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The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Started:December 17th, 2014 (02:33 PM) by tturner86 Views / Replies:126,311 / 1,758
Last Reply:12 Hours Ago (08:59 PM) Attachments:450

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The CL Crude-analysis Thread

Old February 5th, 2015, 09:29 AM   #161 (permalink)
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1:48 AM
Most Volatile Oil Market Since ’09 Seen Persisting on Oversupply by Bloomberg.


How i am trying to trade it?


NOTE: As a note to my chart. Typically i am flat before 9 am NY open due to Globex inventory adjustement process.



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Old February 5th, 2015, 09:30 AM   #162 (permalink)
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Hey @Big Mike can we sticky this thread so that it stays at the top and nobody starts another CL analysis thread.
(I think there are currently 3 threads but this is the biggest and most recent).

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Old February 5th, 2015, 09:40 AM   #163 (permalink)
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Here's what I have for today. Most people would pull from Globex session low - not always but I tend to place emphasis on time ie EU/ London/ NY, pit open - close etc

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EDIT

Of course there's just as many short half-way-back that can be pulled as well, micro and macro


Last edited by WilleeMac; February 5th, 2015 at 10:02 AM.
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Old February 5th, 2015, 09:49 AM   #164 (permalink)
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Every Wednesday morning at 10.30 am Crude Oil inventory report comes. Price reaction to the report is the ONLY thing which matters, Everything else is after the fact but i look at news from Bloomberg etc.

Wednesday high is resistance and low is support till proven wrong. For example, based of yesterday report , for me 52 is resistance till proven wrong. I will short with stop loss above 52. Typically once Wednesday highs gets taken out- CL run 100-200 ticks. How much CL runs once wednesday highs gets taken out depends on the FORCE with which this level gets taken out. Pice just going above by 20 ticks etc mostly turns out to be head fakes.

For me, if today 52 is taken with FORCE out longs and longs. Till then shorts and shorts. I have a short at 49.76. Will keep covering for 40-50 ticks while staying put with shorts.

why 52? it isnt the swing of the news release or the swing high of the day.

dont believe anything you hear and only half of what you see

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Old February 5th, 2015, 09:52 AM   #165 (permalink)
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why 52? it isnt the swing of the news release or the swing high of the day.

I look at high of the day ( globex session high) and high put in after the news. Based of after the news report yesterday, high will be 51.10 area. That's why i said yesterday no longs for me till 51.20 area is cleared with FORCE and i kept shorting where ever i could muster the courage. It never crossed my mind to try long till there seems to be exhaustion into the close around 48 area.



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Old February 5th, 2015, 10:47 AM   #166 (permalink)
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Nice comment today in unusual market activity

In a nutshell (paraphrase)


Quoting 
We have not seen a drop in oil without an economic event

We have yet to see the economic event

The above is close enough for hand grenades and .GOV work

-Bill

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Old February 5th, 2015, 11:03 AM   #167 (permalink)
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Old February 5th, 2015, 11:17 AM   #168 (permalink)
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Old February 5th, 2015, 12:04 PM   #169 (permalink)
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I'm curious about how much of that Captain Happy BS we just witnessed in /CL was due to Denmark?

-Bill


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Old February 5th, 2015, 12:42 PM   #170 (permalink)
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Hey @Big Mike can we sticky this thread so that it stays at the top and nobody starts another CL analysis thread.
(I think there are currently 3 threads but this is the biggest and most recent).

Done.

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