures
Posts: 409 since May 2016
Thanks Given: 196
Thanks Received: 876

Just a heads up, Institutions still have showed little attempt to short. All buy orders today...I'm holding long until something is more apparent.



Institutional Orders

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #208 (permalink)
CommodityChip
Budapest
 
Posts: 1 since Oct 2020
Thanks Given: 0
Thanks Received: 0

Hi Everyone. I am new here. I am looking for Brazilian crop data. Something similar like weekly USDA crop progress. Unfortunately i can't find it on google. There must be somewhat similar site right?

Reply With Quote
  #209 (permalink)
 myrrdin 
Linz Austria
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TWS
Broker: Interactive Brokers
Trading: Commodities
Posts: 1,938 since Nov 2014
Thanks Given: 3,687
Thanks Received: 2,651


CommodityChip View Post
Hi Everyone. I am new here. I am looking for Brazilian crop data. Something similar like weekly USDA crop progress. Unfortunately i can't find it on google. There must be somewhat similar site right?

CONAB publishes these data for Brazil. They are often cited in the Hightower Report.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Started this thread Reply With Quote
  #210 (permalink)
fundaman
Geneva
 
Posts: 1 since Jan 2020
Thanks Given: 0
Thanks Received: 1



CommodityChip View Post
Hi Everyone. I am new here. I am looking for Brazilian crop data. Something similar like weekly USDA crop progress. Unfortunately i can't find it on google. There must be somewhat similar site right?

Hi CommodityChip

SAFRAS publishes national crop progress data for Brazil, but I think their database is not free and the data is somewhat delayed.
Otherwise IMEA gives good details for Mato Grosso.

Unfortunately Brazilians are not as organised as the US...

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:




Last Updated on October 5, 2022


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts