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"Successful trading is one long journey, not a destination" Peter Borish Former Head of Research for Paul Tudor Jones speaking on conversations with John F. Carter
"Successful trading is one long journey, not a destination" Peter Borish Former Head of Research for Paul Tudor Jones speaking on conversations with John F. Carter
From ex-Fed Governor Warsh, " Central bank transparency is good, but transparency that delineates future policy breeds market complacency. It threatens to undermine the wisdom of the crowds and the essential interchange with financial markets."
Price discovery is the raison d'etre for the market. The Fed is supposed to be listening to the market to give it guidance in it's policy decisions, not dictating to the market, what the market should do. If investors feel there are no surprises left, as the Fed is concerned, they will once again lever up, and inflate asset prices, as they did with QE1&2, while the bonds sell off.
I also think there will be a time to short bonds, I think we're coming up on it in the next couple of months. I'm actually thinking of selling a new 52 week high. I would like to swing short them with one of the double leverage etfs in my IRA. These double leverage etfs have time working against them making pretty good shorts (if you can get the shares). Does anyone know of a double or triple bond etf? I'm looking for the bond equivalent of what AGQ is for silver? Basically TLT but with leverage.
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The opinions expressed here are those of Gary Fullett, and are not to be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell commodity futures or options. This is for educational purposes only.
"Successful trading is one long journey, not a destination" Peter Borish Former Head of Research for Paul Tudor Jones speaking on conversations with John F. Carter
There is a substantial risk of loss in trading commodity futures and options. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The opinions expressed here are those of Gary Fullett, and are not to be taken as a recommendation to buy or sell commodity futures or options. This is for educational purposes only.
"Successful trading is one long journey, not a destination" Peter Borish Former Head of Research for Paul Tudor Jones speaking on conversations with John F. Carter
I agree. I think there's limited downside in the long term with rates where they are currently and the Fed ending op twist at some point. Their B/S can only get so big... The big issue IMHO is timing. Even PIMCO made that mistake... Is there a way to structure a good trade with a 1-2 year horizon?
