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The CL Crude-analysis Thread
Started:December 17th, 2014 (02:33 PM) by tturner86 Views / Replies:125,627 / 1,754
Last Reply:December 4th, 2016 (01:02 AM) Attachments:450

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The CL Crude-analysis Thread

Old February 2nd, 2015, 07:11 AM   #121 (permalink)
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Drats,

I knew it had a high probability of happening, just not to today, so fast, here and now

Oh well, reload

-Bill

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Old February 2nd, 2015, 09:37 AM   #122 (permalink)
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They put in the contract high

Half of today came off

Question is will half come off or?

-Bill

EDIT

Live Squawk ‏@livesquawk 44m44 minutes ago

Brent/WTI arb expands beyond $5 - first time since November --Rtrs


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Old February 3rd, 2015, 04:57 PM   #123 (permalink)
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CL the beast. Stopped me out on a 150 ticks stop loss. Reshort 93.92 on smaller size to recover some loss. Anyone looking for education- once one has done enough testing , SIM trading etc. market education is the only one which matters. Expecting 54.24 to be high at least for this week. Tomorrow 10.30 am inventory report should give some clues as to how serious this BULL is.

NOTE: I do not look at DOM. I have it on static mode.



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Old February 3rd, 2015, 05:16 PM   #124 (permalink)
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When and how CL will complete this auction?



My posts are not meant to give financial advice neither do they imply that my method is special. "THIS IS WHAT I COULD BE IF I HAD A TOTALLY CARE FREE STATE OF MIND DURING TRADING" Mark Douglas.
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Old February 3rd, 2015, 05:26 PM   #125 (permalink)
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APIs out in 5 min. Could give you some clues today. But the first 5 front spreads are still collapsing.

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Old February 3rd, 2015, 05:28 PM   #126 (permalink)
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APIs out in 5 min. Could give you some clues today. But the first 5 front spreads are still collapsing.

Yep, I am waiting for it and may add to shorts based upon reaction to the API report.



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Old February 3rd, 2015, 05:32 PM   #127 (permalink)
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Moderate builds across the board.

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Old February 3rd, 2015, 06:03 PM   #128 (permalink)
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Just a couple of charts.

Estimated Cush.
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Blue line is front CL, red one is front spread.
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Old February 3rd, 2015, 06:12 PM   #129 (permalink)
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But the first 5 front spreads are still collapsing.

Agree some very strange curve gyrations today!

CLH5/CLH6 spread strengthened just 42c today or 3.5/c month while
CLH6/CLH7 spread strengthened $1.43c today or nearly 12c month
To exaggerate the point even more
The 5 month spread CLJ5/CLU5 spread narrowed just 9c today or less than 2/c month while
the 5 month spread CLN6/CLZ6 spread narrowed 69c just under 14/c month while

What am I babbling about? Take a look at this...
Today is the red cross in the bottom right hand corner.
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Old February 3rd, 2015, 06:13 PM   #130 (permalink)
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Yep, I am waiting for it and may add to shorts based upon reaction to the API report.

Added to shorts 52.24 area . Out flat 51.62.

Shorts with stop loss above 53.40 area and longs around 49 area provided exhausation bar to the downside shows up. In between , no trades for me. Also, if 53.40 area gets taken out, will look for longs.



My posts are not meant to give financial advice neither do they imply that my method is special. "THIS IS WHAT I COULD BE IF I HAD A TOTALLY CARE FREE STATE OF MIND DURING TRADING" Mark Douglas.

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