As sam028 says, not enough trades to make any sort of valid determination (200 trades is what I've been able to find as a bare minimum needed, 500+ would be much better). Oh, and how many contracts per trade are you using?
The following user says Thank You to lifeguardsteve88 for this post:
Your key performance indicators are very good; I believe you are on the right track here.
Too bad the low sample, but if you feel confident about your technique then why not give it a try
I've personally always relied on 200 trials for my statistics...
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Other thing to consider is that crude has generally been trending up the last few months, so if you are only taking long setups, then what is going to happen when crude is trending down? Is the reason you are only taking longs because shorts aren't working? If you don't know, I would run replays for periods where it is trending down and see if it still holds up.
The following 2 users say Thank You to vegasfoster for this post:
One way to increase sample size is by trading more products. If the strategy with similar parameters does not function well on other products with modest correlation then it is over curve fitted.
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