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Trend Indicator


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Trend Indicator

  #1 (permalink)
 vitorino 
Westfield, NJ 07090 USA
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader
Broker: Rithimic/Mirus
Trading: futures
Posts: 4 since Dec 2010
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Thanks Received: 1

Hi brothers,,

I am working on auto trade system, I believe that best way is follow trend...

What the best trend indicator for you??


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  #3 (permalink)
 tpredictor 
North Carolina
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: NinjaTrader, Tradestation
Trading: es
Posts: 644 since Nov 2011


Most trend following systems were popularized a long time ago (say 70's or so) when information took a lot longer to propagate. Even then, the trend following systems often relied on trading a basket of markets to be profitable. I think it would be difficult to be profitable as a pure trend follower unless you can combine it with fundamental or something other then price. For example, I predicted the low in the dollar like a couple years ago and that it would trend but this was based on various macro-sentiment factors and not technical analysis. Now, that would have have been an ideal opportunity to apply a trend following methodology. But, if you just apply trend following to some random basket, be prepared for sharp drawdowns and years of flat performance.

That's the problem with trend following. Which way is the trend? Is it up or down? It can look up and down based on what time frame you look at it.

As far as methods, something you might find works better then lagging indicators or moving averages is to use pivot levels or "median price" because that it should be more responsive.

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  #4 (permalink)
 vitorino 
Westfield, NJ 07090 USA
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader
Broker: Rithimic/Mirus
Trading: futures
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Thank you for information, in fact my system have times profitable and flat.. I never focus on pivot,,
I will tale a close look over pivot.. see how can use this information over my system

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  #5 (permalink)
 
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 Liquidity Taker 
Plymouth, Michigan
 
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Trend followers usually use break out/ break down ... donchian was pioneer in that so a donchian indicator would be useful


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  #6 (permalink)
 SpeculatorSeth   is a Vendor
 
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I like to use where we are compared to the VWAP to determine the daily trend.

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 forgiven 
Fletcher NC
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vitorino View Post
Hi brothers,,

I am working on auto trade system, I believe that best way is follow trend...

What the best trend indicator for you??


ADX indicator

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  #8 (permalink)
Ozquant
Brisbane Queensland Australia
 
Posts: 220 since Aug 2017
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W%R is a great trend measuring tool as it measures new highs and lows over 'x' periods . Literally almost any oscillator will measure/filter trend . I find W%R a great tool for systems development as it a very versatile filter

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  #9 (permalink)
 
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 Blash 
Chicago, IL
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vitorino View Post
Hi brothers,,

I am working on auto trade system, I believe that best way is follow trend...

What the best trend indicator for you??


Take a look at @kevinkdog his threads, his book(s) all he has to offer.

Being totally honest, to the point and with the best of intentions, for your benefit, I am forced to say: You have a considerable amount to learn regarding trading asked a question like this. Find a mentor, a group of them, to help shorten your learning curve. Mentors via a book, works wonders to start. Hopefully starting with @kevinkdog.

You need to learn about yourself. Only you can answer the question you posed. Trading is very individual, a business. You have to find what is best suited for you. Your ability to tolerate risk etc etc.

Ron

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The steed of this Valley is pain; and if there be no pain this journey will never end.
Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)
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  #10 (permalink)
 Traderjohnsblog 
Tampa florida usa
 
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I hope this helps. The problem with most automatic trading systems is not identifying a trend but staying out of non trending markets. I have seen many systems score big returns in a trend and give it all back and them some as it gets chopped up in non trending markets.

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Last Updated on November 1, 2017


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