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The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Started:December 17th, 2014 (02:33 PM) by tturner86 Views / Replies:125,726 / 1,754
Last Reply:December 4th, 2016 (01:02 AM) Attachments:450

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The CL Crude-analysis Thread

Old January 26th, 2016, 02:15 PM   #1461 (permalink)
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last week crude rally on hopes of stimulus
Today we get a rally on hopes of a OPEC deal

fundamentals still show a massive glut of oil that is growing.

short squeeze anyone?

A Constant Short Squeeze Threat: Oil Shorts Are At All-Time Highs | Zero Hedge

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Old January 27th, 2016, 12:05 AM   #1462 (permalink)
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Inventory Report tomorrow.. and


Quoting 
US oil inventories increased by 11.4 million barrels in the latest week, an unnamed source told the Journal. U.S. government data on the weekly inventories is due Wednesday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

Oil sheds gains after big inventory build

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Old January 28th, 2016, 08:58 AM   #1463 (permalink)
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From Financial Times/ Kemp (May or may not be able to open, however here goes)


Quoting 
The airwaves are full of commentary about how Saudi Arabia, the rest of Opec and Russia can balance the market by cutting production and raising prices.


Quoting 
The idea that these traditional producers can impact the markets on their own is based on old world thinking where Opec’s low-cost producers and some additional traditional producers can impose their political will to counter market forces.


Quoting 
The unconventional oil revolution has rendered such thoughts obsolete.


Quoting 
That is because the new energy world order is one in which the US, whose production was once half that of the other two producer giants, is now on par with them. And thatt turns out to make a big difference.


Quoting 
In the old world oil order the US did not count — with its declining output it was a taker of prices; with its permanent importer status, it was a bystander to global oil politics and production decision-making.


Quoting 
The shale revolution in the US has made a huge difference. The US is now arguably the world’s largest oil liquids producer in the world, if you take into account crude oil production and other supply like liquefied petroleum gases (LPGs), biofuels output and the incremental volumetric gains from having the largest refining system in the world.

Welcome to the new oil order - FT.com

-William


Last edited by WilleeMac; January 28th, 2016 at 09:40 AM. Reason: add, clarify
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Old January 28th, 2016, 09:12 AM   #1464 (permalink)
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Regarding the above post

FT has subscription restrictions. I was able to originally open the article because Kemp tweeted the link.

The last quote more or less sums the article.

Headline reads

"Welcome to the new oil order" by Ed Morse Jan 28 2016 (Mr Morse is the global head of commodities research at Citi.)

Forget Opec, it is time to get a grip of permanent realities of the market

-William

EDIT

I Googled the headline and the FT link came up, which allowed me to answer a brief survey, then allowing me access to the article


Last edited by WilleeMac; January 28th, 2016 at 09:37 AM. Reason: add. clarify
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Old January 28th, 2016, 09:58 AM   #1465 (permalink)
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Futures Edge on FIO

Are you a NinjaTrader user?

 
I found the article had interesting info towards the end.

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Anyway here's screenshots of the article. All references and credits are cited in the above posts.

-William

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Old January 28th, 2016, 11:14 AM   #1466 (permalink)
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Former Morgan Stanley Banker to Revive Phibro Name

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/27/business/dealbook/former-morgan-stanley-banker-to-revive-phibro-name.html

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Old January 28th, 2016, 11:21 AM   #1467 (permalink)
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Careful guy's "n gal's

We're back to the Happy Greece days......

OPEC is fixed

No it's not, yes it is

-William

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Old January 28th, 2016, 11:36 AM   #1468 (permalink)
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Old January 28th, 2016, 12:12 PM   #1469 (permalink)
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@ron99,

Thank you for the chuckle

-William

EDIT

I'm going to slap that one on Dboy


Last edited by WilleeMac; January 28th, 2016 at 12:17 PM.
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Old January 28th, 2016, 02:19 PM   #1470 (permalink)
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