NexusFi: Find Your Edge


Home Menu

 





The CL Crude-analysis Thread


Discussion in Commodities

Updated
      Top Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 683 posts (1,274 thanks)
    2. looks_two mfbreakout with 303 posts (479 thanks)
    3. looks_3 WilleeMac with 275 posts (218 thanks)
    4. looks_4 ron99 with 165 posts (262 thanks)
      Best Posters
    1. looks_one SMCJB with 1.9 thanks per post
    2. looks_two mfbreakout with 1.6 thanks per post
    3. looks_3 ron99 with 1.6 thanks per post
    4. looks_4 WilleeMac with 0.8 thanks per post
    1. trending_up 606,692 views
    2. thumb_up 3,558 thanks given
    3. group 286 followers
    1. forum 2,696 posts
    2. attach_file 644 attachments




 
Search this Thread

The CL Crude-analysis Thread

  #321 (permalink)
 
zander931's Avatar
 zander931 
Portland, OR, US
 
Experience: None
Platform: Investor r/t, X_Trader, ToS
Broker: AMP/IQfeed
Trading: ES
Posts: 493 since Nov 2012
Thanks Given: 1,496
Thanks Received: 1,208


tigertrader View Post
that because you're making assumptions based on personal bias, and not trading the market. i don't even trade this stuff and i could see that coming from a mile away.

Long 12 @ an average of ~mid 51s (you, not me, obviously)....

Caught a nice one. Impressive trading (not to mention your ES holdings).

Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
Thanked by:

Can you help answer these questions
from other members on NexusFi?
Exit Strategy
NinjaTrader
Are there any eval firms that allow you to sink to your …
Traders Hideout
Deepmoney LLM
Elite Quantitative GenAI/LLM
Ninja Mobile Trader VPS (ninjamobiletrader.com)
Trading Reviews and Vendors
Build trailing stop for micro index(s)
Psychology and Money Management
 
Best Threads (Most Thanked)
in the last 7 days on NexusFi
Get funded firms 2023/2024 - Any recommendations or word …
60 thanks
Funded Trader platforms
43 thanks
NexusFi site changelog and issues/problem reporting
24 thanks
GFIs1 1 DAX trade per day journal
22 thanks
The Program
19 thanks
  #322 (permalink)
 leinster 
Brussels / Dublin
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninjatrader
Trading: Stdev + 2
Posts: 468 since Jun 2010
Thanks Given: 844
Thanks Received: 595


zander931 View Post
Long 12 @ an average of ~mid 51s....

Caught a nice one. Impressive trading (not to mention your ES holdings).

He is on fire (so much to be learned / can be learned / seriously in tune with the market @tigertrader ) !

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #323 (permalink)
kurlare
Philadelphia, PA, USA
 
Posts: 28 since Feb 2015
Thanks Given: 35
Thanks Received: 15



leinster View Post
He is on fire (so much to be learned / can be learned / seriously in tune with the market @tigertrader ) !

Agree - congrats on a superb trade today, my favorite part was when you said you had no plans to cover. RBOB and HO spreads were very wild today as well.

Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #324 (permalink)
 
mfbreakout's Avatar
 mfbreakout 
BOSTON, MA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Tradestation, TOS
Trading: ES, CL, GC
Posts: 7,254 since Oct 2010
Thanks Given: 3,478
Thanks Received: 15,818


mfbreakout View Post
This is what i am dreaming.


Longs and longs. A down and then C up. Per mark Fisher C up is a set up when traders get caught with their pants down and that was the reason to go long again above 53. The way 54 area got rejected i am hesitant to go long on pullbacks, i was planning to go long around 53.50 area but too much of a pullback. She either takes out 54 or back to 52.50 area. When and how? One just had to dream little bit.

NOTE: Above 54 short squeeze which everyone has been waiting for may come true. It will be easier to trade if it somes before inventory day on Thursday.



My posts are not meant to give financial advice neither do they imply that my method is special. "THIS IS WHAT I COULD BE IF I HAD A TOTALLY CARE FREE STATE OF MIND DURING TRADING" Mark Douglas.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	2015-02-17_1420_complete_reversal.png
Views:	262
Size:	174.3 KB
ID:	175195   Click image for larger version

Name:	2015-02-17_1121_dreaming.png
Views:	228
Size:	105.7 KB
ID:	175197  
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
  #325 (permalink)
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 tigertrader 
Philly, Pa
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: ES, ZB
Posts: 6,482 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 6,662
Thanks Received: 36,257


leinster View Post
@tigertrader is it fair to say from an analysis perspective a fat vpoc at start of the day 53.20) a push down with relative ease leaving a lot of untested areas then a fatter distribution (51.70) then after it got over that lump a big push back whoosh to vpoc?

i really don't follow mp that closely. post hoc everything looks like it works; but, charts don't drive price.

Follow me on Twitter Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #326 (permalink)
 leinster 
Brussels / Dublin
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninjatrader
Trading: Stdev + 2
Posts: 468 since Jun 2010
Thanks Given: 844
Thanks Received: 595

Apologies for post hoc know u hate it. What was your main reasoning behind getting long market imbalance move overdone ?

Reply With Quote
  #327 (permalink)
 
mfbreakout's Avatar
 mfbreakout 
BOSTON, MA
Market Wizard
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: Tradestation, TOS
Trading: ES, CL, GC
Posts: 7,254 since Oct 2010
Thanks Given: 3,478
Thanks Received: 15,818

Why everyone gets bullish at highs and bearish at lows? Maybe because different time frame traders are looking at different highs and lows. That's why it's useless to follow another trader trades with 15 ticks stop loss.



My posts are not meant to give financial advice neither do they imply that my method is special. "THIS IS WHAT I COULD BE IF I HAD A TOTALLY CARE FREE STATE OF MIND DURING TRADING" Mark Douglas.
Attached Thumbnails
Click image for larger version

Name:	2015-02-17_1536_MP.png
Views:	214
Size:	170.6 KB
ID:	175212  
Visit my NexusFi Trade Journal Reply With Quote
Thanked by:
  #328 (permalink)
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 tigertrader 
Philly, Pa
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: ES, ZB
Posts: 6,482 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 6,662
Thanks Received: 36,257


leinster View Post
Apologies for post hoc know u hate it. What was your main reasoning behind getting long market imbalance move overdone ?

you know me better than that, to believe my decision process was that simple

it was combination of factors that led me to believe that expected value was to the upside

fundamentals, sentiment, price action, et al, all came into play

i explained the context behind the trade in my spoo-nalysis post #14142

when i get a chance i 'll explain the rest...

Follow me on Twitter Reply With Quote
  #329 (permalink)
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 tigertrader 
Philly, Pa
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: ES, ZB
Posts: 6,482 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 6,662
Thanks Received: 36,257


mfbreakout View Post
Why everyone gets bullish at highs and bearish at lows? Maybe because different time frame traders are looking at different highs and lows. That's why it's useless to follow another trader trades with 15 ticks stop loss.







Follow me on Twitter Reply With Quote
  #330 (permalink)
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 tigertrader 
Philly, Pa
Legendary Market Wizard
 
Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Trading: ES, ZB
Posts: 6,482 since Jul 2010
Thanks Given: 6,662
Thanks Received: 36,257






chart shows the 5-30s curve vs. the euro. deflation trade has driven the euro lower as the market priced in ecb/qe which has also been reflected in the curve flattening through a combination of lower long yields and a future fed rate hike being priced in. now that long rates have spiked aggressively higher (bonds sold off) since month-end, the curve has steepened slightly as the euro has attempted to rally. oil prices also squeezed sharply higher, such that a reflation trade following ecb/qe action has followed a similar pattern to what followed the boj as taper talk picked up within weeks of QQE being announced. just as the euro has not broken materially higher, the curve so far, is in a range and near-term flattening remains likely into the next fed minutes. however, rates are signalling a possible regime change.

Follow me on Twitter Reply With Quote




Last Updated on March 23, 2024


© 2024 NexusFi™, s.a., All Rights Reserved.
Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama City, Panama, Ph: +507 833-9432 (Panama and Intl), +1 888-312-3001 (USA and Canada)
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice. There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About Us - Contact Us - Site Rules, Acceptable Use, and Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy - Downloads - Top
no new posts