Bund Future 16/11 - Bonds and Interest Rates Trading | futures io social day trading
futures io futures trading


Bund Future 16/11
Updated: Views / Replies:70,880 / 866
Created: by FGBL07 Attachments:1,341

Welcome to futures io.

(If you already have an account, login at the top of the page)

futures io is the largest futures trading community on the planet, with over 90,000 members. At futures io, our goal has always been and always will be to create a friendly, positive, forward-thinking community where members can openly share and discuss everything the world of trading has to offer. The community is one of the friendliest you will find on any subject, with members going out of their way to help others. Some of the primary differences between futures io and other trading sites revolve around the standards of our community. Those standards include a code of conduct for our members, as well as extremely high standards that govern which partners we do business with, and which products or services we recommend to our members.

At futures io, our focus is on quality education. No hype, gimmicks, or secret sauce. The truth is: trading is hard. To succeed, you need to surround yourself with the right support system, educational content, and trading mentors – all of which you can find on futures io, utilizing our social trading environment.

With futures io, you can find honest trading reviews on brokers, trading rooms, indicator packages, trading strategies, and much more. Our trading review process is highly moderated to ensure that only genuine users are allowed, so you don’t need to worry about fake reviews.

We are fundamentally different than most other trading sites:
  • We are here to help. Just let us know what you need.
  • We work extremely hard to keep things positive in our community.
  • We do not tolerate rude behavior, trolling, or vendors advertising in posts.
  • We firmly believe in and encourage sharing. The holy grail is within you, we can help you find it.
  • We expect our members to participate and become a part of the community. Help yourself by helping others.

You'll need to register in order to view the content of the threads and start contributing to our community.  It's free and simple.

-- Big Mike, Site Administrator

Reply
 1,341  
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
 

Bund Future 16/11

  #21 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

An inside up day, range below average. The volume is in the down moves. Market drops fast and then tries to slowly climb back.

In terms of POCs today was a non-event as can be seen in the 5-day Volume Profile chart. In the 1-hour Volume Profile chart the last hours of yesterday and all of today could be viewed as rising flag - a negative sign. But as chart pattern it looks a little bit too big.

Maybe we will have to wait till after the rollover and the ECB meeting (both on Thursday) to see the market make decisive moves?

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-04.12.2012-22.20.59.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-04.12.2012-22.36.03.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-04.12.2012-22.20.10.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #22 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Switched to H13 today. This caused a strange switch of the nodes in yesterday's volume profile. Not sure why. But I think the effect of this switch is minimal.

The charts I'm using are back-adjusted so the volume profiles retain their validity.

A breakout to the upside, up to November's high. Volume was average, range above average. In the 5-day profile the PoC did not change for the first two periods. The 60-minute chart shows two nodes in its upper range.

If the market follows its recent pattern of one wide range day followed by small range/inside days then we will see a small range day tomorrow.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-05.12.2012-22.14.34.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-05.12.2012-22.13.38.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-05.12.2012-22.49.36.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #23 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received


Another wide range up day, though not extremely wide.

First three hours were low in volume and range, but market traded around the upper node of yesterday's volume profile. Market then started to take off at 12:00 - Z12 stopped trading at 12:30 CET - and again at 14:30 CET: ECB press conference.

Looks like the rollover and the ECB meeting worked like a lid on the market that has been removed.

Volume in the 5-day volume profile starts to look a little thin now. The up trend channel in the daily chart suggests 146.50 as target. 145.00 looks like support now.

Tomorrow at 14:30 CET the NFP report will be released. This is often good for a 50 tick move. In which direction will depend upon the numbers released.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-06.12.2012-22.11.21.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-06.12.2012-22.10.24.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-06.12.2012-22.16.51.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #24 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Friday was a below average range day, though volume looked normal. The up move has stalled.

The weekly chart (back-adjusted) shows a wide range up week. Only a few ticks away from this year's high. The 5-day volume profile shows a node at the upper end of its range.

Stock markets have moved up, but not very convincingly.

Tuesday the German ZEW report is due, Wednesday evening the FOMC will release its statements. Tuesday - Thursday auctions of the 3-Yr and 5-Yr Notes and 30-Yr Bonds are scheduled.

We may see some range-bound days.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-09.12.2012-15.34.22.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-09.12.2012-11.55.13.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-09.12.2012-12.12.10.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-09.12.2012-21.57.04.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #25 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Bund Future 2012-12-10

Average range, average volume today.

Market was influenced by the announcement of Mr. Monti's resignation. First three hours stock markets dropped and Bund rose.

The most recent POC has not changed in the 5-day volume profile. The daily chart is inconclusive: this is not exactly the kind of reversal bar that signals a top.

Political (and economical) news will drive the market. If they were absent a down move over the next days looked likely.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-10.12.2012-22.06.02.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-10.12.2012-22.04.47.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-10.12.2012-22.14.22.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #26 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Bund Future 2012-12-11

Average volume, range a touch below average.

Market was pushed up in the morning, started to drop and continued to drop when the ZEW report was released. The rest of the day it moved in a 20-tick range.

The PoCs in the 5-day volume profile have not changed, but market has dropped below the most recent PoC.

The daily chart and the levels in the daily volume profile suggest a drop to 145.00 level - that's just 35 ticks away.

Tomorrow the FOMC will announce the results of its meeting. This could mean the market will wait for these announcements.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-11.12.2012-22.08.25.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-11.12.2012-22.07.31.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-11.12.2012-22.10.55.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #27 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Bund Future 2012-12-12

Below average volume and well below average range.

After the first two hours volume dropped and the market waited for the FOMC statements. Market then dropped on above average volume (for this time of day).

The low volume and range reflects in the 5-day volume profile: the PoCs did not change.

The down move of the last two days has lost its momentum which can be seen best in the intraday charts. Though I do not put too much weight to this fact. Today was heavily influenced by the FOMC meeting. I think the real reaction to the FOMC will be seen tomorrow morning.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-12.12.2012-22.12.09.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-12.12.2012-22.11.35.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-12.12.2012-22.15.01.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #28 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Bund Future 2012-12-13

Above average volume and above average range.

A strange day. Looks like a V-top, except that the pattern did not happen at a top.

The PoC levels in the 5-day volume profile shifted down. The 144.60 looks like a nice level to drop to.

The daily chart is inconclusive. The 60-minute (30-minute) chart shows a nice reversal (up) bar at 16:00 (16:30) on high volume. This would suggest an up move.

I do not like the volume profile of the day, a lot of selling at the top of the range. For an up move I would like to see more buying at the lower end of the range.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-13.12.2012-22.08.08.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-13.12.2012-22.06.52.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-13.12.2012-22.17.34.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #29 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Bund Future 2012-12-10 - 2012-12-14

The weekly back-adjusted chart shows a down week. Market came close to its year's high, but did not move above it.

The daily charts shows that the market dropped from the upper edge of the trend channel to its mid-line.

The 5-day volume profile shows two levels of resistance (145.67, 145.34) and two levels of support (144.60, 143.86).

The 60-minute chart shows that the current down swing stopped at the support level around 145.00. Moves below this level have been met with buying.

Friday shows below average range and well below average volume. The volume node should signal an up move. But all-in-all this does not look convincing. May be a climactic sell-off is needed?

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-16.12.2012-14.51.07.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-16.12.2012-14.04.33.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-16.12.2012-13.42.53.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-16.12.2012-15.20.42.png  
Reply With Quote
 
  #30 (permalink)
Elite Member
Oberhausen, Germany
 
Futures Experience: Advanced
Platform: Sierracharts
Broker/Data: Interactive Brokers/DTN IQFeed
Favorite Futures: Bund Future
 
Posts: 278 since Aug 2011
Thanks: 100 given, 310 received

Bund Future 2012-12-17


Another below average volume and below average range day. Volume and range declining per day. Holiday season has already started?

For the third day in a row we see a similar pattern: market opens gap down, drops a bit and then moves up again. All-in-all the market continues to creep down but the net down move is small: around 10 ticks per day.

PoC levels in the 5-day volume profile did not change. Market almost dropped to the 144.60 level.

The 60-minute chart shows 144.19 as next support.

Attached Thumbnails
Bund Future 16/11-snag-17.12.2012-22.10.25.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-17.12.2012-22.09.35.png   Bund Future 16/11-snag-17.12.2012-22.23.43.png  
Reply With Quote

Reply



futures io > > > > Bund Future 16/11

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search



Upcoming Webinars and Events (4:30PM ET unless noted)

Linda Bradford Raschke: Reading The Tape

Elite only

Adam Grimes: TBA

Elite only

NinjaTrader: TBA

January

Ran Aroussi: TBA

Elite only
     

Similar Threads
Thread Thread Starter Forum Replies Last Post
German Bund Traders isildur1 Bonds and Interest Rates Trading 34 October 13th, 2017 10:25 AM
RANsquawk Market Wrap Up - Stocks, Bonds, FX etc. – 17/11/11 Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 November 17th, 2011 05:50 PM
RANsquawk Weekly Wrap - Stocks, Bonds, FX – 04/11/11 Quick Summary News and Current Events 0 November 4th, 2011 04:30 PM
Bund and Bobl Cash Product jeffbg123 Traders Hideout 3 May 30th, 2010 01:20 PM
CL market replay for 11/12 & 11/13 Saroj NinjaTrader 1 November 14th, 2009 08:28 PM


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:25 PM.

Copyright © 2017 by futures io, s.a., Av Ricardo J. Alfaro, Century Tower, Panama, +507 833-9432, info@futures.io
All information is for educational use only and is not investment advice.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures, stocks, options and foreign exchange products. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
no new posts
Page generated 2017-12-11 in 0.14 seconds with 20 queries on phoenix via your IP 54.145.16.43