NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





The CL Crude-analysis Thread


Discussion in Commodities

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 681 posts (1,268 thanks)
    2. looks_two mfbreakout with 303 posts (479 thanks)
    3. looks_3 WilleeMac with 275 posts (218 thanks)
    4. looks_4 ron99 with 165 posts (262 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 1.9 thanks per post
    2. looks_two mfbreakout with 1.6 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 ron99 with 1.6 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 WilleeMac with 0.8 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 604,065 views
    2. thumb_up 3,550 thanks given
    3. group 286 followers
    1. forum 2,692 posts
    2. attach_file 644 attachments




 
Search this Thread

The CL Crude-analysis Thread

  #1 (permalink)
 
tturner86's Avatar
 tturner86 
Portland, Oregon
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: F-16CM-40
Trading: GBU-39
Posts: 6,191 since Sep 2013
Thanks Given: 10,459
Thanks Received: 12,695

Since I was on the ignore list for IT7 I can't post to the thread he started. So I figured I would start a new thread to discuss CL.

I have been observing it and will start to take some trades in it.

This is open to everyone. Please feel free to post ideas and trades.

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
The following 16 users say Thank You to tturner86 for this post:

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
ZombieSqueeze
Platforms and Indicators
Request for MACD with option to use different MAs for fa …
NinjaTrader
My NT8 Volume Profile Split by Asian/Euro/Open
NinjaTrader
NexusFi Journal Challenge - April 2024
Feedback and Announcements
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Retail Trading As An Industry
67 thanks
Battlestations: Show us your trading desks!
48 thanks
NexusFi site changelog and issues/problem reporting
47 thanks
GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
32 thanks
What percentage per day is possible? [Poll]
31 thanks

  #3 (permalink)
 
tturner86's Avatar
 tturner86 
Portland, Oregon
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: F-16CM-40
Trading: GBU-39
Posts: 6,191 since Sep 2013
Thanks Given: 10,459
Thanks Received: 12,695


Saudi Arabia's Political Play In Oil - Business Insider

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
The following 4 users say Thank You to tturner86 for this post:
  #4 (permalink)
 
lemons's Avatar
 lemons 
Tallinn, Estonia
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: SC
Trading: NAS100
Posts: 959 since Nov 2010


Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)
 
trendisyourfriend's Avatar
 trendisyourfriend 
Quebec Canada
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: AMP/CQG
Trading: ES, NQ, YM
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 4,526 since Oct 2009
Thanks Given: 4,167
Thanks Received: 6,018

Did look at the CL using my good old metatrader platform. Different than NT profiles but gives a good enough picture of the landscape.

There was an excellent short at a level of supply on the weekly chart (30 min.) corresponding to the monthly VAL. So we are back around the weekly open with a series of HH HL pointing up but within the value area on the weekly chart but out of balance on the monthly. Would be interesting to see price returning within the monthly value area to activate the bulls in us all. However, there is no hurry to take every change of direction. Wait for a good short area as it is the path of least resistance.


Reply With Quote
The following 4 users say Thank You to trendisyourfriend for this post:
  #6 (permalink)
 
lemons's Avatar
 lemons 
Tallinn, Estonia
 
Experience: Beginner
Platform: SC
Trading: NAS100
Posts: 959 since Nov 2010

Looking bounce of at PP

Reply With Quote
  #7 (permalink)
 
tturner86's Avatar
 tturner86 
Portland, Oregon
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: F-16CM-40
Trading: GBU-39
Posts: 6,191 since Sep 2013
Thanks Given: 10,459
Thanks Received: 12,695

Is The 'Oil Glut' A Myth? | Seeking Alpha

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Started this thread Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to tturner86 for this post:
  #8 (permalink)
 
SMCJB's Avatar
 SMCJB 
Houston TX
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TT and Stellar
Broker: Advantage Futures
Trading: Primarily Energy but also a little Equities, Fixed Income, Metals and Crypto.
Frequency: Many times daily
Duration: Never
Posts: 5,033 since Dec 2013
Thanks Given: 4,359
Thanks Received: 10,172



I agree "Oil Glut" is probably an over dramatization. The big difference between now and 2009 that he references is that in 2009 we saw temporary demand destruction and people were expecting demand to come back, one reason long dated prices were significantly higher than spot. Today people do not expect a significant shift in supply/demand over the next year, hence why they long dated curve has plummeted as well and we do not see the contango that we did in 2009.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to SMCJB for this post:
  #9 (permalink)
 
trendisyourfriend's Avatar
 trendisyourfriend 
Quebec Canada
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: AMP/CQG
Trading: ES, NQ, YM
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 4,526 since Oct 2009
Thanks Given: 4,167
Thanks Received: 6,018

There were two opportunities to the upside. One at 6:00am EST and another at 8:00am EST after a bounce from the value area low (weekly) and a higher high price did pullback to a micro level of support twice.


Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to trendisyourfriend for this post:
  #10 (permalink)
 
TheShrike's Avatar
 TheShrike 
Bridgeport, Ct
 
Experience: None
Broker: Tasty
Trading: Fops
Posts: 533 since Jun 2012
Thanks Given: 1,588
Thanks Received: 922


I'll be watching to see what happens at 59. Could go up, could go down, could not even get there, but that's where I'm looking to make my next decision.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to TheShrike for this post:





Last Updated on March 5, 2024


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts