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Discussion in Treasury Notes and Bonds

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zb daily

  #121 (permalink)
heclara
Houlton, Maine USA
 
Posts: 42 since Oct 2011
Thanks Given: 28
Thanks Received: 32

There are hints of interest rate hikes , if so bonds could go lower .

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  #122 (permalink)
heclara
Houlton, Maine USA
 
Posts: 42 since Oct 2011
Thanks Given: 28
Thanks Received: 32

If you look at a 1 year weekly chart with Fib. retracements it paints a pretty good picture for the past few weeks at least . The 30 year bonds are between 50 and 62 and may have a hard time to go much below 62 but that is a way off for right now . If they break 62 and stay below that level for any length of time it may suggest bonds are in a down trend for a time . I like to trade bonds intraday but never hold overnight .

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  #123 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
Posts: 48 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 10
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ZBU15: This week is FED week.
IMF wants USA to hold off on any rate hikes until Jan 2016.
Will Janet do it? I think so, this White House Admin is very pro-Europe and famous for kicking the can down the road.
Greece is falling apart by the day. If US were to raise rates 50 basis points, the ripple effect would be huge.

Monday,Tuesday should be boring, waiting for Fed and Beginning of FOMC.
Wed 2pm EST verdict from Janet, then news conference 2:30pm EST.
I'm planning on a bullish trend for Thursday and Friday.

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  #124 (permalink)
 
Cudashark's Avatar
 Cudashark 
Sarasota Florida
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS,NT, Jigsaw
Trading: Treasuries/ZB
Posts: 33 since Dec 2011
Thanks Given: 18
Thanks Received: 75

My ZB forecast is as follows;

Monday thru Wednesday I expect downward pressure. After the Fed a move higher Thursday and Friday.

The range will be the low of Monday which could be in 150'00 down to 149'12.

The range can extend all the way up to 152'26 where a lot of business occurred late May. As I am writing this we are at 151'00 and climbing.

Overall range 149'12 to 152'26 for the week.

All bets off if Fed surprises with a .25 point increase. Just go short and hold on.........

Ray

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  #125 (permalink)
 
Cudashark's Avatar
 Cudashark 
Sarasota Florida
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS,NT, Jigsaw
Trading: Treasuries/ZB
Posts: 33 since Dec 2011
Thanks Given: 18
Thanks Received: 75

I am short 2 contracts for an over night at 151'19


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  #126 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
Posts: 48 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 10
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ZBU15

Here are some Support/Resistance lines focus is 165.25. If price were ever to go above this level = recalculate.

165.25
158.76
152.52
148.45
146.41
140.4225
134.56
132.64
128.82
125.08
123.21

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  #127 (permalink)
 
Cudashark's Avatar
 Cudashark 
Sarasota Florida
 
Experience: Advanced
Platform: TOS,NT, Jigsaw
Trading: Treasuries/ZB
Posts: 33 since Dec 2011
Thanks Given: 18
Thanks Received: 75

Sundays Short So far 8:00pm


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  #128 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
Posts: 48 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 10
Thanks Received: 36

Cudashark,

Nice trade.

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  #129 (permalink)
javajoe
DALLAS,TX
 
Posts: 48 since May 2015
Thanks Given: 10
Thanks Received: 36

Missed the fun this am, just got in for a quick scalp.
Short 151 9/32
Buy 151 4/32


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  #130 (permalink)
 
tbondtrader's Avatar
 tbondtrader 
midwest
 
Experience: Intermediate
Platform: ninja trader+tws
Broker: amp/cqg
Trading: zb and es
Posts: 434 since Jul 2009
Thanks Given: 1,042
Thanks Received: 474


some lines how they fail and how they play a role

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Last Updated on September 5, 2019


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