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The CL Crude-analysis Thread
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The CL Crude-analysis Thread

  #1401 (permalink)
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Oil Prices Could Drop to $20 a Barrel Next Year - Fortune

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Hedge Fund Shorts


I feel like everyone is so bearish and with hedge funds continuing to add to short positions, a long looks really attractive.

An escalation in the ME could add some real nasty pressure and a sudden short liquidations. I have been tracking CL G/H/J Calls looking at cheap far OTM opportunities. Let's see - just my 2c

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I also intend to go long the energies. But I prefer to buy Gasoline (RB futures).

The reason behind: El Nino usually takes care of a warm winter in the Northern part of the US. The results: Reduced heating, roads tend to be free of ice and snow. The performance of the RB - HO spread in recent months is impressive.

Looking at the COT data for the funds, it can be shown that there is still more short covering potential for RB than for HO.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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I will say this, the term structure of the market (surprisingly to me) isn't as bearish as it was earlier in the year.

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SMCJB View Post
US Natural Gas stocks set a new all time high today as well!

And even higher to a new all time record, and the second largest injection season ever.
Stocks normally start drawing last week or this week so this is probably their peak.

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Heat Records Shatter as a Monster El Nino Gathers Strength - Bloomberg Business

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Bloomberg :- How Cheap Crude Stalled America’s Booming Oil Trains

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(Tentative) Schedule of tomorrows OPEC meeting:

Friday, 4 December 2015

10.00 hrs. Opening Session of the 168th Meeting of the Conference
Attendance: All OPEC Heads of Delegation and Delegates

12.00 hrs. Closed Session of the 168th Meeting of the Conference
Attendance: OPEC Heads of Delegation and the Secretary General

16.00 hrs. Press Conference by the President of the OPEC Conference
and the OPEC Secretary General

Time is CET (Central European Time). Press Conference will be at 9.00 am Chicago Time.

Best regards, Myrrdin

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