NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





The CL Crude-analysis Thread


Discussion in Commodities

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 683 posts (1,274 thanks)
    2. looks_two mfbreakout with 303 posts (479 thanks)
    3. looks_3 WilleeMac with 275 posts (218 thanks)
    4. looks_4 ron99 with 165 posts (262 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 1.9 thanks per post
    2. looks_two mfbreakout with 1.6 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 ron99 with 1.6 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 WilleeMac with 0.8 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 617,626 views
    2. thumb_up 3,558 thanks given
    3. group 286 followers
    1. forum 2,696 posts
    2. attach_file 644 attachments




 
Search this Thread

The CL Crude-analysis Thread

  #1431 (permalink)
 
LukeGeniol's Avatar
 LukeGeniol 
Italy (IT) Italy
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: ATAS, R|Trader, NT8
Broker: Rithmic
Trading: CL, Brent, GC, TF
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 1,499 since Apr 2010
Thanks Given: 408
Thanks Received: 985

Crude oil's secret driver?
What’s behind the tight relationship between Treasury spreads and crude oil? Boris Schlossberg of BK Asset Management and Rich Ross of Evercore ISI discuss with Brian Sullivan

'Star Wars' collectibles selling for thousands

Take your Pips, go out and Live.
Luke.
Reply With Quote

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
MC PL editor upgrade
MultiCharts
REcommedations for programming help
Sierra Chart
How to apply profiles
Traders Hideout
What broker to use for trading palladium futures
Commodities
Pivot Indicator like the old SwingTemp by Big Mike
NinjaTrader
 
  #1432 (permalink)
 
SMCJB's Avatar
 SMCJB 
Houston TX
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TT and Stellar
Broker: Advantage Futures
Trading: Primarily Energy but also a little Equities, Fixed Income, Metals and Crypto.
Frequency: Many times daily
Duration: Never
Posts: 5,049 since Dec 2013
Thanks Given: 4,388
Thanks Received: 10,207

They lifted the US Crude Oil Export Ban? WOW!

Congress Passes U.S. Spending Bill to End Crude Oil Export Ban - Bloomberg Politics

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #1433 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785




What is your opinion on how this will affect CL?

Reply With Quote
  #1434 (permalink)
 
SatchFan's Avatar
 SatchFan 
Jefferson City, Missouri
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Broker: NinjaTrader Brokerage
Trading: CL ES
Posts: 223 since Mar 2010
Thanks Given: 329
Thanks Received: 205


ron99 View Post
What is your opinion on how this will affect CL?

My opinion is that this might cause the final blowout low in crude. May not take it too long to recover back up though...

Reply With Quote
  #1435 (permalink)
 
SMCJB's Avatar
 SMCJB 
Houston TX
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TT and Stellar
Broker: Advantage Futures
Trading: Primarily Energy but also a little Equities, Fixed Income, Metals and Crypto.
Frequency: Many times daily
Duration: Never
Posts: 5,049 since Dec 2013
Thanks Given: 4,388
Thanks Received: 10,207


ron99 View Post
What is your opinion on how this will affect CL?

Just thinking out loud, nothing solid to base this upon ... The US is obviously a very large importer of crude, so for every barrel of crude we do export, we will have to import an additional barrel somewhere else. I suspect that there are certain grades of crude in certain geographical locations that are surplus. These will now get exported and the places we need the crude will import more. The price of the crudes exported will obviously increase. I guess this means that the system will become more efficient than it currently is, as refineries get to optimize their crude runs further, rather than just have to use what is available locally.

Reply With Quote
  #1436 (permalink)
 
LukeGeniol's Avatar
 LukeGeniol 
Italy (IT) Italy
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: ATAS, R|Trader, NT8
Broker: Rithmic
Trading: CL, Brent, GC, TF
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 1,499 since Apr 2010
Thanks Given: 408
Thanks Received: 985


klemenlogar View Post
My working sell trade from today. Did anyone take this one with me.
Comments and questions welcomesd....

I am not expecting much from that trade since i dont expect crude will leave this value area before todays Inventories realese. I will be managing this trade tight over the news realease since durring the news liquidity is taken off the market and price can fly fast and volatile..

....Storage news came out as a expected miss on the news and we got a good push in to our trade direction. Trade closed with +82 ticks.

Good setup, but would like to warn that this is very risky for day trade keep positions on inventories release, if you are on the wrong side it can jump your stop and you loose more than you can think.

Take your Pips, go out and Live.
Luke.
Reply With Quote
  #1437 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785

DJ Genscape Reports Still-Rising Crude in Cushing -- Market Talk

10:37 ET - Can the oil industry build storage tanks fast enough to meet demand? That's the question as the latest
twice-weekly report from Genscape shows crude inventories at the commercial storage hub in Cushing, Okla., hit 63.7M
barrel Friday, up 1.6M from a week earlier, according to a market participant who saw the report. Cushing has been
building new tanks all year and had working capacity of 73M barrel as of September, versus 71M in March and 48M in
2011. ([email protected])

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #1438 (permalink)
 Michaelktrader 
Vancouver BC/Canada
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Ninjatrader, Jigsaw
Trading: Futures
Posts: 7 since Sep 2015
Thanks Given: 1
Thanks Received: 1

In my experience, when the large trading houses call for extreme lows after a large run down it is a great signal to start looking for buys.
Goldman was reiterating a call for sub $30 cl this week.

Reply With Quote
  #1439 (permalink)
 
LukeGeniol's Avatar
 LukeGeniol 
Italy (IT) Italy
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: ATAS, R|Trader, NT8
Broker: Rithmic
Trading: CL, Brent, GC, TF
Frequency: Daily
Duration: Minutes
Posts: 1,499 since Apr 2010
Thanks Given: 408
Thanks Received: 985

CL feb passed the BRENT feb price.

Take your Pips, go out and Live.
Luke.
Reply With Quote
  #1440 (permalink)
 ron99 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: QST
Broker: QST, DeCarley Trading, Gain
Trading: Options on Futures
Posts: 3,081 since Jul 2011
Thanks Given: 980
Thanks Received: 5,785


US oil inventory down mainly because imports were down.

I see that the Houston shipping channel was closed partially on 12/14/15. That may have affected imports unloading but it doesn't look like the shutdown was very long.

Any other ideas on why imports were down? I do see in past years that imports drop slightly in Dec. Probably to keep inventories low for year end tax purposes.

Reply With Quote




Last Updated on March 23, 2024


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts