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CL Overview
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CL Overview

  #11 (permalink)
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I agree and have had $90 oil on my prediction list for a bit now....Here is a chart of the daily picture with my interpretation of it. $90.48 is 125% extension of the recent retracement.

89.41 is 75% fib on the major short leg so the $90.00 oil price should result in some chop on the daily chop and a possible pull back as well....We may see the pull back before it gets there but I think it powers to $90 over the next few days.

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  #12 (permalink)
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Most so called experts were predicting that CL would settle into a range between $80 and $85.

It's fun to speculate, do you guys think we will move back down to $80 or hit $90 first?

Mike

After running up to high 88.xx, we're now back down to 85... so 80-85 range?

Mike

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  #13 (permalink)
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Big Mike View Post
After running up to high 88.xx, we're now back down to 85... so 80-85 range?

Mike

84.35 is a 50% retracement on the last leg up....that means it either needs to hold there or we see 80.00 again before moving back higher.....I am voting for consolidation here in the 83.5-85.5 range then an attempt at 90.

We'll see....my prediction of powering to 90 fell short a bit.

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  #14 (permalink)
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Since my last post CL tested breakout area, then moved up to 88,63, couldn´t reach $90 perhaps because of divergence on a daily chart and now retest of daily trendline. We´ll see what will happen...
DX is also testing a resistance area.

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TempletonPeck View Post
Since my last post CL tested breakout area, then moved up to 88,63, couldn´t reach $90 perhaps because of divergence on a daily chart and now retest of daily trendline. We´ll see what will happen...
DX is also testing a resistance area.

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Crude didn't top out because of the divergence on the chart. The divergence on the chart might have been one clue that CL was over bought and susceptible to price exhaustion, but not the cause of CL selling off. It was in part, event driven by changes in macro-economic conditions, i.e., China and the dollar, and in part driven by changes in micro-economic and technical conditions, i.e, everybody was stuck the same way. Charts are only a graphical representation of price action, that gives you a point of reference and reflects what is transpiring in the marketplace.

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tigertrader View Post
Crude didn't top out because of the divergence on the chart. The divergence on the chart might have been one clue that CL was over bought and susceptible to price exhaustion, but not the cause of CL selling off. It was in part, event driven by changes in macro-economic conditions, i.e., China and the dollar, and in part driven by changes in micro-economic and technical conditions, i.e, everybody was stuck the same way. Charts are only a graphical representation of price action, that gives you a point of reference and reflects what is transpiring in the marketplace.

Yes, you´re right. Perhaps I have not made myself clear. What I meant to say was that divergence on a higher timeframe is a notable hint that a retracement might occur soon.

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Mike's chart

Hello Mike just looking at your charts, what times do you use stop and starting time. Do you pay attention to the overnight. And what is the reason behind it?

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incometrade View Post
Hello Mike just looking at your charts, what times do you use stop and starting time. Do you pay attention to the overnight. And what is the reason behind it?

I start trading when I am calm, focused, prepared and the market is moving a manner that makes sense to me. I stop trading when I am anxious, distracted or if the market is moving in a manner that I do not understand.

I do have 24h globex charts open and use them for session high and low. My 5m chart is a RTH chart as I prefer to see the gaps and prefer to use cash session pivots.

Mike

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Again a rebound at the important resistance area around 86 $.

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  #20 (permalink)
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I think if we can close above 86.00 today then we will test 89 again.

Mike

Due to time constraints, please do not PM me if your question can be resolved or answered on the forum.

Need help?
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4) Accept responsibility for your actions. Stop looking elsewhere to explain away poor performance.
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