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5y Note investment
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Created: by Heraklit Attachments:0

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5y Note investment

  #1 (permalink)
Elite Member
Trading Experience: Intermediate
Platform: RapidTraderPro
Favorite Futures: Bund
Posts: 1 since Apr 2017
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5y Note investment

I am curious as to what counterarguments there is to my thesis that the US 5-year note is among the most attractive investments there are on the planet at the moment?

2,6 % yield late in the cycle with dividend on pricy stocks no higher it seems like a bargain to me, way more attractive than any large cap stock in europe or US, am I just insane or what am I missing.

Short Bobl - long 5y note also seems insanely attractive to me, everyone is sick of it, it's by no means sustainable with a 3% Spread (?). I just fail to see how it possibly could go wrong with this sort of trade I suppose (short bobl - long 5y). WTF am I missing? How can this be sustainable and how can it trade at this levels in the first place (and how can the dollar be so weak considering the spreads in rates I suppose). Any ideas out there?

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  #2 (permalink)
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  #3 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
Trading Experience: Beginner
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Favorite Futures: Bonds
Posts: 7 since Oct 2017
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Heraklit View Post
...I am curious as to what counterarguments there is to my thesis that the US 5-year note is among the most attractive investments...

We're traders, not investors. As a trader I personally dont really know too much about the logic behind this spread (I dont deal much with inter-contract spreads across different countries either so no experience in this area). Although would still be keen for someone with more experience to perhaps provide more insight into this as it would be an interesting addition to fundamental knowledge of rates across the world atm.

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