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Discussion in Treasury Notes and Bonds

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zb daily

  #181 (permalink)
 
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 Hayles76 
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javajoe View Post
This just came out from WSJ.
8/23/15 2pm EST
The Fed Has a Theory. Trouble Is, the Proof Is Patchy
As central bank ponders raising rates, it looks to the Phillips curve.


What is the Phillips Curve?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Phillips_curve

China, about to pump up its market.

The People’s Bank of China is preparing to flood the banking system with liquidity to boost lending, according to officials and advisers to the central bank, as its recent currency moves are squeezing yuan funds out of the market and renewing concerns over capital leaving Chinese shores.

releasing 678 billion yuan ($106.2 billion)

China have recently wiped billions of stock markets for devaluing yaun by 2% due to increasing export rates and boosting economy have had ripple dire effects on stocks worldwide including dow jones and FTSE, both regaining their threshold since last week by massive gains. Looking at my chart please tell me what the repercussions on the Treasury are at the moment by using pure technical analysis. Treasury bonds look to regain or plunge further past support since last weeks breif retracement on daily chart

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  #182 (permalink)
 
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 Hayles76 
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Here is my weekly chart, although the fall is temporary, seems to look more promising for the push on
up, have not yet related this to the more palatable correlative, thinly traded illiquid UV futures chart which seems to breifly forge ahead of the ZB and is used as a primary predictive instrument due to high correlation between the two.

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  #183 (permalink)
 
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 Hayles76 
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Hayles76 View Post
Here is my weekly chart, although the fall is temporary, seems to look more promising for the push on
up, have not yet related this to the more palatable correlative, thinly traded illiquid UV futures chart which seems to breifly forge ahead of the ZB and is used as a primary predictive instrument due to high correlation between the two.

Although the spinning top green candle (the spindly green candle near the end of the market) in the weekly chart seems to signify that the trend is losing its force, it is considered a potentially bullish candle if green in which it is.

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  #184 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
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At the moment using 3X1 system trend is down.
The Weintraub Trend Trader Explained | Free Items - Articles | Site Content

Here is a full list:
The Trend Trader For Futures Trading on Monday, August 31, 2015

ATR (14) for daily is coming down, was 2-10, now 1-22.

Thur and Friday, lots of sideways action as expected Jackson Hole.
30min chart showing sideways movement along with two lines one 154-13 the other 156.-5.
Depending on data could go either way.
Also, FED not giving signal which way it wants to go, is another problem.

Summary of Summit from WSJ.
US FED is concerned (worried) if they raise rates what will happen to other countries that are Dollar dependent.
Which means US has dug itself into a hole and can't get out.

With no direction from FED, moves will be short and tight.
Until Sept 16-17 and US Congress debt ceiling on the table again.

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  #185 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
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Forgot Fib Chart.
Please, convert decimal to fraction.
With this site it was easier to get Fib Zones that way.

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  #186 (permalink)
 
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 Hayles76 
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Seeing a further angle from today of keeping the support levels intact and the stoch rsi appears to be in oversold mode. I would say if the ZB breaks the linear resistance levels then we have a market push up and if support levels are broken the a down trend albeit possibly temporary depending on FOMC announcement and interest rates news.

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  #187 (permalink)
 
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 Hayles76 
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Here is 5 min chart with strong USD/JPN inverse correlation with regards to ZB.

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  #188 (permalink)
 
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 Hayles76 
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How to play risk off in the Forex market

How Treasuries Impact Forex Capital Flows | DailyFX

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  #189 (permalink)
 
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 Hayles76 
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How to pick your trading days wisely. Good advice for traders new and intermediate.

How to exploit and profit from market correlation | Futures Magazine

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  #190 (permalink)
 
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 tbondtrader 
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will the top d s line hold

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Last Updated on September 5, 2019


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