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Searching for a history off a french or german "bond linked inflation"
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Searching for a history off a french or german "bond linked inflation"

  #1 (permalink)
Lyon/France
 
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Searching for a history off a french or german "bond linked inflation"

Hello,

My question concerns more macro-economic than bond trading: in fact, I am looking for a proxy to monitor real interest rates in the Eurozone.

But to begin with, I can't even find the history (unit in [%] of return) of a "bond linked inflation" - like the American TIPS - (maturity 5 or 10 years), just for Germany or France : any idea, a link with an ISIN code leading to a history?

Regards.

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  #3 (permalink)
Netherlands
 
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Maybe you can find here what you are looking for.
https://www.imf.org/en/search#q=inflation&sort=relevancy

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  #4 (permalink)
Lyon/France
 
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Thank you for the answer.
I found this URL (which uses MFI's data): https://www.indexmundi.com/facts/indicators/FR.INR.RINR/map/europe .

But I would like to find historical variations in percentage of a bond like a French OATei or an equivalent German "bund" (maturity 5 or 10 years) ==> I'll look at the BoD and BoF, hoping to see under which tickers\ISIN they emit...

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  #5 (permalink)
Lyon/France
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
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Posts: 5 since Aug 2017
Thanks: 3 given, 1 received

➔ A correct proxy ( for the real rate ) could be: Euribor 3 months [%] - inflation [%] .

• sources of evaluation (select: data=only Euro area with changing composition; representation=curve):
- https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/graph.do?tab=graph&plugin=1&pcode=teimf040&language=en&toolbox=type .
- https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/graph.do?tab=graph&plugin=1&pcode=tec00118&language=en&toolbox=type .

• other sources to "cross-reference" corroborate:
- https://fr.euribor-rates.eu/euribor-taux-3-mois.asp .
- https://fr.inflation.eu/taux-de-inflation/europe/inflation-historique/ipch-inflation-europe.aspx .

In summary, UE is on the edge of a persistent economic deflation, with negative real rates, but an increasing yield curve: the future is considered gloomy, but less than the current situation. In short, the "monetary helicopter" should\could sooner or later take off again (purchase of badwill of all kinds).


Last edited by Capacitator; September 7th, 2019 at 10:44 AM.
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