Bund Future 16/11 - Bonds and Interest Rates Trading | futures io social day trading
futures io futures trading


Bund Future 16/11
Updated: Views / Replies:71,044 / 866
Created: by FGBL07 Attachments:1,341

Welcome to futures io.

(If you already have an account, login at the top of the page)

futures io is the largest futures trading community on the planet, with over 90,000 members. At futures io, our goal has always been and always will be to create a friendly, positive, forward-thinking community where members can openly share and discuss everything the world of trading has to offer. The community is one of the friendliest you will find on any subject, with members going out of their way to help others. Some of the primary differences between futures io and other trading sites revolve around the standards of our community. Those standards include a code of conduct for our members, as well as extremely high standards that govern which partners we do business with, and which products or services we recommend to our members.

At futures io, our focus is on quality education. No hype, gimmicks, or secret sauce. The truth is: trading is hard. To succeed, you need to surround yourself with the right support system, educational content, and trading mentors – all of which you can find on futures io, utilizing our social trading environment.

With futures io, you can find honest trading reviews on brokers, trading rooms, indicator packages, trading strategies, and much more. Our trading review process is highly moderated to ensure that only genuine users are allowed, so you don’t need to worry about fake reviews.

We are fundamentally different than most other trading sites:
  • We are here to help. Just let us know what you need.
  • We work extremely hard to keep things positive in our community.
  • We do not tolerate rude behavior, trolling, or vendors advertising in posts.
  • We firmly believe in and encourage sharing. The holy grail is within you, we can help you find it.
  • We expect our members to participate and become a part of the community. Help yourself by helping others.

You'll need to register in order to view the content of the threads and start contributing to our community.  It's free and simple.

-- Big Mike, Site Administrator

Reply
 1,341  
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
 

Bund Future 16/11

  #821 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

MISSING GRAPH

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Prices ended at MA 44 level, which is still rising while MA 23 begins to decrease.

I think the market will stay for a while in the 145.85 - 147.25 range, which will take place of the former range
(144.60 - 146). Incidently range value is the same (140 ticks).

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #822 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

UPWARD MOVE IN A VERY TINY VOLUME

Market opened where it closed on Thursday and, in a vey small volume, continued its rise. HoD (147.01) was achieved shortly before 4 pm. At such level reactive Sellers entered into the market and pushed prices down.
Market ended at 146.88, which is to say POC level.

At 146.88, POC is much higher than Thursday and there is an HVN at POC level.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a green candle with an upper shadow. Volume is amost nil.
Therefore, on Monday, it will be very interesting to see whether Friday's closing value will be accepeted or rejected.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

All ICHIMOKU indicators are bullish in the TU except that Tenkan Sen is below Kjun Sen.
Such situation is very fragile : Shikou Span is struggling not to go below the candle line and the cloud will soon get thinner.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

On the 4H graph, I traced an upward broadening structure. Would the market fail to go above 147.25 (HoW and also HoY), a partial rotation will be made, indicating that at the next contact with the support oblique, prices might go below, reaching the 144.60 target (upward broadening structure origin).
Obviously, 145.85-00 is a key supporting level, as we clearly saw on Thursday.


Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Weekly candle is a hammer, which forms with the previous candle a crowbar top.
Weekly PP is at 146.66, market closed above on Friday.
If such closing value is accepted on Monday, target is R1 (147.48). Going below PP would be rather negative and S1
(146.05), very near from LoW (145.85) shall be tested, which would mean going below the upward broadening stucture supporting oblique.

Woul the market try to rise on Monday, 147.01-07 (HoD and mid PP - R1) is a first resistance then HoY (147.25), R1 (147.47), mid R1-R2 (147.77) and finally R2 (148.05).
On the support side, PP (146.64) could be a first support then 146.38 (mid PP-S1, MA 44 and former HVN). Below there is S1 (146.06) and finally LoW (145.85).

Almost no statisctics on Monday so I am expecting a trendless day, definitely staying within last week range (145.85 - 147.25).

Have a nice week-end.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #823 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

WHERE TO GO ? I DON'T KNOW


Market opened roughly where it closed on Friday and was trendless in a a tiny 146.70 - 98 range.

At 147.91, POC is only 3 ticks above Friday and there is an HVN at 146.87, to be compared to 147.88 on Friday....

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a spin top. Volume is very small.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Shikou Span ended just below the candle line. It is not a positive sign if it does not manage to go above tomorrow.
All other ICHIMOKU indicators are bullish in this TU. The cloud will soon get thinner, ofering therefore a weaker support in the case of a downard move.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Not much change since Friday evening.

Resistance and support levels are almost the same than Friday evening.
Resistances : 146.98-07 ( 2 x HoD + mid PP-R1), 148.25 (HoY), 148.34 (R1), 148.44 (mid R1-R2), 148.54 (R2).
Supportq : 146.71-67-64 ( LoD + MA 44+PP), 146.38 (former HVN + mid PP-S1), 146.08 (S1), 145.85 (HoW).

Only a small US statistic at 4 pm and ALCOA giving its 2nd Q result after Wall Street closing.
I am therefore expecting a quiet and trendless session.

Good Night.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #824 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

BACK TO HIGH OF THE YEAR IN GOOD VOLUME

Back to work after a month vacation.

Market opened with a small downard gap and explored whether lower prices would attract Sellers. At Weekly PP level (149.07) reactive Buyers entered into the market and the opening gap was closed.
Before and after the US sales data release, Buyers pushed the market regularly upward to reach HoD during the night session.

At 149.76, POC is much higher than the previous days. Value is extended from 149.25 to 149.78.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a big green candle with a bare head and good volume.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

All ICHIMOKU indicators are bullish in this Time Unit.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

I drafted a downard squared broadening structure which neckline is HoY. MA 44 and 23 are in support.

Failure to go above HoY may trigger some reactive selling interest.

Above HoY (149.87), there is R1 (150.24) then mid R1-R2 (150.63) and R2 (151.10).
On the support side there is an HVN at 149.74 then the 149.35 level (MA23 and a former HVN) and finally 149.16-07 area (HVN, PP and LoD).

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #825 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

DOJI ON TOP OF A BIG GREEN CANDLE

Market opened roughly where it closed on Wednesday and rose until reactive Sellers appeared at 150.16. From such level, which was to be HoD, market came back to the opening level and was trendless the rest of the day.
About one hour before the end of the night session, market was at opening level and should close there.

At 149.87, POC is a shade higher than yesterday and there is a selling tail from 150.06 to 150.16.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a neat doji, just below the upward channel resistance oblique. It does call for a long red candle tomorrow, forming an evening star would the case be.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

149.60 is the point where Kijun Sen and Tenkan sen do cross. All indicators are still bullish in this TU.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Market may close above the grey horizontal line. Going below would mean a consolidation of the upward move.

150.16 (HoY) is a first resistance then R1 (150.23), mid R1-R2 (150.84) and R2 (151.11).
149.87-83 is a first support (today's POC and LoD), then 149.74 (yesterday HVN), 149.50-59 (MA 23, former HoD and Kijun Sen), then 149.35 (former HVN) and finally 148.95-07 (MA 44 and PP).

Some important US statistics tomorrow together with Ukraine related newsflow.

Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #826 (permalink)
MATrader
Prague Czech Republic
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: S5 Trader, Jigsaw, SeasonAlgo, Sierra Chart
Broker/Data: IB/OEC
Favorite Futures: Eurex Futures
 
hadamkov's Avatar
 
Posts: 489 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 859 given, 391 received

PMA for 22092014

Let's revive the thread a bit.

LTF:
We are in a range within around a LTF profile mid and on Friday we managed to go through the whole range from bottom to top which was quite an expected move since we hit the range low represented by a very distinct LVN of the LTF volume profile.

STF:
We seem to have unfinished business on the top and we also seem to have been jumping off the low of the current range with a bit more volume near its top. On the other hand the HVN of the LTF profile as well as of the range is really protruding. It could have been rejected on Friday, however the top is really thin.

So we need to see more volume at the top of the range on Monday to continue up.
If the volume does not come, we will get back at least to the current VPOC.

Areas to trade from visible on the chart.

Successful trading.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-pma_22092014.png   Bund Future 16/11-pma_22092014_detail.png  
Reply With Quote
The following 2 users say Thank You to hadamkov for this post:
 
  #827 (permalink)
MATrader
Prague Czech Republic
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: S5 Trader, Jigsaw, SeasonAlgo, Sierra Chart
Broker/Data: IB/OEC
Favorite Futures: Eurex Futures
 
hadamkov's Avatar
 
Posts: 489 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 859 given, 391 received

PMA for 23092014

So we popped up from the current range after rejecting the last HVN from Friday.
However, as is lately usual, Monday volume is not very convincing.
We have been trying to fill up the valley above the current LTF POC, we also got to the next HVN of the LTF VP. However, there does not seem to be any unfinished business at the high. The last today's auctions are probably just STF buyers closing their longs.

So if we are to go on up tomorrow, we would need to see buyers above 148.80 or 148.55 again, otherwise, the way back down to the range is probable.

Successful trading.

Edit: Do not forget about the reports...

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-pma_23092014.png   Bund Future 16/11-pma_23092014_detail.png  

Last edited by hadamkov; September 23rd, 2014 at 03:28 AM.
Reply With Quote
The following 3 users say Thank You to hadamkov for this post:
 
  #828 (permalink)
MATrader
Prague Czech Republic
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: S5 Trader, Jigsaw, SeasonAlgo, Sierra Chart
Broker/Data: IB/OEC
Favorite Futures: Eurex Futures
 
hadamkov's Avatar
 
Posts: 489 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 859 given, 391 received

PMA for 24092014

LTF: Uptrend, correction finished?

STF: Today we found buyers in the very morning and we definitely got back to the previous range from the beginning of September and almost touched the previous POC. It seems, however, that higher prices are finally rejected by now and we finished off by extending down to the other side and closing in the middle of today's range at the LVN from today's as well as previous range VP.

Today we traded with slighly more volume than yesterday. Tomorrow we will see if we are now established in the previous range. Today's VP has two distributions and rejected buyers at the top and rejected sellers at the bottom. We might just build a bit more balance within the range tomorrow, filling up the thin space between the two HVNs.

Support/Resistance lines on the chart.

Reports tomorrow.

Successful trading.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-pma_24092014.png   Bund Future 16/11-pma_24092014_detail.png  

Last edited by hadamkov; September 24th, 2014 at 03:32 AM. Reason: Correct detailed chart
Reply With Quote
The following 3 users say Thank You to hadamkov for this post:
 
  #829 (permalink)
MATrader
Prague Czech Republic
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: S5 Trader, Jigsaw, SeasonAlgo, Sierra Chart
Broker/Data: IB/OEC
Favorite Futures: Eurex Futures
 
hadamkov's Avatar
 
Posts: 489 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 859 given, 391 received

PMA for 25092014

We have still about a half hour till the end, however I do not expect anything extraordinary to happen so here we go.

LTF: Uptrend

STF: So we balanced a bit, volume remained low.
We have sellers rejected at the low, buyers did not reach yesterdays values but keep on trying. Still, we seem to finish more on the sellers side.
Auction unfinished to the low. We might see some sellers coming in tomorrow with an attempt to get back to the previous range.
If not, we would need strong buyers to get over that rejection from yesterday (above today's POC at 149.05 and definitely above 149.16). Otherwise, ranging is again the option.

US reports tomorrow.

Successful trading.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-pma_25092014.png   Bund Future 16/11-pma_25092014_detail.png  
Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to hadamkov for this post:
 
  #830 (permalink)
MATrader
Prague Czech Republic
 
Futures Experience: Beginner
Platform: S5 Trader, Jigsaw, SeasonAlgo, Sierra Chart
Broker/Data: IB/OEC
Favorite Futures: Eurex Futures
 
hadamkov's Avatar
 
Posts: 489 since Nov 2011
Thanks: 859 given, 391 received

PMA for 23092016


LTF: Uptrend, heading towards a double top

STF: So the buyers indeed came. They appeared in the morning, got easily near yesterday's POC and started grinding above 149.05. After a huge fight the bears finally threw the towel in. Bears tried the whole day but could not stay below 149.16 for a single minute.
Unfinished auction at the top but a very thin volume area above on the LTF VP and the previous range high.
Tomorrow will test the strength of bulls again. If they appear, there is not much above to hold them not going to the moon and beyond. If the buyers stay at home, we may see some filling up of the valley (149.16 - 149.30) between the two today's VP distributions. 149.16 may be a significant line in the sand for some time.

Beware of reports.
And TGIF.

Successful trading.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to hadamkov for this post:

Reply



futures io > > > > Bund Future 16/11

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Upcoming Webinars and Events (4:30PM ET unless noted)

Jigsaw Trading: TBA

Elite only

FuturesTrader71: TBA

Elite only

NinjaTrader: TBA

Jan 18

RandBots: TBA

Jan 23

GFF Brokers & CME Group: Futures & Bitcoin

Elite only

Adam Grimes: TBA

Elite only

Ran Aroussi: TBA

Elite only
     

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
German Bund Traders isildur1 Bonds and Interest Rates Trading 34 October 13th, 2017 10:25 AM
RANsquawk Market Wrap Up - Stocks, Bonds, FX etc. – 17/11/11 Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 November 17th, 2011 05:50 PM
RANsquawk Weekly Wrap - Stocks, Bonds, FX – 04/11/11 Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 November 4th, 2011 04:30 PM
Bund and Bobl Cash Product jeffbg123 Traders Hideout 3 May 30th, 2010 01:20 PM
CL market replay for 11/12 & 11/13 Saroj NinjaTrader 1 November 14th, 2009 08:28 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:57 PM.

Copyright © 2017 by futures io, s.a., Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama, +507 833-9432, info@futures.io
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
no new posts
Page generated 2017-12-13 in 0.20 seconds with 20 queries on phoenix via your IP 54.90.92.204