Trading natural gas futures
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Trading natural gas futures


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Created April 3rd 2013 by mannya
Updated March 5th 2020 by SMCJB
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Trading natural gas futures

  #111 (permalink)
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SMCJB View Post
Effective COB May 1st Tier 1/Jun'19 NG Member margin requirement drops from $1650 to $1400. Jul-Oct drop $100 to $1200 in July and $1000 for Aug-Oct.
Non Member rates are 110% of these numbers.

Effective close the 28th, NG Member margin requirements increase as follows
Tier 1 (August) increases $100 from $1400 to $1500
Tier 2 (September) increases $150 from $1200 to $1350
Tier 3 (October) increases $200 from $1000 to $1200 (thats 20%!)
Non member initial margin requirements will be 110% of these values.

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  #112 (permalink)
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Effective close the 9th, NG Member margin requirements increase as follows
Tier 1 (August) increases $150 from $1500 to $1650
Tier 2 (September) increases $150 from $1350 to $1500
Non member initial margin requirements will be 110% of these values.

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  #113 (permalink)
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Natural Gas margin going up ~ $125 effective 7/16 but it only effects Tiers 3-8 which corresponds to delivery months Oct19-Mar20.
Aug & Sep are unchanged

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  #114 (permalink)
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36 BCF injection reported yesterday which was slightly below average and almost exactly what the market was expecting (the largest market survey had a mean expectation of 35.5). Cumulative injection for this season is still extremely high and currently the 2nd largest in over 10 years which is an interesting comparison to last year which was the 3rd lowest at this point!

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  #115 (permalink)
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EAI reported an 87 BCF injection today which for the 2nd week in a row was a record for this week of the year. Storage at 3,606 Bcf is 511 Bcf above inventories for this time last year and 28 Bcf above the five-year average. While we have only recently superseded the 5 year average, total injections this year will probably end up as the 2nd largest on record (trailing 2014) and approximately 650 BCF more than what we injected last year!

Gas prices in the Permian Basin (West Texas) for the Balance of October are below 20c/mmBTu and for next month are under 75c/MMBtu. Most expensive gas in the country for November? Sumas (WA/Canadian Border) is $3.70, Socal Citygate (LA) $3.15, PG&E (SanFran) $3.10 and Algonquin (Boston) $3.05

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  #116 (permalink)
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Isn't Natural gas prices a lot lower compared to last year when it spiked and mauled the sellers around the same time?

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  #117 (permalink)
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SMCJB View Post
EAI reported an 87 BCF injection today which for the 2nd week in a row was a record for this week of the year. Storage at 3,606 Bcf is 511 Bcf above inventories for this time last year and 28 Bcf above the five-year average. While we have only recently superseded the 5 year average, total injections this year will probably end up as the 2nd largest on record (trailing 2014) and approximately 650 BCF more than what we injected last year!

Gas prices in the Permian Basin (West Texas) for the Balance of October are below 20c/mmBTu and for next month are under 75c/MMBtu. Most expensive gas in the country for November? Sumas (WA/Canadian Border) is $3.70, Socal Citygate (LA) $3.15, PG&E (SanFran) $3.10 and Algonquin (Boston) $3.05

I sold my speculative long NGH C3 this week with a nice profit, and joint MRCI buying the (bearish) NGH-NGF spread. As a principle, I do not sell NG options in the Z, F, G, and H contracts.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #118 (permalink)
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Neelkanth View Post
Isn't Natural gas prices a lot lower compared to last year when it spiked and mauled the sellers around the same time?

7-Nov-18 $3.555
28-Nov-18 $4.715 (High Close)
7-Nov-19 $2.772

EIA Stocks
8-Nov-18 3208 BCF
7-Nov-19 3729 BCF

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  #119 (permalink)
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myrrdin View Post
I sold my speculative long NGH C3 this week with a nice profit, and joint MRCI buying the (bearish) NGH-NGF spread. As a principle, I do not sell NG options in the Z, F, G, and H contracts.

Best regards, Myrrdin

After being stuck in a 15c range for a month, NG has has a nice 45c/nearly 20% move in the last two weeks. Congratulations. While we have been experiencing near record high injections almost every week, this weeks 34 BCF was actually below average. While inventory has grown at the second fastest rate ever this summer, and is >500 BCF over last year, it's actually only barely above the 5 year average.

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  #120 (permalink)
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EIA Report :- Natural gas prices in 2019 were the lowest in the past three years

https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=42455

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