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Favorite Futures: The one I'm creating in the present....ES, ZF, ZN, ZB, FX pairs
Posts: 1,646 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 4,857 given,
2,587
received
ZF, 5-Year T-Notes notes
Hey there,
Starting this thread to share ZF research. I have projects on the back burner that I am in need of motivation to complete. So I think this on going conversation will help us all.
I am flat out of time at the moment but will be posting often.
Attached is an Excel IB study and Pivot Table I have been working on but needs to be updated. It runs from Jan 2011 to April 2015 about 1100 excel rows. I'm looking to update it soon.
Im also working on ZF gap study which I can post once done.
take care
Ron
It is an axiomatic fact that while you meditate you are speaking with your own spirit. In that state of mind you put certain questions to your spirit and the spirit answers: the light breaks forth and the reality is revealed.
The steed of this Valley is pain; and if there be no pain this journey will never end.
Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)
The following 5 users say Thank You to Blash for this post:
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@Blash any current positions on ZT ZF ZN or ZB?
Do you have any input particularly on the TUT spread?
I was looking at the TUT yield spread and it is near a previous relative low but not a "historical" low. Planning on mean reversing this but I am still too green on this stuff.
Favorite Futures: The one I'm creating in the present....ES, ZF, ZN, ZB, FX pairs
Posts: 1,646 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 4,857 given,
2,587
received
Hey there,
Just coming back for a vacation and am flat. Trading will resume in the next few weeks. Looking forward to posting my finds on some ZF Excel studies as mentioned.
Ron
It is an axiomatic fact that while you meditate you are speaking with your own spirit. In that state of mind you put certain questions to your spirit and the spirit answers: the light breaks forth and the reality is revealed.
The steed of this Valley is pain; and if there be no pain this journey will never end.
Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)
Broker/Data: Advantage Futures, Ninja/TT and InvestorRT/IQFeed.
Favorite Futures: Treasury futures
Posts: 302 since Nov 2010
Thanks: 193 given,
835
received
Why ZF?
Just curious why you picked the Five Year Note. Not the most exciting instrument. By the way, I traded exclusively in that pit from 1987-2002. But I've been completely out of the game for years. The last time I took an active interest (as a looker and sim trader) was 2011. The 2-5-10-30 is kind of an intricate dance, at least it was from 2002-2011, after that I stopped watching. I traded various portions of the curve on the screen after I left the pit, until 2006 when I gave up due to a lack of ability to make money any more.
From 1988 to 1995 I was VERY successful. After '95 through 2000 I was unsuccessful by my own standards at the time (mid 6 figures but that was a pretty big decline in performance). After 2000 I pretty much lost the ability to make money in the pit and I left for the screen in mid '02. By '04 I was making some money again but then automation really took hold and made it pretty tough to make money. Execution was the problem, not trading ideas. I was trading mostly the NOB using TT autospreader but about half the time it would miss a leg and I'd either lose money or really scramble just to scratch the trade.
Lease prices on the AM tell me not a lot of money is being made trading the treasury complex. Curious about your thoughts.
"You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows..."
The following 2 users say Thank You to jstnbrg for this post:
Favorite Futures: The one I'm creating in the present....ES, ZF, ZN, ZB, FX pairs
Posts: 1,646 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 4,857 given,
2,587
received
In bed right now with the iPhone....lol....but yeah not looking for any excitement in my trading have enough to worry about. Gearing back up for trading over here just completed $45k in home projects a lot of it pictured in my journal here. Well one more small project just I'm not doing it...lol. I just like the way it moves and its depth. Thicker than ES. Plus it's a good juxtaposition with ES YM IMHO. Been get my platform and in order doing market homework levels and excel works should be ready in a few weeks if not sooner. A dear friend just intro me to Rainbow tools for Ninja today. I have been trying to figure out how to make some of his stuff but my coding skill are very simple and wholly inadequate for crosshairs like this guy has....love it....and these tools are free a very generous act. So a part of today was spent becoming familiar with them. They are excellent again IMHO.
So are you back at it, trading that is? I've been on the floor at CBOT/CME 3 times over the years as well CBOE. That option pit for the VIX is packed with what looks like 400 people or so. Wish I knew more about how that all works.
Ron
It is an axiomatic fact that while you meditate you are speaking with your own spirit. In that state of mind you put certain questions to your spirit and the spirit answers: the light breaks forth and the reality is revealed.
The steed of this Valley is pain; and if there be no pain this journey will never end.
Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)
Broker/Data: Advantage Futures, Ninja/TT and InvestorRT/IQFeed.
Favorite Futures: Treasury futures
Posts: 302 since Nov 2010
Thanks: 193 given,
835
received
Just getting the itch. Don't know if I'm going to scratch it, or how. Basically I'm bored in retirement, but I'm not in a place where I want to risk much money. I was 28 and broke with nothing to lose when I started on my own, now I'm 58, living off investments with absolutely everything to lose. I've been a trader my entire adult life, first in cash grains, then on the floor, and I don't really know anything else. But I've never really liked trading on the screen. On the floor there was a lot to divert you while you were waiting for something to develop but it didn't take your attention away from the market. On the screen I get bored after awhile, start playing solitaire or reading the news, next thing you know I've just missed something big.
How did you get into this?
Jeff
"You don't need a weatherman to know which way the wind blows..."
The following 3 users say Thank You to jstnbrg for this post:
Favorite Futures: The one I'm creating in the present....ES, ZF, ZN, ZB, FX pairs
Posts: 1,646 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 4,857 given,
2,587
received
ZF, 5-Year T-Notes notes
I hear ya on missing trades on the screen. I now have a number of "indicators" I use where I can on a hotkey throw up a line at my areas and once price reaches it I get a text and an email so if in the kitchen I can go see what's up this iPhone is always with me.... I also have market sounds, voices actually, that I set to get loud once volume picks up. Not to you I'm sure but to me it sounds like the pits at my desk....lol...
I started back in late '90's. My best friend from HS introduced me to Ken Roberts. I was hooked. We took his course together and also opened an account together. Of course totally broke we did this with $800 I think it was. Ordered his paper commodity charts on a snail mail subscription. Thought we knew something and placed an OJ trade after about 6 months or so. Broker asked us if we wanted to also place an option trade to limit our risk and we said no. We didn't know what we didn't know. Needless to say trade did not work and boom dream was gone....lol. But it never left me I would now and then look at charts. My buddy never did anything again. But I started back at it trail by fire so to speak. In stocks at first after sub-prime failure. Slowly made my way to futures.
This is the short verse....lol.
Ron
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
It is an axiomatic fact that while you meditate you are speaking with your own spirit. In that state of mind you put certain questions to your spirit and the spirit answers: the light breaks forth and the reality is revealed.
The steed of this Valley is pain; and if there be no pain this journey will never end.
Buy Low And Sell High (read left to right or right to left....lol)
Last edited by Blash; January 10th, 2016 at 01:15 AM.
have enough to worry about. Gearing back up for trading over here just completed $45k in home projects a lot of it pictured in my journal here. Well one more small project just I'm not doing it...lol. I just like the way it moves and its depth. Thicker than ES. Plus it's a good juxtaposition with ES YM IMHO. Been get my platform and in order doing market homework levels and excel works should be ready in a few weeks if not sooner. A dear friend just intro me to Rainbow tools for Ninja today. I have been trying to figure out how to make some of his stuff but my coding skill are very simple and wholly inadequate for crosshairs like this guy has....love it....and these tools are free a very generous act. So a part of today was spent becoming familiar with them. They are excellent again IMHO.
