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BOBL FUTURE TRADING
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BOBL FUTURE TRADING

  #81 (permalink)
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TOPPISH ?

Market opened where it closed on Thursday and was trendless all morning in a 128.15 - 128.08 range.
Upon US statistics release, prices went back and fore 128.03 - 128.14 then an upward trend took place.
HoD, (128.22), which is also HoW was reached during the night session which ended one tick below.

At 128.10, POC is in the same area as the previous days. Day volume is on the low side.

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Result is a hammer, following another hammer. Lower shadow end is at Kijun Sen level.
Fast stochastics are at the ceiling.


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All ICHIMOKU indicators are bullish in this TU.

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I drafted a rising wedge. MA 44 is on support and is rising together with MA23.
Fast stochastics are at ceiling level.

Weekly candle is a small hammer above a big green candle. A big red candle next week would form a weekly shooting star. Volume associated to such hammer is on the low side, looks topish to me.
Weekly PP and POC are at 128.10. There is a weekly HVN in the 128.10-15 area.

As long as prices do remain above 128.10, R1 (128.26) is a logical target.

128.22-26 (HoD and R1) is a first resistance then 128.32-35 (mid R1-R2, R2 and HoY). Above there is 128.47 (mid R2-R3).
On the support side, we do have weekly HVN and PP (128.15-10), then 128.04-02 (2xLoD, MA44 and S1). Below there is 127.94-93 (mid S1-S2 and SSB) and S2 at 127.87.

There are no statistics on Monday and it is Banking holidays in US and France on November 11th (end WWI).
Therefore, except if the Russians go to Kiev for the week-end, I am expecting two very quiet days.

I will actually be off market next two trading days and will resume posting Tuesday evening.

Have a nice week-end.


Last edited by MARS; November 7th, 2014 at 05:58 PM. Reason: clerical mistake
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  #82 (permalink)
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THE WEEK ACTUALLY BEGINS ON WEDNESDAY

In a very small volume, market was trendless in a 128.06-16 range.

At 128.09, POC is at same level than last week POC.

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Result is a small green spin top.

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Tenkan Sen crosses below Kijun Sen and Shikou Span is at candle line level.
Cloud is very thick and shall offer a good support in the case of downard pressure tomorrow.

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I drafted a rising wedge with at least four points of contacts on each oblique.
MA 44 in support and rising. As long as prices do remain above, it is bullish.

On the support side we have 128.10-06 (2 x LoD, PP, MA 44) then 128.04-02 (2 x LoD, Kijun D, S1) then 127.94 (SSB and mid S1-S2) and finally S2 (127.87).
On the resistance side there is 128.16 (HoD) then 128.24-26 (HoD and R1) then 128.32-35 (mid R1-R2 and HoY) and finally R2 (128.47).

Only one statistic at 11 am but the reopening of Bonds cash market in the US and 10 years TN auction that may give a trend.

A 4H candle closing below MA44 would be a clear selling signal. As long as it is not the case, the winning strategy is to buy near the supporting oblique and to sell near the resistance one......
I have the feeling that the supporting oblique will be broken before soon but I can't bring some evidence.

Good Evening.

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  #83 (permalink)
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ANOTHER VERY CALM DAY


Market opened where it closed, rose to 128.23 then prices gently decreased to 128.16.

At 128.18, POC is higher than Tuesday and lower than Monday. Market is balanced at this levels.
Day volume is on the low side.

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Result at 8 pm is a shooting star.

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I drafted a squared upward triangle with the horizontal reistance linking the two tops at 128.23-24.
MA 44 merges with the supporting oblique.
Target is 128.40 in the case of an upward exit (let's say 128.37 (i.e. HoY) and 127.90 in the case of a downard exit.

On the resistance side, above 128.23-26 (2 x HoD and R1) there is 128.32-35 (HoY and mid R1-R2) then R2 (128.47).
On the support side, 128.15-10 (LoD, MA 44, Kijun and PP) is a first level, then 128.04-02 (KijunD, 2 x LoD, S1), 127.93 (SSB and mid S1-S2) and finally S2 (127.87).

Tomorrow unemployment related US data may bring some volatility with Russians' boots noises in the background.

Good Evening.

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  #84 (permalink)
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Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
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Market opened where it closed on Wednesday, tested whether lower prices would attract Sellers, making its LoD at 128.12 then rose to 128.28 where reactive Sellers appeared. Night session may end around POC (128.24).

At 128.24, POC is higher than the previous days. There is an HVN at POC level, giving the day a "p" shape.

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Result is a green candle with two small shadows.

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All ICHIMOKU indicators are bullish in this TU, with Kijun Sen acting as support today.

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Prices are progressin in the rising wedge. MA 23 and 44 in support and rising.

On the resistance side we have 128.26-28 (R1 and HoD) then 128.32-35 (mid R1-R2 and HoY) then R2 at 128.47.
On the support side 128.15-12 (MA 23, MA 44 and LoD). Below there is 128.04-02 (S1 and former LoD), then 127.95-92 (SSB and mid S1-S2) and finally S2 (127.87).

Plenty of statistics from Europe and the US tomorrow. Fasten seat belts.
Rising wedge upward exit target is 128.47 (i.e. R2) while the downard one is 128.02 (S1).

Good Night.

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