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Softs (Fundamentals)
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Created: by myrrdin Attachments:10

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Softs (Fundamentals)

  #11 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
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Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for December:

https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?sp...pReportId=OTIwNzM3NDcxS0

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #12 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Trading Experience: Advanced
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Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for January:

https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?sp...pReportId=OTQwNzY1NjI0S0

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #13 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for March:

https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?sp...pReportId=OTgwNzEwNTk1S0

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  #14 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for April:


https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?sp...eportId=MTAwMTA1NTQyMgS2

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #15 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
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Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for May:

https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?el...lqat=1&elqCampaignId=904

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #16 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for July:

https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?el...qat=1&elqCampaignId=1169

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  #17 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Seasonals for lumber show downwards until October. Lumber price is close to its 10 year high.

As it is difficult to foresee, if lumber will make a further move upwards, I proceeded as follows:

Sold one lot at $388, placed another order just below $400, and placed the order for the third lot below the annual high. Stop at a close above the annual high.

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  #18 (permalink)
Market Wizard
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Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for August:

https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?el...qat=1&elqCampaignId=1304

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  #19 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
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I hold a long position in coffee, as the blooming period in Brazil approaches and the weather forecast is dry. COT data is bullish. My stop is close, as a change in the weather forecast will bring coffee price down again.

I also hold a long position in cocoa for months, covered by calls (currently CCZ C2100) above the market. The expected move upwards of the underlaying does not happen, but the options make money. COT data is bullish.

Lumber might get interesting after the hurricanes have gone. Seasonals are bearish for the next couple of weeks.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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  #20 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Linz Austria
 
Trading Experience: Advanced
Platform: Zaner360, TWS, Vantage
Broker/Data: DeCarley, IAB, RJO
Favorite Futures: Commodities
 
Posts: 1,544 since Nov 2014
Thanks: 1,917 given, 2,041 received


Monthly report on fundamentals of softs for September:

https://www.theice.com/publicdocs/futures_us/ICE_Monthly_Softs_Fast_Facts.pdf?el...qat=1&elqCampaignId=1446

Best regards, Myrrdin

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