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Meats
Updated: Views / Replies:3,229 / 53
Created: by myrrdin Attachments:1

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Meats

  #11 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
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myrrdin View Post
Bear spreads in the hog market are doing well this year, as suggested by seasonal charts.

I hold the LHG8-LHV7 and the LHJ-LHZ for a while.

The first one should move upwards now according to seasonals, but I expect cash price coming further down, and the bear spread moving further upwards. (This spread also serves as a hedge for my LHG puts.)

The second one should move upwards according to seasonals until November.

Best regards, Myrrdin

Sold the LH bear spreads, and protect the LHG puts now via LHZ calls.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #12 (permalink)
Bel Air, Maryland
 
 
Posts: 22 since Jul 2017

MathematicsoftheGrid

No way Feeder Cattle continues going up (160.6).

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  #13 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
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myrrdin View Post
Sold the LH bear spreads, and protect the LHG puts now via LHZ calls.

Best regards, Myrrdin

I currently do not see any interesting trades in the meats with the exception of selling options (see thread "Diversified Option Selling Portfolio").
.
Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #14 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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myrrdin View Post
I currently do not see any interesting trades in the meats with the exception of selling options (see thread "Diversified Option Selling Portfolio").
.
Best regards, Myrrdin

Tomorrow, Friday, the cattle on feed report will be published after the close. In the past, this report has caused limit moves once in a while.

I suggest to adjust positions accordingly.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #15 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
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Tomorrow, Thursday, the hogs & pigs report will be published at 2 pm Central Time. In the past, this report has caused limit moves once in a while.

I suggest to adjust positions accordingly.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #16 (permalink)
Legendary Market Wizard
Houston, TX
 
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Excellent source of "free" US Livestock Information

Daily Livestock Report
www.dailylivestockreport.com
The Daily Livestock Report provides a one-page summary of news, prices, fundamental indicators, and trading activity on CME's Livestock Complex. Daily illustrations of supply and demand factors help you learn to track the markets and anticipate price trends. (The report is an Adobe PDF file and requires Adobe Acrobat Reader® to preview. The report is best viewed using Adobe Reader 4.0 or higher).

Signup it's free and arrives in your mailbox every day.

They also mentioned the following "free" KSU monthly report

"Focus on Feedlots"
https://www.asi.k-state.edu/about/newsletters/focus-on-feedlots/
Focus on Feedlots was created in 1990 at Kansas State University to provide basic feedlot performance data for steers and heifers, and feed ingredient prices. Each month, closeout data from various Kansas feedlots are summarized to provide average values for days on feed, average daily gain, harvest weight, dry matter feed conversion, cost of gain, and death loss, as well as corn and alfalfa hay prices. The Monthly Reports are available as Adobe PDF files. An Excel spreadsheet of the data is available upon request. Links to individual tables of each year's data (Yearly Data tables), charts for the four most recent years (Yearly Charts), and charts for three-year averages since 1990 (Three-year Average Charts) are located on this web page.

I did check and can't see that these sources haven't been mentioned anywhere in this thread yet. I can't claim credit though because I'm sure somebody else at futures.io told me about it. (Maybe @myrrdin in his diversified options thread.)

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  #17 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
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SMCJB View Post
Excellent source of "free" US Livestock Information

Daily Livestock Report
www.dailylivestockreport.com
The Daily Livestock Report provides a one-page summary of news, prices, fundamental indicators, and trading activity on CME's Livestock Complex. Daily illustrations of supply and demand factors help you learn to track the markets and anticipate price trends. (The report is an Adobe PDF file and requires Adobe Acrobat Reader® to preview. The report is best viewed using Adobe Reader 4.0 or higher).

Signup it's free and arrives in your mailbox every day.

They also mentioned the following "free" KSU monthly report

"Focus on Feedlots"
https://www.asi.k-state.edu/about/newsletters/focus-on-feedlots/
Focus on Feedlots was created in 1990 at Kansas State University to provide basic feedlot performance data for steers and heifers, and feed ingredient prices. Each month, closeout data from various Kansas feedlots are summarized to provide average values for days on feed, average daily gain, harvest weight, dry matter feed conversion, cost of gain, and death loss, as well as corn and alfalfa hay prices. The Monthly Reports are available as Adobe PDF files. An Excel spreadsheet of the data is available upon request. Links to individual tables of each year's data (Yearly Data tables), charts for the four most recent years (Yearly Charts), and charts for three-year averages since 1990 (Three-year Average Charts) are located on this web page.

I did check and can't see that these sources haven't been mentioned anywhere in this thread yet. I can't claim credit though because I'm sure somebody else at futures.io told me about it. (Maybe @myrrdin in his diversified options thread.)

According to their homepage, the Daily Livestock Report now costs $69 per year.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #18 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: Zaner360, TWS, Vantage
Broker/Data: DeCarley, IAB, RJO
Favorite Futures: Commodities
 
Posts: 1,525 since Nov 2014
Thanks: 1,880 given, 1,990 received

I currently hold the following future position in the meats:

LHG9-LHV8.

LHG

The reason is the seasonal chart. I added the outright LHG future recently to be prepared if USA and Mexico, large importer of LH, make peace again.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #19 (permalink)
London, UK
 
 
Posts: 68 since Jan 2018
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myrrdin View Post
I currently hold the following future position in the meats:

LHG9-LHV8.

LHG

Best regards, Myrrdin

Interesting trade. Last month, I opened the HEZ18-HEK19 after I saw it on seasonalgo. Opened at around -17, and
currently in profit.

Attached Thumbnails
Meats-he.png  
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  #20 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
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Broker/Data: DeCarley, IAB, RJO
Favorite Futures: Commodities
 
Posts: 1,525 since Nov 2014
Thanks: 1,880 given, 1,990 received



zxcv64 View Post
Interesting trade. Last month, I opened the HEZ18-HEK19 after I saw it on seasonalgo. Opened at around -17, and
currently in profit.

You bought the HEZ and sold the HEK ?

I do not like trading the May and July contracts in the hogs, as they are extremely thinly traded. Sometimes - for this reason - they show strange moves.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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