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5y Note investment
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Created: by Heraklit Attachments:0

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5y Note investment

  #1 (permalink)
Elite Member
Sweden
 
Trading Experience: Intermediate
Platform: RapidTraderPro
Favorite Futures: Bund
 
Posts: 1 since Apr 2017
Thanks: 0 given, 0 received

5y Note investment

I am curious as to what counterarguments there is to my thesis that the US 5-year note is among the most attractive investments there are on the planet at the moment?

2,6 % yield late in the cycle with dividend on pricy stocks no higher it seems like a bargain to me, way more attractive than any large cap stock in europe or US, am I just insane or what am I missing.

Short Bobl - long 5y note also seems insanely attractive to me, everyone is sick of it, it's by no means sustainable with a 3% Spread (?). I just fail to see how it possibly could go wrong with this sort of trade I suppose (short bobl - long 5y). WTF am I missing? How can this be sustainable and how can it trade at this levels in the first place (and how can the dollar be so weak considering the spreads in rates I suppose). Any ideas out there?

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  #2 (permalink)
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  #3 (permalink)
Trading Apprentice
sydney
 
Trading Experience: Beginner
Platform: CQG
Favorite Futures: Bonds
 
Posts: 7 since Oct 2017
Thanks: 1 given, 3 received



Heraklit View Post
...I am curious as to what counterarguments there is to my thesis that the US 5-year note is among the most attractive investments...

We're traders, not investors. As a trader I personally dont really know too much about the logic behind this spread (I dont deal much with inter-contract spreads across different countries either so no experience in this area). Although would still be keen for someone with more experience to perhaps provide more insight into this as it would be an interesting addition to fundamental knowledge of rates across the world atm.

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