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Hey guys, I'm trading ZB futures on CME now and considering to try trading Bund future on Eurex after seeing bid/ask action today. I guess you have been trading that instrument for some time now, so what are the main differences between ZB and FGBL? What tips and recommendations you can give me and what indicators/methods/strategies you are using mainly in your trading. My first guess that Bund moves opposite to Fdax?
The Bund was higher on the day, albeit not materially so. The market traded to the 143.87 highs, around the first resistance level before edging back. We would need to now see the 144.44 top give in order to start the process of a deep short-covering rally. A move through the 143.87-93 level may be an indication that the market is set to attempt the 144.44 level. Otherwise below here the market should remain weak.
Equities were firmly lower on the day. Having seen choppy trade for much of the early part of the day, they broke don going into the afternoon, taking out the lows for the week. The FTSE was the heaviest of the equities, and the steady downside momentum is indicative of the overall sentiment. Bunds were only small up on the day, despite the negative risk sentiment. The market continues to be roiled by the sell-off in the Nikkei, which is close to 20% off from its recent highs and the USD/Yen has settled back below the 100 mark. Today sees the ECB and BOE announce policy, as per usual the main focus will likely be on the ECB press conference.
Market opened and rose gently during the mornig untill Super Mario begun his to talk at 2.30 pm. Market then dramatically dropped to its LoD at 143.13, three ticks higher than June 4th LoD. There some reactive Buyers push the market up and HoD (144.18) was made just before 5.30 pm. Night session saw prices retreating to end at 143.75.
Volatility was high (more than 100 ticks) and volume as well. POC is at 143.91 where most of the volume was traded, giving the day a "p" shape. There is also a minor volume node around 143.43.
Result of the day is a very neat doji with long legs, as can be seen on the 1 day graph, a clear sign of uncertainty where it is placed.
On the 4H graph, we can see that almost all the 143 - 144.25 range has been explored with a closing at MA 23 level, not far from mid-range.
As stock markets dropped, I see that as a weakness sign and I am expecting the downard pressure on Bunds to resume if/when stocks will rise.
There are clearly buyers at 143.10/13 level while sellers are a shade above 144.10.
For tomorrow, I am expecting prices to remain within today's range.
hi meow,
i cant't say much about zb, beacuse i dont trade it, only bund. But the idea bund moves opposite of fdax is just way to simple and i think you will loose. Some people maybe look at the fdax to get their picture of the stock markets, other look at the fesx, other check the ES, other the YM or TF... maybe fdax goes up and es goes down...
could be confusing...just my opinion
Hello guys, today is a big day for bund riders..NFP coming..
The Bund was flat on the day. The market saw some firm selling pressure following the ECB press conference however the risk aversion trades late in the afternoon forced a drive back up through the 144.00 handle. We would need to now see the 144.44 top give in order to start the process of a deep short-covering rally. A move through yesterday's highs may be an indication that the market is set to attempt the 144.44 level. Otherwise below here the market should remain weak. Today could be a crucial day for the bonds and the longer term trend could be made by today’s NFP report.
