Bund Future 16/11 - Bonds and Interest Rates Trading | futures io social day trading
futures io futures trading


Bund Future 16/11
Updated: Views / Replies:70,869 / 866
Created: by FGBL07 Attachments:1,341

Welcome to futures io.

(If you already have an account, login at the top of the page)

futures io is the largest futures trading community on the planet, with over 90,000 members. At futures io, our goal has always been and always will be to create a friendly, positive, forward-thinking community where members can openly share and discuss everything the world of trading has to offer. The community is one of the friendliest you will find on any subject, with members going out of their way to help others. Some of the primary differences between futures io and other trading sites revolve around the standards of our community. Those standards include a code of conduct for our members, as well as extremely high standards that govern which partners we do business with, and which products or services we recommend to our members.

At futures io, our focus is on quality education. No hype, gimmicks, or secret sauce. The truth is: trading is hard. To succeed, you need to surround yourself with the right support system, educational content, and trading mentors – all of which you can find on futures io, utilizing our social trading environment.

With futures io, you can find honest trading reviews on brokers, trading rooms, indicator packages, trading strategies, and much more. Our trading review process is highly moderated to ensure that only genuine users are allowed, so you don’t need to worry about fake reviews.

We are fundamentally different than most other trading sites:
  • We are here to help. Just let us know what you need.
  • We work extremely hard to keep things positive in our community.
  • We do not tolerate rude behavior, trolling, or vendors advertising in posts.
  • We firmly believe in and encourage sharing. The holy grail is within you, we can help you find it.
  • We expect our members to participate and become a part of the community. Help yourself by helping others.

You'll need to register in order to view the content of the threads and start contributing to our community.  It's free and simple.

-- Big Mike, Site Administrator

Reply
 1,341  
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
 

Bund Future 16/11

  #811 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

POSSIBLE DOUBLE TOP ON BOBL

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

BOBL is knocking at upward channel resistance oblique.
Possible double top in the 128.09-14 area.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #812 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

ALTERNATIVE VIEW OF BOBL

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

On the same 4H TU graph than the previous post, I drafted a rising wedge.
Target is 128.58 in the case of an upward exit (same target than the one related to the upward exit of a symetric triangle).
Target is 127.83 in the case of a downard exit, which is to say MA 44 127.79 yesterday evening.

I am a strong buyer in the case market goes over Wednesday HoD (128.14).

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #813 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

TOPISH MARKET ?


Market opened roughly where it closed Wednesday and made a first high at 146.97 to return afterwards at LoD level (146.73). Upon release of the US data, 147.18 was paid (a shade above R2). Market ended some 12 ticks lower.

At 147.03, POC is some 20 ticks higher than Wednesday and day volume is a bit smaller.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a green candle, with two small shadows, today's candle being smaller than the previous one and the associated volume being also smaller.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

All CIHIMOKU indicators are on a bullish mode.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

On the 4H graph, I drafted a rising wedge. Symetric triangle target (147.33) is still valid but in the case prices go below rising wedge supporting oblique, target is 145.97.

I have the feeling that lots of volume is needed for the market to climb and that Bunds and Bonds are very vulnerable in the case stock markets are retracing their recent losses.

Would the market continue to rise tomorrow, above 147.18 (HoY), there is 147.84 (mid R2-R3).
Would the market retrace, first support is at 146.76-73 (LoD and former HVN) then 146.33 (former HVN and MA 23), 146. 21 (LoD) and finally 146.04-99 (2 x LoD and mid R1-PP).

No big statistics tomorrow so I am expecting the market to retrace gently part of the rise mde from 145.65, with 146.80 (23.6% retracement) being an interesting level.

Good Night.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #814 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

147.18 COULD BE THE TOP FOR LONG

Market opened at 147.18 and immediately incentive Sellers took the lead and pushed prices down to 146.86.
From there, reactive Buyers sent prices back to 147.11 but as there was no follow through, Sellers came again and market may end at its LoD, close to 146.80.

At 146.98, POC is a shade lower than yesterday and there is a selling tail, in the 147.18-06 area.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a red candle, a loop belt, which forms a black cloud with the previous one, at the top of the rise from 144.57. Fast stochastics are making an inflexion above 90.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Prices do end below Tenkan Sen. All other ICHIMOKU indicators are in bullish mode in this TU.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Rising Wedge supporting oblique stopped prices decrease today.On Monday, in the case prices go below such oblique, target is in the 146 area, which is also where MA 44 is.

Candle of the week is a big green one with an upper shadow.
Weekly PP is at 146.59. As long as prices are above, target is R1 (147.50). Going below PP would give S1 (146) as target, S1 being also MA44 value and rising wedge downard exit target.

Would the market try to rise on Monday, high end of today's value (147.06) could be a first resistance. Then HoY
(147.18). Above there is R1 (147.48), mid R1-R2 (147.74) and R2(148.05).
Would the rising wedge supporting oblique be broken, 146.76-73 (former HVN's could stop the fall). Then there is PP (146.60), 146.33 (former HVN and mid PP-S1) and the 146.04-99 area (2 x LoD and S1).

On Monday there are plenty of statistics, on both sides of the Atlantic and market's volatility may increase.

Since yesterday evening, I am negative on the Bund market and will have a negative biais to my trading as long as prices are below 147.18 and as long as 146 has not being paid.

Have a nice week-end.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #815 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

SCHATZ DOWNARD EXIT FROM SQUARED RISING TRIANGLE

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

On this 4H graph, it appears that prices ended below the supporting oblique of the squared rising triangle.
Target is 110.560

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

1 Day graph shows a bearish engulfing of the two last true corpse, a negative signal indeed.

If, on Monday at 8 am, SCHATZ future market opens at friday closing level, I will be keen seller, with a stop over the squared rising triangle horizontal resistance (110.675) to target 110.560.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #816 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

I TAKE A LOSS ON SCHATZ

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Prices reintegrated the triangle and are above MA 44.

I am therefore taking a loss at 110.665 on the short taken this morning at 110.645.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #817 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

PRICES STILL IN THE RISING WEDGE

Market opened rouglhy where it closed on Friday and explored whether lower prices would attract Sellers.
4 ticks below Friday LoD, reactive Buyers entered into the market and prices rose gently. 5 ticks below Friday HoD, reactive Sellers entered into the dance and prices came back to opening level where some Buyers were hidden.
Prices may end not far from POC (147.04).

At 147.04, POC is not far from Thursday and Friday POC's and there is an HVN at 147.01.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a spin top which make some sort of congestion with the two previous candles.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

All ICHIMOKU indicators are bullish in the 4H TU.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Rising wedge supporting oblique did a good job. I traced an horizontal channel.

Would the market go up tomorrow, first (big) resistance is 147.14-18 (HoD + 2 x HoY). Then there is R1 (147.48), mid R1-R2 (147.74) and R2 (148.05).
On the support side, I do see today's HVN (147.01) then 146.80-73 (2 x LoD + former HVN) then PP (146.60), 146.33 (former HVN + mid PP-S1) annd finally 147.04-99 (2 x LoD + S1).

I do see the market in a 146.77 - 148.18 range. The exit will bring much volatility, one way or the other. Be ready.

Good Evening.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #818 (permalink)
Trading for Fun
Milano-Italy
 
Futures Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader
Favorite Futures: bund, ftse Mib
 
terapiaintensiva's Avatar
 
Posts: 56 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 515 given, 22 received


MARS View Post
Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Prices reintegrated the triangle and are above MA 44.

I am therefore taking a loss at 110.665 on the short taken this morning at 110.645.






( )

Reply With Quote
 
  #819 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

REJECTION AND REVERSE

Market opened rouglht where it closed and around 10.30 am made a spike at 147.25, which was to be HoD (and also hoY for the time being). On the afternoon, the good ADP statistics sent 10 years T Notes down and the Bund as well. Market closed almost at LoD (146.54).

At 147.07, POC is a shade lower than Tuesday and there are three HVN, 147.09, 146.94 and 146.74.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a red candle with an small upper shadow and a bare bottom. Tenkan Sen is in contact with candle lower end. MA 20 is at 145.95.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Tenkan Sen and Kiijun Sen are above prices and may cross tomorrow. Shikou Span is still above prices. A thick cloud is on support.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Prices exit a squared rising triangle by below, almost making the target. MA 44 at 146.44 on support and rising.

I would expect tomorrow morning a pullback on the former support before, eventually resuming the downard move.
Mario press conference and some US data will give the trend.
On Friday, 4th of July, the US markets shall be closed so Thursday will be an important day.

Would the market consolidate, the three HVN's (146.74, 146.94 and 147.09) are first obstacles then HoY (147.25).
Above we have 147.48 (R1).
On the support side, below 146.54 (PP and LoD), there is MA 44 (146.44), 146.33 (mid PP-S1 and a former HVN) and the strong 146.04-99 support (2 x LoD and S1), which is a logical target in the case of a strong downard move after 2.30 pm.

Take care, there is much volatility ahead.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:
 
  #820 (permalink)
Trading for Profit
VERSAILLES FRANCE
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: PRO REAL TIME
Broker/Data: WHS
Favorite Futures: GERMAN BONDS AND NOTES FUTURES
 
MARS's Avatar
 
Posts: 553 since Jan 2013
Thanks: 42 given, 657 received

ULTRA SHORT VISIT OF THE 146 LEVEL


Market opened rouglhy where it closed Wednesday and Sellers continued to push prices down. 146.26 was paid and market returned to MA 44 level prior to the US data release. Upon such release, 145.85 was very shortly visited and almost immediately, reactive Buyers entered into the market and in a couple of minutes prices came back to the 146.26. Market may end not far from the opening level.

At 146.41, POC is much lower than Wednesday. There is a buying tail from 145.85 to 146.20 and an HVN at 146.37.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

Result is a very neat hammer, almost a doji. Lower end of the shadow is in contact with MA 20 and the horizontal support in the 145.99 - 04 area which was visited, as forecasted. .
Such level proved to be very strong.

Please register on futures.io to view futures trading content such as post attachment(s), image(s), and screenshot(s).

LoD is at SSB level. The cloud offered a good support. Prices ended just above the cloud and Shikou Span is knocking at the candle line. Kijun Sen is above prices. Would Shikou Span go below the candle line, it would be a negative sign. I am expecting prices to go into the cloud and stay inside at least tomorrow and may be longer.

Would the market try to rise tomorrow, first resistance is 146.62 (HoD and Kijun Sen), then the three yesterday's HVN's (146.74, 146.94 and 147.09), then yesterday's HoD (147.25) which is also HoY.
On the support side, there is 146.37 (HVN), 146.26 (Buying tail high end) and finally LoD (145.85).

Tomorrow, its 4h of July, there are no statistics so I am expecting a trendless day. I may end my trading day at noon and take a long week-end.

Good Evening.

Reply With Quote
The following user says Thank You to MARS for this post:

Reply



futures io > > > > Bund Future 16/11

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Upcoming Webinars and Events (4:30PM ET unless noted)

Linda Bradford Raschke: Reading The Tape

Elite only

Adam Grimes: TBA

Elite only

NinjaTrader: TBA

January

Ran Aroussi: TBA

Elite only
     

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
German Bund Traders isildur1 Bonds and Interest Rates Trading 34 October 13th, 2017 10:25 AM
RANsquawk Market Wrap Up - Stocks, Bonds, FX etc. – 17/11/11 Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 November 17th, 2011 05:50 PM
RANsquawk Weekly Wrap - Stocks, Bonds, FX – 04/11/11 Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 November 4th, 2011 04:30 PM
Bund and Bobl Cash Product jeffbg123 Traders Hideout 3 May 30th, 2010 01:20 PM
CL market replay for 11/12 & 11/13 Saroj NinjaTrader 1 November 14th, 2009 08:28 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 07:32 AM.

Copyright © 2017 by futures io, s.a., Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama, +507 833-9432, info@futures.io
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
no new posts
Page generated 2017-12-11 in 0.17 seconds with 20 queries on phoenix via your IP 54.226.132.197