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Grains & Beans
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Created: by myrrdin Attachments:0

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Grains & Beans

  #61 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
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maxinger View Post
no problem for not publishing the seasonal charts.

I see that you long the CZ18 - C Z19 spread.
I see that historic low for this spread was negative 18.
And you probably long around negative 16.
Seems like you got a good price. Am I right?

How long do you expect to hold on to this trade?

I had several buy orders from 12.5 downwards. Was a bit early, but you never know.

I intend to hold this spread longterm through the South American growing season. In case La Nina gets reality and there is severe dryness in Brazil, the spread should move upwards strongly. If not, it should still make some money, according to the seasonals.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #62 (permalink)
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Macro - Grains

An interesting piece from Kevin Muir on grains in the second half of his post. The overall inflation theme creeping into markets could see the grain market get some bids.

The Macro Tourist | IT'S NOT TOO LATE

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  #63 (permalink)
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The next USDA Report will be published on October, 12th. The October Report is among the more important reports as the first (more or less) reliable figures for the crop size will be published. I suggest to keep lot sizes small as this report can be a market mover.

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  #64 (permalink)
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According to reuters, there was damage to Soybean crop due to the hurricanes.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-us-soybeans/chinas-u-s-soybean-imports-...op-quality-idUSKCN1C90DA

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  #65 (permalink)
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manuel999 View Post
According to reuters, there was damage to Soybean crop due to the hurricanes.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-us-soybeans/chinas-u-s-soybean-imports-...op-quality-idUSKCN1C90DA

I am bullish for the next couple of months as long as there is a high probability for La Nina to occur. Soil in Brazil already is dry, and further dryness will cause a relatively small crop. Remember: Brazil supplies a significant share of the world-wide crop.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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