So since NYMEX will be closed on the 25th of December and Monday the 24th trading closes early at 1:30 PM if i am not mistaken, how much action are we realistically going to see volume wise on the 26th 27th 28th 29th and 30th?
I was looking back the last couple years very quickly and the volume tended to drop off around the 14th and didn't pick back up till the day after New Years. I didn't look at the ranges though. I notice my runners in the last 5-10 days very rarely get hit, 40 ticks and reversal. I do need to spend some more time looking over this because I have the time off work so plan to trade the entire day instead of until 7:30 -8 PST.
Not really too bothered by the lack of strong moves (20-30 ticks++ in one direction) as long as M1 and M5 are offering scalp opportunities for 10 ticks i should be sufficiently happy. Not at home currently and have some free time on the 24th -30th so i was planning on using the time. Will check myself lateron once im home. Problem is that in the second week of December the Entire London Open - NY Open session of CL Trading becomes somewhat useless due to lack of M1 PA, and i am hesitant to switch to a M2 Timeframe.
Historically for those particular trading days...volume is low, volatility is normal and each day produces at least two strong continuation price actions along with one trend day (up or down) and one day of a low volatility tight trading range amongst those particular trading days. As to the issue of trade opportunities...that's strategy specific and hopefully your trade method gives you something to trade.
Yet, the last few years, Light Crude Oil CL futures and Brent Oil futures have been sensitive (jumpy) to any big news event in comparison to years before it...maybe it has something to do with the growing concerns involving the global economies.