The CL Crude-analysis Thread - Commodities Futures Trading | futures.io
futures io futures trading


The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Started: by tturner86 Views / Replies:144,763 / 1,911
Last Reply: Attachments:490

Welcome to futures io.

Welcome, Guest!

This forum was established to help traders (especially futures traders) by openly sharing indicators, strategies, methods, trading journals and discussing the psychology of trading.

We are fundamentally different than most other trading forums:
  • We work extremely hard to keep things positive on our forums.
  • We do not tolerate rude behavior, trolling, or vendor advertising in posts.
  • We firmly believe in openness and encourage sharing. The holy grail is within you, it is not something tangible you can download.
  • We expect our members to participate and become a part of the community. Help yourself by helping others.


You'll need to register in order to view the content of the threads and start contributing to our community. It's free and simple, and we will never resell your private information.

-- Big Mike

Reply
 490  
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
 

The CL Crude-analysis Thread

  #321 (permalink)
Elite Member
Portland, OR, US
 
Futures Experience: None
Platform: Investor r/t, X_Trader, ToS
Broker/Data: AMP/IQfeed
Favorite Futures: ES
 
zander931's Avatar
 
Posts: 493 since Nov 2012
Thanks: 1,496 given, 1,206 received


tigertrader View Post
that because you're making assumptions based on personal bias, and not trading the market. i don't even trade this stuff and i could see that coming from a mile away.

Long 12 @ an average of ~mid 51s (you, not me, obviously)....

Caught a nice one. Impressive trading (not to mention your ES holdings).

Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to zander931 for this post:
 
  #322 (permalink)
Elite Member
Brussels / Dublin
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Stdev + 2
 
Posts: 467 since Jun 2010
Thanks: 842 given, 591 received


zander931 View Post
Long 12 @ an average of ~mid 51s....

Caught a nice one. Impressive trading (not to mention your ES holdings).

He is on fire (so much to be learned / can be learned / seriously in tune with the market @tigertrader ) !

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to leinster for this post:
 
  #323 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Philadelphia, PA, USA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: TT(X_Trader), CTS (T4)
Favorite Futures: RBOB Gasoline Futures
 
Posts: 28 since Feb 2015
Thanks: 35 given, 15 received



leinster View Post
He is on fire (so much to be learned / can be learned / seriously in tune with the market @tigertrader ) !

Agree - congrats on a superb trade today, my favorite part was when you said you had no plans to cover. RBOB and HO spreads were very wild today as well.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to kurlare for this post:
 
  #324 (permalink)
Elite Member
BOSTON, MA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Tradestation, TOS
Favorite Futures: commodities, TF
 
mfbreakout's Avatar
 
Posts: 7,244 since Oct 2010
Thanks: 3,467 given, 15,225 received

dreaming


mfbreakout View Post
This is what i am dreaming.


Longs and longs. A down and then C up. Per mark Fisher C up is a set up when traders get caught with their pants down and that was the reason to go long again above 53. The way 54 area got rejected i am hesitant to go long on pullbacks, i was planning to go long around 53.50 area but too much of a pullback. She either takes out 54 or back to 52.50 area. When and how? One just had to dream little bit.

NOTE: Above 54 short squeeze which everyone has been waiting for may come true. It will be easier to trade if it somes before inventory day on Thursday.



My posts are not meant to give financial advice neither do they imply that my method is special. "THIS IS WHAT I COULD BE IF I HAD A TOTALLY CARE FREE STATE OF MIND DURING TRADING" Mark Douglas.
Attached Thumbnails
The CL Crude-analysis Thread-2015-02-17_1420_complete_reversal.png   The CL Crude-analysis Thread-2015-02-17_1121_dreaming.png  

Last edited by mfbreakout; February 17th, 2015 at 03:17 PM.
Reply With Quote
 
  #325 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Philly, Pa
 
Futures Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: ES, ZB
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 
Posts: 5,885 since Jul 2010
Thanks: 6,247 given, 31,240 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary

futures io on Facebook

leinster View Post
@tigertrader is it fair to say from an analysis perspective a fat vpoc at start of the day 53.20) a push down with relative ease leaving a lot of untested areas then a fatter distribution (51.70) then after it got over that lump a big push back whoosh to vpoc?

i really don't follow mp that closely. post hoc everything looks like it works; but, charts don't drive price.

Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to tigertrader for this post:
 
  #326 (permalink)
Elite Member
Brussels / Dublin
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninjatrader
Favorite Futures: Stdev + 2
 
Posts: 467 since Jun 2010
Thanks: 842 given, 591 received

Apologies for post hoc know u hate it. What was your main reasoning behind getting long market imbalance move overdone ?

Reply With Quote
 
  #327 (permalink)
Elite Member
BOSTON, MA
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Tradestation, TOS
Favorite Futures: commodities, TF
 
mfbreakout's Avatar
 
Posts: 7,244 since Oct 2010
Thanks: 3,467 given, 15,225 received

Trading

Why everyone gets bullish at highs and bearish at lows? Maybe because different time frame traders are looking at different highs and lows. That's why it's useless to follow another trader trades with 15 ticks stop loss.



My posts are not meant to give financial advice neither do they imply that my method is special. "THIS IS WHAT I COULD BE IF I HAD A TOTALLY CARE FREE STATE OF MIND DURING TRADING" Mark Douglas.
Attached Thumbnails
The CL Crude-analysis Thread-2015-02-17_1536_mp.png  
Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to mfbreakout for this post:
 
  #328 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Philly, Pa
 
Futures Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: ES, ZB
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 
Posts: 5,885 since Jul 2010
Thanks: 6,247 given, 31,240 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary


leinster View Post
Apologies for post hoc know u hate it. What was your main reasoning behind getting long market imbalance move overdone ?

you know me better than that, to believe my decision process was that simple

it was combination of factors that led me to believe that expected value was to the upside

fundamentals, sentiment, price action, et al, all came into play

i explained the context behind the trade in my spoo-nalysis post #14142

when i get a chance i 'll explain the rest...

Reply With Quote
The following 5 users say Thank You to tigertrader for this post:
 
  #329 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Philly, Pa
 
Futures Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: ES, ZB
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 
Posts: 5,885 since Jul 2010
Thanks: 6,247 given, 31,240 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary


mfbreakout View Post
Why everyone gets bullish at highs and bearish at lows? Maybe because different time frame traders are looking at different highs and lows. That's why it's useless to follow another trader trades with 15 ticks stop loss.


Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Reply With Quote
The following 4 users say Thank You to tigertrader for this post:
 
  #330 (permalink)
Market Wizard
Philly, Pa
 
Futures Experience: Master
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: ES, ZB
 
tigertrader's Avatar
 
Posts: 5,885 since Jul 2010
Thanks: 6,247 given, 31,240 received
Forum Reputation: Legendary

deflation or reflation is the burning question


Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).


chart shows the 5-30s curve vs. the euro. deflation trade has driven the euro lower as the market priced in ecb/qe which has also been reflected in the curve flattening through a combination of lower long yields and a future fed rate hike being priced in. now that long rates have spiked aggressively higher (bonds sold off) since month-end, the curve has steepened slightly as the euro has attempted to rally. oil prices also squeezed sharply higher, such that a reflation trade following ecb/qe action has followed a similar pattern to what followed the boj as taper talk picked up within weeks of QQE being announced. just as the euro has not broken materially higher, the curve so far, is in a range and near-term flattening remains likely into the next fed minutes. however, rates are signalling a possible regime change.


Last edited by tigertrader; February 17th, 2015 at 04:48 PM.
Reply With Quote
The following 4 users say Thank You to tigertrader for this post:

Reply



futures io > > > > The CL Crude-analysis Thread

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Upcoming Webinars and Events (4:30PM ET unless noted)
 

Market Analysis w/Dave Forss @ IQFeed

Apr 25
 

Introducing iSystems with Stage 5 Trading

Apr 27

*NEW* FIO Journal Challenge featuring NinjaTrader ($2,000+ of prizes)

May

Prototyping Python Strategies (part 2) w/Ran Aroussi

Elite only

Ask Me Anything w/Raymond Deux @ NinjaTrader

May 3

An Afternoon with FIO member Softsoap

Elite only
 

Machine Learning & Data Mining Bias w/Kris Longmore @ Robot Wealth

Elite only

Brannigan Barrett (TBA)

Elite only

FIO member Gomi (TBA)

Elite only

FuturesTrader71 (TBA)

Elite only

EasyLanguage Programming w/Chris @ ABC Trading Group

Elite only

Portfolio Diversification w/Brendon Delate

Elite only
     

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
CL Light Crude Analysis TPO/MP/VWAP/VPOC bobarian Commodities Futures Trading 1806 July 17th, 2015 02:39 AM
CL Crude-nalysis indextrader7 Commodities Futures Trading 227 November 4th, 2014 11:47 PM
Why crude oil (CL) trades mostly 1 contract? fyd49 Commodities Futures Trading 8 May 22nd, 2014 03:27 PM
Miscellaneous Statistical Analysis (the big thread) trendisyourfriend The Elite Circle 29 July 15th, 2013 12:51 PM
Big move on crude analysis josh Commodities Futures Trading 4 March 11th, 2011 09:07 AM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:46 PM.

no new posts
Page generated 2017-04-23 in 0.13 seconds with 20 queries on phoenix via your IP 54.158.39.172