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zb daily

  #201 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
Posts: 48 since May 2015
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At the moment, Dec finished out neutral, we started this area, finished same. Everything worked as planned, confusion.
Monday price was acting like no rate hike.
Tuesday drama escalated price to rate hike.
Wed/Thur= dead money
Thursday 2pm, I was on a SIM account, went long felt good. As posted before, didn't believe a rate hike was going to happen.
IMF told Yellen March 2016,
Yellen wasn't at Jackson Hole,
Yellen worried about Europe.
Friday, FED and Treasury are in total stress mode.

What to look forward too, Sept 30th. Raise the debt ceiling or not? WSJ may give the clues needed for trade.

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  #202 (permalink)
 
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 tbondtrader 
midwest
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader+tws
Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: zb and es
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@jj

what is your risk per trade

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 tbondtrader 
midwest
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: zb and es
Posts: 434 since Jul 2009
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will line hold ? will mkt rally to 157 00

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  #204 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
Posts: 48 since May 2015
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tbondtrader View Post
@jj

what is your risk per trade

5-6 ticks

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  #205 (permalink)
 
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 tbondtrader 
midwest
 
Experience: Intermediate
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Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: zb and es
Posts: 434 since Jul 2009
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hi......

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  #206 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
Posts: 48 since May 2015
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I did the A-B-C pattern on Sunday for the daily chart.

A= 146-28
B= 161-17
C= 151-25

.618 = 160-13

9/23/15, I'm so pissed, missed a 20-30 tick move.
One of my rules are ECB or FOMC speaking, don't trade.

Draghi was speaking, watched FED push down price. 500+ on offer.
FED was buying at 155= 600 contracts....154-28= 500 contracts....154-25= 500 contracts(FED was bidding up, possible suckers bet)...FED again bidding 154-18 = 500 contracts.


System:
Daily chart showing 3 green bars. Price above 50EMA...10/20EMA about to cross up.
Overnight Hi= 156-8.....Low= 154-31
1st 15min range 155-15.....155-2
3X1 = 154-26
7X5 = 154-15

Going short is not allowed.

Note: Lockhart is about to speak at 12:30pm EST....known for talking about rate hikes...bad for ZB.
Leaving...come back, maybe on Friday.
Trade Well

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  #207 (permalink)
 
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 tbondtrader 
midwest
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader+tws
Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: zb and es
Posts: 434 since Jul 2009
Thanks Given: 1,043
Thanks Received: 474

hi



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  #208 (permalink)
 
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 tbondtrader 
midwest
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader+tws
Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: zb and es
Posts: 434 since Jul 2009
Thanks Given: 1,043
Thanks Received: 474

hello and have a great w/end

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  #209 (permalink)
 
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 tbondtrader 
midwest
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader+tws
Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: zb and es
Posts: 434 since Jul 2009
Thanks Given: 1,043
Thanks Received: 474

hello

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  #210 (permalink)
 Nedster 
Cleveland, OH
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: NinjaTrader/Jigsaw
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That was a great call. I follow your daily analysis and appreciate you taking the time to post it.

Thanks

Ned

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